Financial innovation has brought many new financial instruments whose pay-offs or values depend on the prices of stocks. Some examples are exchange-traded funds (ETFs), stock index and stock options, equity swaps, single-stock futures, and stock index futures. These last two may be traded on futures exchanges (which are distinct from stock exchanges—their history traces back to commodity futures exchanges), or traded over-the-counter. As all of these products are only derived from stocks, they are sometimes considered to be traded in a (hypothetical) derivatives market, rather than the (hypothetical) stock market.
So this is the rectified chart I did. In this one you can see Uranus hitting the Saturn in the 9th and Pluto is at 19 degrees. In this one Mars is right on the cusp of the 5th. The 5th rules gambling and we can see Venus/South Node/Sun/Mercury transiting the 7th making a roll over natal Pluto in Aquarius (7th house/legal issues) and most of those planets making an opposition to the natal Uranus in the 1st house. Neptune is also in the 8th starting to oppose the natal Mars and starting an inconjunction to natal Uranus in the 1st – lots of volatility. Transiting Saturn is also in the 5th making a trine to Venus causing constriction in gambling but it seems to suggest that once it moves past the 5th it could settle down. Now I’m going to go back to the alternate chart and see if it makes a big difference for this same period.
(en) The Microstructure of the ‘Flash Crash’: Flow Toxicity, Liquidity Crashes and the Probability of Informed Trading (Microstructuration du « krach éclair » : Toxicité du flux, accidents de liquidité et probabilité de délits d'initié) [archive], David Easley (Cornell University), Marcos López de Prado (Tudor Investment Corp., RCC at Harvard University) et Maureen O'Hara (Cornell University), The Journal of Portfolio Management, vol. 37, no 2, p. 118–128, hiver 2011
I recently engaged in a discussion of the Efficient Market Theory at the Early Retirement Extreme Forum. The thread is titled Is Efficient Market a Theory, Hypothesis, Fact, Law or Notion? Juicy Excerpt #1: I want to be fair in my descriptions. I don't want to underplay the extent to which I believe the evidence has been misinterpreted. I believe that this misinterpretation has caused a great deal of misery. So I want to be firm on this point. But I also want to be fair. I don't want to be…
A number of personal finance bloggers have engaged in a good discussion of The Matter That Consumes Us All at the thread at the Hope to Prosper Blog relating to my guest post titled The Economic Crisis Is the Best Thing That Ever Happened to Us. Of particular import is an exchange between the blogger Roshawn @ Watson Inc. and me, set forth below: Roshawn @ Watson Inc: Okay Rob, Your article has intrigued me. My immediate inclination is the same as Bret: cool concept but applying it…
Stock markets play an essential role in growing industries that ultimately affect the economy through transferring available funds from units that have excess funds (savings) to those who are suffering from funds deficit (borrowings) (Padhi and Naik, 2012). In other words, capital markets facilitate funds movement between the above-mentioned units. This process leads to the enhancement of available financial resources which in turn affects the economic growth positively. Moreover, both economic and financial theories argue that stock prices are affected by macroeconomic trends.
Your thoughts are profound and most of them very well corresponds with the warnings of the Muslim saints and seers. You do not sound like” a religious maniac” at all and I think most of what you have foretold in your(Latest World Predictions for 2017) will God-willing come to pass. All of us as members of the same human family, have a duty to pray for peace, unity and happiness for the entire suffering humanity. All acts violence against innocent people across the globe ought to be condemned.
Writing with Brunello Rosa, Nouriel sets the scene this way: “The current global expansion will likely continue into next year, given that the US is running large fiscal deficits, China is pursuing loose fiscal and credit policies, and Europe remains on a recovery path. But by 2020, the conditions will be ripe for a financial crisis, followed by a global recession.”
There is no better way to invest over a long term than the stock market. I suggest no-load Vanguard index funds due to their solid performance and very low fees. They have several to choose from. You will probably need a thousand dollars to get started with them. Charles Schwab has no-load low fee index funds that you can open with as little as fifty (SWPPX), to one-hundred dollars. Then you need the confident approach of a turtle: easy, persistent, confident, rolling with the volatility and not panicking while gradually building wealth a basket at a time over a long haul, and out performing the rabbit minded investor. Remember: keep a steady, modest cutting expectation over a long haul.
The bigger risk is the $150 billion in tariffs Trump has threatened on Chinese imports and the potential retaliation from China. Trump also has hinted at tariffs on auto imports and threatened not to renew the NAFTA trade pact with Canada and Mexico. Those steps could raise consumer prices and crimp U.S. exports, curbing growth by more than a percentage point next year, Bostjancic says. .Of course, it’s highly unlikely all of these threats would be carried through, she says. Administration officials have suggested they’re merely negotiating ploys. Yet even an escalation in the standoffs that raises investor fears could help set off a downturn, Edgerton says.
We would rather see that signal reversed at least near term. Also, the 50-day moving average has dropped below the 200-day moving average and both have rolled over. That must be reversed as well. Politically all metals have been smashed recently on news of Trump tariff activity. I believe this reaction is temporary but require better technical stock action to take a more aggressive stance.
In April 2011, longstanding opposition to a Tesco Express shop in Cheltenham Road, Stokes Croft, Bristol, evolved into a violent clash between opponents and police. The recently opened shopfront was heavily damaged, and police reported the seizure of petrol bombs. Opponents have suggested that the shop would damage small shops and harm the character of the area.
There’s a surprising wealth of academic research on the relationship between the skies and the market. I read a half-dozen peer-reviewed papers. The most convincing was published in 2006 by three University of Michigan economists. While the effect of full moons was long thought to incur depressive and violent behavior in humans (and howling in wolves), its power over markets was a relative unknown. The paper’s findings were kind of remarkable: In a 48-country portfolio, annualized stock returns were 3 percent to 5 percent lower around a full moon than a new moon.
a ceux qui pense cela tres risque je répond que pour moi le plus gros risque est de laisser tout son argent investi en bourse sans suivre ca de pres… Ca fait depuis 2009 que les marchés montent sans cesse dopés par l’afflux de capitaux sans précédent en provenances des banques centrales comme la fed, la banque du japon et d’europe, ca na continuera pas eternellement.
NR, still stacking myself. Picked up some more .22 and .30 Carbine at the last gun show a month ago. My next big purchase is a new 12-ga. pump, Mossberg 500 or 590. 6 cords of wood are stacked at the BOL now. My cousin just got finished replacing the batteries for the solar system and installed a new Flojak hand pump for the well. Still have the creek out back as a backup source of water. What I have left to move now is just enough to fill up the truck for bugout. The woodstove at the cabin was just replaced 2 years ago along with the pipe. Cabin was totally remodeled 3 years ago. everything is in top condition there. Bugout time can’t come soon enough for me.
The chief planet of business and trade, Mercury, will join Sun, Venus & Saturn in the fiery sign Sagittarius. This placement is likely to cause Bullishness in the market. Buying sentiments will keep the Bulls cheered up. Commodities market will also see uptrend. Sun will enter Capricorn on 14th, Sunday. Political situations will not be smooth however demand in Cement, Steel & Agro related appliance will increase. The stocks of VST Tillers, Kaveri seed, Zuari Agro, Vinati organics, ACC and Ultratech cement will see upsurge. Mars will enter Scorpio sign on 16th and will generate buying in Copper, Sugar, Jaggery and Gold. Hindustan Copper, Vedanta, Renuka Sugar and EID Parry are likely to be beneficial companies. Mercury will enter Capricorn sign and conjoin with Sun, Venus & Ketu on 27th. Presence of this combination of planets in Capricorn sign, ruled by Saturn will maintain the Bullish tone of the market sentiments; however Cotton and Textiles stocks may see a dip. Software, IT and Telecom sector stocks (Infosys, Wipro & ITI) are likely to be in demand.
Weingarten has been bearish on Bitcoin for a long time and has some nonastrological reasons for it, including iffy security and possible regulation. He’s vague when asked to elaborate on the planetary technical analysis. “There were a bunch of charts that said Bitcoin was going to get slaughtered,” he says, showing them to me for an unhelpfully brief period of time. Eventually he relents somewhat, explaining that his zodiac charts displayed looming Saturns for Bitcoin. “Saturn has to deal with limitation, or it has to deal with reality,” he says. “And the reality of Bitcoin is it’s a piece of shit.”
All of these options will provide a basis that can make you feel more comfortable reaching investing decisions, but the best investing decision is often to sit tight and ride out market waves. You shouldn’t be making any radical changes to your portfolio based on something you read or viewed in an online course like this; the goal is to get more comfortable with the markets in general.
It’s not going to create 4% [GDP] growth. Business might feel good for a couple of quarters, but there isn’t anything to build on. You can give companies a trillion dollars, but what are they going to do with it? Just buy back stock and pay dividends to their shareholders. They don’t need to expand. We’ve got excess supply here and around the world. We don’t need businesses to invest in a lot of new capacity. We already did that in the boom.
Stock market crashes are social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behavior and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where P/E ratios (Price-Earning ratio) exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants. Other aspects such as wars, large-corporation hacks, changes in federal laws and regulations, and natural disasters of highly economically productive areas may also influence a significant decline in the NYSE value of a wide range of stocks. All such stock drops may result in the rise of stock prices for corporations competing against the affected corporations.
Slingshot, you have me laughing, thats a good one. Hopefully i am not responsible for run on the ammo. Me like everyone else, has heard it from the horses mouth. No one knows the exact date when it will hit in September. I was told by my scientist that by Novermber, people will literally be on the streets in mass, raising hell on earth, and he is not sure why, its just what he was told. Food and water shortage, civil war, revolution, uprising? etc. Who knows. All that crap i am tryping up, its what i am being told is likely to commense.
À mon humble avis, vos rendements espérés sont trop optimistes. En moyenne, le marché boursier a généré un rendement d’environ 7% à très long-terme. Toutefois, si vous désirez décaisser annuellement 40K$ (j’imagine que vous parlez de dollars), sur un avoir net de 450k$, ceci représente un rendement de presque 9% (sans compter les impôts sur le revenu). Peu importe la stratégie d’investissement ou la plateforme choisie, à mon avis, c’est serré.
There are more millennials because they started from higher birth levels than the baby boomers. But the slope of the wave of baby boomers from 1936 to 1961 is like a huge 10-foot wave. The millennials will never have that growth rate even at their full peak spending period. They won’t take us to new heights. So the economy basically goes sideways as far as the eye can see. Demographics are going to be shrinking, even in the next boom.
Statistically, major market corrections occur about once every decade, so the probability is better than even, less than unity. Personally I’ll be watching 2019 which will be the year following the consequences of the tax cuts. By then, the tax cuts will have been price in and should not longer be a factor. I suspect that 2018 will be a year of watching and seeing how much earnings actually go with the tax cut; markets are always ‘forward-looking.’ They react not to earnings, but the promise of future earnings. Right now 2018 looks like the “Buy on the rumor” side of the equation, and that 2019 might be the “sell on the news” side.