I’m ready, but nervous. IF, this is the big one, and you are wanting this or think you will pop some corn and enjoy the show, then you are unaware of the big picture. Yes it may be enjoyable for a while (I get no joy from this BTW), it WILL effect you in ways you haven’t yet thought of. Yes those of us that are prepared will weather it better than those not prepared, but this isn’t going to be fun in the long run.
Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050.
Tesco also operated a home telephone and broadband business. Its broadband service launched in August 2004 to complement its existing internet service provider business, providing an ADSL-based service delivered via BT phone lines.[79] In January 2015, Tesco sold its home telephone and broadband business, together with Blinkbox, to TalkTalk for around £5 million. Its customers were transferred by 2016.[48][80]
In March 2007, residents in Bournville, Birmingham fought to maintain the historic alcohol-free status of the area, in winning a court battle with Tesco, to prevent it selling alcohol at their local outlet. No shops are permitted to sell alcohol in the area and there are no pubs, bars or fast-food outlets in Bournville due to its Quaker roots.[148]
In the 1920’s, banks were opening up at the rate of 4 to 5 per day.  There were few federal restrictions to determine start up capital needed to start up a new bank or how much of its reserve it could lend.  As a result, most of these banks were highly insolvent.  Banks were closing at the rate of 2 a day between 1923 and 1929.  Then as banks moved to invest heavily in the stock market, this proved to be a disaster when the market crashed.  By 1932, 40% of all banks were wiped out.
3. They also found, to the surprise of some readers I’m sure, “that some widely cited economic variables displayed an unexpected, counterintuitive correlation with future returns. The ratio of govern- ment debt to GDP is an example: Although its R2makes it seem a better performer than others, the reason is actually opposite to what one would expect—the government debt/GDP ratio has had a positive relationship with the long-term realized return. In other words, higher government debt levels have been associated with higher future stock returns, at least in the United States since 1926″.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the My Personal Finance Journey blog titled The Coming Revolution in Our Understanding of How Stock Investing Works. Juicy Excerpt: If the market is efficient both in the short-term and in the long-term, Buy-and-Hold is the perfect strategy. The only way to capture the high returns of stocks is to be heavily invested in them and, since there is no way to predict returns, the only thing to do is to remain heavily invested in stocks at all times. However,…
These stocks are known as high beta stocks, as they outperform on the way up and underperform on the way down. During a bull market, these high beta stocks are often the stocks that perform best. As a result they will grow into the largest positions in your portfolio. That’s why it’s a good idea to rebalance your portfolio and make sure the weighting of these “high beta” stocks aren’t too high. Here some more ways to prepare for a stock market crash:

Fake, LinkedIn, and Memes: theverge.com HE VERGE How a group of Redditors is creating a fake stock market to figure out the value of memes Memes rule everything around me By Lizzie Plaugic on January 10, 2017 10:38 am TWEET f SHARE in LINKEDIN

*flashbacks to Black Tuesday* via /r/MemeEconomy http://ift.tt/2j1kRWH


I recently started a discussion-board thread at the Early Retirement Extreme site titled Is Buy-and-Hold Just a Marketing Pitch? Juicy Excerpt #1: I think this may be the warmest reception I have heard to my criticism of Buy-and-Hold at any place on the internet. Usually, I duck immediately after pushing the "Send" button to avoid the bricks being thrown at me. Here, I almost feel that in fairness I should jump in and defend the Buy-and-Hold position! Juicy Excerpt #2: I don't think "Buy…
Thank you. You have a strongly Scorpio-Taurus chart so it’s not surprising that you are already involved with blockchain. I just heard the word ‘fingerprints’ answering your question so perhaps there is a fingerprint-ID technology that you are involved with, or could be? (Mind you, I am staying in the former home of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle so perhaps that’s why!) Okay, so with your Uranus at 3 Scorpio you will experience Uranus at 3 Taurus opposite. They call it Uranus Opposition Uranus and we all go through it, but for you it will be about financial freedom. You’ll feel the start of the cycle in May and then by 2019 it will begin to unfold properly. Any opposition is always a challenge and so you can’t expect stability or predictability. There are no ‘knowns’ over the next year or two. It’s all unknowns. You need to bear that in mind in terms of how much time, energy and actual money you invest. Uranus transits are by their nature quite wild and the best analogy I can give you is – imagine you were in New York in 1781 dealing with the end of British rule, British taxes – and the first rumblings of the end of the slave trade. You would probably feel as if you were about to make it all up as you went along. You and others would feel as if you were co-creating the future together. And today your descendants would be rich! The smart money from May 2018 onwards is on people who realise that you have to get on board with a revolution, and that’s you. The trick to Uranus transits is to be watchful and responsive on a daily basis, because the global economy really will be that sensitive. It will change in the blink of an eye, more than once, over a period of many years. In general, from Christmas 2019 onwards, we are moving towards a radically different kind of borrowing and lending model which has far more in common with eBay and Craig’s List than, say, the Bank of America. Stay constantly tuned!
D’où l’intérêt pour les FNB! Étant donné que chacun de ces fonds comporte des centaines d’entreprises, il est moins coûteux de se monter un portefeuille diversifié. Par exemple, dans mon cas, j’investis dans un FNB constitué de titres canadiens, un autre constitué de titres américains et un autre comprenant le reste du monde. Donc, avec seulement trois fonds, j’obtiens une diversification géographique.
And see the calendar pages on how a triangle pattern appeared on the sun on March 14 2012 when there was a 999 (666 upside-down) grand trine triangle astrology pattern, after the March 4 election of Putin the Antichrist in Russia. Does Putin the Antichrist 666 have power over the sun? Revelation 13:13 (King James version) on the Antichrist: "And he doeth great wonders, so that he maketh fire come down from heaven on the earth in the sight of men." Solar flares? Putin was reelected as Russian President on March 4 2012, and 2 days later March 6 the sun sent a solar flare towards earth. See this page on Putin's connection to Ra the Egyptian sun deity. And the Cold War appears to be returning, with Putin returned as Russian President, a Russian General having made threats in May 2012 of a nuclear strike against NATO ABM Anti Ballistic Missile sites being deployed in Eastern Europe. Revelation 13:13 (King James version): "And he doeth great wonders, so that he maketh fire come down from heaven on the earth in the sight of men." So could Revelation 13:13 be about Putin (or North Korea) launching a nuclear missile strike on Europe or the U.S., starting World War 3 in the future? Or could this be about Putin causing giant solar flares to hit the earth?
There is no numerically specific definition of a stock market crash but the term commonly applies to steep double-digit percentage losses in a stock market index over a period of several days. Crashes are often distinguished from bear markets by panic selling and abrupt, dramatic price declines. Bear markets are periods of declining stock market prices that are measured in months or years. Crashes are often associated with bear markets, however, they do not necessarily go hand in hand. The crash of 1987, for example, did not lead to a bear market. Likewise, the Japanese bear market of the 1990s occurred over several years without any notable crashes.
Most people invest their hard-earned money in the stock market through mutual funds or ETFs. Often this is through a company-sponsored plan such as a 401(k). Watching the daily swings in the value of your holdings can seem quite mysterious. If you own a stock and research what the business does, you will start to understand the relationship between business performance and the value of your stock holding. In the short-term, a variety of crazy factors can push the price of your company’s stock around. But in the long-term, the price of your company (and stock) will be determined by its business performance. And it’s the long term-that matters. As you get to understand how this works for one company, you will begin to get a feel for how the markets behave, although I don’t know that anyone truly understands the gyrations of the stock markets.
I had decided to find out what German clairvoyants say about the future of Europe, went on YouTube and came across a video called “Palmblatt-Prophezeihungen, Katastrophale Zulu ft says such ten Europa a 2018”. The source of the videos’ text is Thomas Ritter, a collector of Naadi oracle leaves ( German: Palmblatt). He had some Naadi leaves translated by a retired professor who understands the symbols used in the leaves. The prophecies are published on his website and they talk about the coming changes in Europe. Bearing in mind that the original Naadi leaves are thousands of years old, the prophecies are absolutely mind-boggling and corroborate prophecies from other sources.
You would need to be aware of the strain on your nervous system as Uranus opposes your patterns at 0, 1, 2, 3 in the finance signs. I am sure you could dance in the storm that is coming, and do well – but at a certain point you have to realise that Uranus (the electrifying atmosphere) opposite your natal placements is associated with tremendous stress. Things will be nuts out there, well into early 2019, so you need to make absolutely sure that the price you are paying for that particular line of work, is worth what it will cost you in tension. Uranus oppositions place big demands on us.
If you are concerned about how much you could lose on some of your largest positions, you can also think about using stop loss orders to mitigate potential losses. For each stock, you can set a few price levels below technical support where you will begin to reduce the size of the position. It’s best to do this long before stock prices begin to fall so that your decisions are rational and not driven by emotions. Stop losses are not generally a strategy used by long term investors. However, they can help you manage the emotional pain of a bear market.
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the Blunt Money blog. It's called "Talk Back to the Investing Experts." Juicy Excerpt: Investing experts are like everybody else. They are flawed humans. They get things wrong. And they are inclined not to admit it too readily. They do more harm to their reputations in the long run by failing to do so, of course. They need our help. Does that sound to you like the sort of thing that might undermine national security? Does it sound like hate speech?…
Welcome to the July 2012 Carnival of Passive Investing, a monthly collection of the best and most intelligent Passive Investing strategy articles around the internet. Some people foolishly want to beat the market (want being the key word) but we just want to invest with it. The purpose of the carnival is two-fold: To provide a forum to showcase articles and research in passive investing strategies (i.e. investing in ETFs, index mutual funds, etc. in such a way that one avoids…
3. They also found, to the surprise of some readers I’m sure, “that some widely cited economic variables displayed an unexpected, counterintuitive correlation with future returns. The ratio of govern- ment debt to GDP is an example: Although its R2makes it seem a better performer than others, the reason is actually opposite to what one would expect—the government debt/GDP ratio has had a positive relationship with the long-term realized return. In other words, higher government debt levels have been associated with higher future stock returns, at least in the United States since 1926″.
Yet rising labor costs could eat into company profits and hurt earnings, making stocks seem even more overvalued. As confidence ebbs, investors could flee stocks and other assets, such as commercial real estate, for risk-free bonds that would provide higher-than-current rates. A steep market decline would reduce consumer wealth and further dent household and business confidence and spending.
The critical point where bubbles end happens as investors begin to think that the rally is over. It is when this opinion travels deep into the system and becomes generalized that the system ends up in a crash. The paradox here is that a crash is often (and mistakenly) characterized as “market chaos.” In fact, it is the opposite: a crash reflects a highly ordered market, when everyone does the same thing (i.e. sell). A truly “chaotic” market is one where everyone is doing something different, interactions offset each other and price volatility remains low.
Also: August 13 1999 was the significant future date on the Aztec Sun calendar from Mexico of 500 years ago, and August 13 1999 was predicted by the Aztecs to be an important day of change for mankind, that would change the world, as described in the book: "Day of Destiny, Where will you be on August 13 1999?", by John Mini, published 1998 by Trans-Hyperborean Institute of Science.

Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs.” Death threats? You mean this link you sent to the police that is obviously not a death threat? https://boards.fool.com/sydsydsyd-theyre-taking-them-down-as-fast-as-we-18207722.aspx?sort=postdate I did indeed show that to the police. And, yes, that is indeed a death threat. Posts like that do not belong in discussions of how stock investing works. And it is ALWAYS the Buy-and-Holders who advance such posts. It is only a small number of Buy-and-Holders who do that sort of thing. But it is a LARGE percentage of the population of Buy-and-Holders who TOLERATE that sort of thing. Motley Fool should have banned the person who advanced that post. The post is clearly in violation of their published rules. They didn’t ban the person who advanced the post because the majority of the population of the board was Buy-and-Holders and Motley Fool wanted the money that came in as a result of having those people at the site. This is why Buy-and-Hold is so dangerous. It is an emotion-based strategy. It cannot survive in a world in which posting based on the last 37 years of peer-reviewed research is permitted. So it is not just that the Buy-and-Holders get it wrong. Getting it wrong is a small thing in relative terms. It is that the Buy-and-Holders cannot tolerate anyone else getting it right. Buy-and-Holders attack those who advocate research-based strategies because, when people come to see the merits of research-based strategies, it makes the Buy-and-Holders look bad for promoting the OPPOSITE of what works. What works is to always practice price discipline when buying stocks. Buy-and-Holders tell investors NOT to exercise price discipline (long-term timing). Huh? What the f? I OPPOSE that sort of post, Anonymous. Please feel free to spread the word all across the internet. I would feel that you were doing me a favor by doing so. That sort of thing is not my particular cup of tea. It’s not a close call. The primary reason why I chose to build the Retire Early at Motley Fool is that they had the strongest rules on the internet protecting people from that sort of posting behavior. […]
Jump up ^ Goetzmann, William N.; Rouwenhorst, K. Geert (2008). The History of Financial Innovation, in Carbon Finance, Environmental Market Solutions to Climate Change. (Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, chapter 1, pp. 18–43). As Goetzmann & Rouwenhorst (2008) noted, "The 17th and 18th centuries in the Netherlands were a remarkable time for finance. Many of the financial products or instruments that we see today emerged during a relatively short period. In particular, merchants and bankers developed what we would today call securitization. Mutual funds and various other forms of structured finance that still exist today emerged in the 17th and 18th centuries in Holland."
Corruption in the Investing Advice Field — The Wade Pfau StoryThis article provides links to all of my reports on my 16 months of correspondence with Academic Researcher Wade Pfau, the collaboration that produced the research we co-authored that shows millions of middle-class investors how to reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent (Ssshh! The Wall Street Con Men don’t want this one getting out!) If you retain doubts re whether Valuation-Informed Indexing is a real thing, looking over the materials available at this page and then reading a few of the reports that strike you as particularly important will dispel them. I believe that Wade will someday win a Nobel prize for the work he did here. The reports show his own skepticism and his transformed into excited BELIEVER in the Valuation-Informed Indexing concept.
Plusieurs investisseurs optent pour les fonds passifs, comme les FNB et les fonds indiciels, dont les frais de gestion sont bas, afin de faire des économies… Je pense que c’est à cause des publicités vantant les produits d’investissement à bas prix, qui relèvent davantage du marketing. À mon avis, il ne faudrait pas tomber dans ce piège marketing. Se baser sur les frais de gestion pour choisir des fonds communs ou des FNB, c’est une erreur. Il faudrait regarder plutôt les rendements moyens annualisés sur une longue période par rapport à l’indice de référence.
Dobbies is a chain of garden centres across Scotland, England and Northern Ireland. Tesco completed its acquisition of Dobbies in 2008, and the company continued to trade under its own brand, from its own head office in Melville, near Edinburgh. On 17 June 2016, Tesco sold the company on to a group of investors led by Midlothian Capital Partners and Hattington Capital for £217 million.[89]
On Black Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 38.33 points to 260, a drop of 12.8%. The deluge of selling overwhelmed the ticker tape system that normally gave investors the current prices of their shares. Telephone lines and telegraphs were clogged and were unable to cope. This information vacuum only led to more fear and panic. The technology of the New Era, previously much celebrated by investors, now served to deepen their suffering.

During the 2019 - 2020 time period expect to see economic chaos, wars, terrorist attacks, disease epidemics, great earthquakes, volcanos, asteroids hit earth. But how about in the past, were there any particular planetary alignments during times of economic problems? Yes, there is a general pattern we shall discuss here. During the October 1987 and October 1929 stock exchange crashes, the Planet Saturn was in the Astrological sign of Sagittarius. The significance of this is that Sagittarius, the combined horse/man, with Saturn having a connection in Greek / Roman / Etruscan mythology to agriculture as well as weghts and measures and coins, means that Saturn in Sagittarius represents the third Horseman of the Apocalypse, economic depression. When Saturn is in Sagittarius you may get the trigger event, such as a stock market crash, that begins an economic depression.
At least, that's what I'd say if I were a chain-smoking stock market trader, but for memes. For a while now, this mental image has been the running gag behind popular subreddit "/r/MemeEconomy." On the forum, users jokingly speculate about which memes are on the rise, and which should be dumped before they take down your entire portfolio by making it into a "normie" publication. You know, like this one. 
Il n’y a pas de montant minimum pour investir en bourse. Les frais de courtage en direct sont généralement de 10$ par transaction. Donc, vous pouvez acheter une action de Facebook à 175$ si vous voulez. Par contre, il faut pas mettre tout nos oeufs dans le même panier, il faut diversifier. Ainsi, il est préférable d’acheter plusieurs titres dans différentes régions géographiques et dans différents secteurs d’activités.
But it's during those times when you need to guard against overriding the rational process you went through to build your portfolio. If you want to re-evaluate the portfolio mix you arrived at earlier just to confirm that it's right for you and even possibly make a small tweak or two, fine. But you don't want to let fear and emotions dictate your investing strategy and lead you to make impulsive decisions you may rue later.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Can we count on you for discussing the death threats and job threats over on this new board as well? I never lead with the death threats and the job threats. The substantive stuff is what matters most and people hate to hear about the death threats and the job threats. But as a society we have to deal with the death threats and job threats before the substantive stuff can get widely known. Shiller published his “revolutionary” (his word) research 37 years ago. The obvious question that anyone asks when someone tells them about the realities of stock investing is: “Why haven’t I heard about this before?” It’s not possible to explain the 37-year cover-up without making reference to the death threats and job threats. It’s not possible to pull something like this off without death threats and job threats. There are other things that help to explain the 37-year cover-up. Cognitive dissonance is a big one. The counter-intuitive nature of some of the realities. Just the fact that we don’t know it all. Ignorance. That’s a factor that should not be overlooked. I talk about that stuff. I don’t talk only about death threats and job threats. I never have and I never will. My job is to tell the story. Death threats and job threats are part of the story. So I will tell about them when necessary and to the extent necessary. I try not to put too much emphasis on them. Because they are not the entire story. I try to give them the right amount of attention, not too much and not too little. I wish that there had never been any death threats or job threats. But that’s not the world we live in. That’s not the reality. We don’t get fewer death threats and fewer job threats by ignoring them, by never talking about them. Ignoring them causes us to see more death threats and more job threats. I am 100 percent sure. Our problem has not been that we have talked too little about death threats and job threats. By not talking about those that have taken place, we have caused more of them to take place. Which is of course not the way that any of […]

Children, Family, and Kkk: Issues Universal Healthcare adamantly opposed Republicans Democrats support it Gun Reform support it tear families apart keep children in cages deport millions humane immigration reform path to citizenship Immigration cozy up to dictators antagonize our allies ignore cyberattacks support democracies work with our allies treat Russia as enemy Foreign Policy against regulations Environment disbelieve warnings support strong regulations believe climate science from climate scientists high stock market and hyper-rich CEOs touted as healthy economy flat wages with skyrocketing costs of living seen as economy that is broken Economy corporate welfare and tax breaks for big businesses and the wealthy must pay their fair share in taxes Taxes the hyper-rich Reproductive Rights would outlaw abortion against sex ed and keep abortion safe, legal, and rare with sex ed and easy access to birth controlaccess to birth control party supported by KKK party of civil rights movement stokes immigrant fears against for-profit prisons mocked victim of sexual equal pay for equal work abuser on Supreme Court support victims of sex abuse against marriage equality support marriage equality Civil Rights suppresses black vote law enforcement oversight Women's assault then put her Rights paid family leave LGBT Rights support discrimination as a "religious freedom against discrimination People who say “both parties are the same” have no idea what they’re talking about.
2007 was the third year of drier weather and the onset of the Great Recession.  2008 and 2009 were wetter than 2007 but, then, 2010 turned drier by an inch and 2011 still drier by two additional inches.  2012 continued the short dry trend and was the driest year since 1988!  The economy indeed struggled throughout 2012 although stocks regained much of their Great Recession loss.  2013 finally reversed the drop in precipitation (don’t try to tell that to Californians) with an average gain throughout the U.S. of 1.12 inches.  Drier conditions in 2014 stalled but did not stop the gradual market rally.

In 2000, Weingarten was hired to provide astrological services to a company called UN Dollars Corp. The guy who hired him, Edward Durante (who also has gone by several aliases), was convicted in 2001 for a scheme to inflate the value of stocks before dumping them and cashing in. Weingarten settled a complaint involving UN Dollars with the Securities and Exchange Commission for $15,000 and admitted no wrongdoing. He wasn’t accused of conspiring with Durante, but of hyping the stock in his newsletter and investing his clients’ money in the company without indicating that he had been paid with 250,000 shares of UN Dollars, though he did say on his website that the company was a client. Weingarten says he can’t really talk about the case, citing a nondisclosure agreement, but insists he settled it only because his wife said she’d divorce him if he fought the case in court.


It is not just the uber rish who lose the most. It is the middle class workers. Those of us who have worked hard and survied years of down sizing in larger corporations who will lose a great deal…along with all those who also benifit from our generosity over the years. All the school supply drives, blood drives, holliday food drives to name a few. We try to contribute the amount to our 401’s to earn the companies matching benifits. We are pentalized for taking out our money until we reach the age of 59. Those of us who are to close to retiring don’t have the opportunity to recoup our money. So we will be faced with working to a much older age then we planned. So in reality…while we may be middle income…we don’t have the ability to just put out our money. If we lose a great portion of our 401’s and there is another housing market crash they have managed to chip away yet another chuck of middle imcome households. Sooner or later it will only be the very poor and the very rich! We need a solution to bring back the middle income and a solution for more and more folks to have the opportunity to move beyond lower income! We have done our best to prepare for what life might throw at us short term and long time, but I do believe it is going to be a bummpy ride, so buckle up my prepper friends.

Indeed, Buffett's ability to tune out the noise and remain optimistic amid these downturns has played a vital role in his unrivaled performance over decades. Between 1965 and the end of 2017, Berkshire's market value has increased at an annualized rate of 20.9%, more than doubling the S&P 500's average annual growth of 9.9% during this same period. This 20.9% annualized growth rate for Berkshire's market value translates to a total return of 2,404,748%, obliterating the S&P 500's 15,508% gain during the same timeframe.


A spin-off of the typical Drake meme, where famous hedge fund manager Michael Burry shows his preference for Subprime over the clothing brand Supreme. Burry is famous because he predicted the subprime mortgage crisis and made money by shorting the market. This scene is from the movie The Big Short, in which Burry is portrayed by actor Christian Bale. If you haven’t seen the movie yet, then what the hell are you doing looking at stock market memes?
I've been a stockbroker for more than twenty years so I approached the book with experience in the investment market. I thought I knew a great deal about the causes and course of the '29 Crash but this book certainly opened my eyes. I had heard of famous men like William Durant and Richard Whitney but I never knew the wide ranging courses of their careers. One of the main lessons I drew from the book is the comparison between the actions of both the elite and the commoners in 1929 vs. those of the elite and the commoners in the Great Recession of 2008 to the present. Recommend this book highly to anybody interested in economic history or the history of the USA in the 20th Century.
AE good tip, and believe me I do Trek where the the Grizzlies Roam. I always carry a big sidearm and considered myself to be rather macho, but after watching serveral videos on bear attacks, I will still carry my gun but Bear Pepper Spray will be my first defense. Bear Spray may also be the best way to go when facing 4 federal agents at your front door, probably more affective and if and when they get you, there will be no murder charge against you. And BTW I just killed a big black bear with my bow. Trekker Out.

In 12th-century France, the courretiers de change were concerned with managing and regulating the debts of agricultural communities on behalf of the banks. Because these men also traded with debts, they could be called the first brokers. A common misbelief[citation needed] is that, in late 13th-century Bruges, commodity traders gathered inside the house of a man called Van der Beurze, and in 1409 they became the "Brugse Beurse", institutionalizing what had been, until then, an informal meeting, but actually, the family Van der Beurze had a building in Antwerp where those gatherings occurred;[20] the Van der Beurze had Antwerp, as most of the merchants of that period, as their primary place for trading. The idea quickly spread around Flanders and neighboring countries and "Beurzen" soon opened in Ghent and Rotterdam.
That was six years ago. Funnily enough, the author of this blog, David Haggith, recently posted an article titled I Bet My Blog on a 2018 Economic Collapse. Basically, he is going to throw sh*t at the wall until something finally sticks – then he’ll pontificate to everyone about how his prediction was correct. It is worth noting that he also predicted that 2016 would be the year of the economic apocalypse and that he was “fairly sure” that stocks would slump in January, 2017.
The mathematical description of stock market movements has been a subject of intense interest. The conventional assumption has been that stock markets behave according to a random log-normal distribution.[9] Among others, mathematician Benoît Mandelbrot suggested as early as 1963 that the statistics prove this assumption incorrect.[10] Mandelbrot observed that large movements in prices (i.e. crashes) are much more common than would be predicted from a log-normal distribution. Mandelbrot and others suggested that the nature of market moves is generally much better explained using non-linear analysis and concepts of chaos theory.[11] This has been expressed in non-mathematical terms by George Soros in his discussions of what he calls reflexivity of markets and their non-linear movement.[12] George Soros said in late October 1987, 'Mr. Robert Prechter's reversal proved to be the crack that started the avalanche'.[13][14]
In a nutshell, JPMorgan is predicting a crash of about 20 percent as well as a jump in corporate-bond yield premiums of about 1.15 percentage points, a 35 percent drop in energy prices and a 29 percent decline in base metals. In addition, it predicts a 2.79 point increase in emerging-nation government debt, a 48 percent drop in emerging-market stocks and a 14.4 percent decline in emerging currencies.
However, in 1929 we didn’t have have the same rules, regulations and stop gaps that were put into place later so even though the aspects were not as insane as they were in the 2008 chart – it clearly was enough for an innate volatile and unchecked market to plunge. In this chart Uranus is going through the 8th (other people’s money 8th and Uranus=volatility) Pluto was making an applying square to the Moon in the 8th and the lights were Mercury/Sun midpoint on the natal Jupiter/Neptune conjunction which opposes the natal Saturn/Moon opposition. So basically there is a T-Square from Pluto in Cancer being triggered by those faster moving planets. And the general volatility of Uranus in the 8th and the time period where there were less controls over the market made it take a plunge. Neptune was also conjunct the cusp – just hitting the first house. That big shift over that 1st house on the angle was also a major contributor despite the fact that it was making a trine to Venus. Whenever a big planet hits that point something should happen. Otherwise that T-square (by the Pluto in Cancer transit) should have had a counterpoint when Pluto hits that same point in opposition like – oops, NOW!

Markets started off looking firm this morning but by mid afternoon the Heng Seng Index broke below the key psychological 30,000 level as trade war concerns once again reared its ugly head. First came the Trump administration announcing a further $50b worth of tariffs on China imports followed by return fire from China threatening reciprocal tariffs on 106 U.S. product.


I have the overwhelming feeling that California is going to have a mass earthquake that will split the state not just in the San Francisco area but in Los Angeles as well. I’m a native of the state and the last time I went back to visit family, I could hardly wait to leave. If there is an earthquake in China, I predict it will start a ripple effect. Had this feeling for 2 years now. Hope I’m wrong.
Other important economic barometers were also slowing or even falling by mid-1929, including car sales, house sales, and steel production. The falling commodity and industrial production may have dented even American self-confidence, and the stock market peaked on September 3 at 381.17 just after Labor Day, then started to falter after Roger Babson issued his prescient "market crash" forecast. By the end of September, the market was down 10% from the peak (the "Babson Break"). Selling intensified in early and mid October, with sharp down days punctuated by a few up days. Panic selling on huge volume started the week of October 21 and intensified and culminated on October 24, the 28th, and especially the 29th ("Black Tuesday").[26]

Ce jour-là, l'indice Dow Jones Industrial Average a perdu 998,52 points avant de regagner environ 600 points, entre 14 h 42 et 14 h 52 au New York Stock Exchange6[réf. insuffisante],7. Une baisse de 9,2 % en l'espace de 10 minutes était sans précédent dans l'histoire. Cet incident a mis au jour l'implication du high frequency trading qui représente désormais les deux tiers8[réf. insuffisante] des transactions boursières sur le NYSE.
The crash on October 19, 1987, a date that is also known as Black Monday, was the climactic culmination of a market decline that had begun five days before on October 14. The DJIA fell 3.81 percent on October 14, followed by another 4.60 percent drop on Friday, October 16. On Black Monday, the Dow Jones Industrials Average plummeted 508 points, losing 22.6% of its value in one day. The S&P 500 dropped 20.4%, falling from 282.7 to 225.06. The NASDAQ Composite lost only 11.3%, not because of restraint on the part of sellers, but because the NASDAQ market system failed. Deluged with sell orders, many stocks on the NYSE faced trading halts and delays. Of the 2,257 NYSE-listed stocks, there were 195 trading delays and halts during the day.[27] The NASDAQ market fared much worse. Because of its reliance on a "market making" system that allowed market makers to withdraw from trading, liquidity in NASDAQ stocks dried up. Trading in many stocks encountered a pathological condition where the bid price for a stock exceeded the ask price. These "locked" conditions severely curtailed trading. On October 19, trading in Microsoft shares on the NASDAQ lasted a total of 54 minutes.

Thank you. Home is really Cancer in your chart, as Cancer rules the Fourth House, which describes your apartment or house. You have not logged in, so I can’t see your birth chart, but I suspect you and/or your husband have Cancer factors in your birth charts, and the reason you have spent years without feeling settled, is that Pluto in Capricorn (the opposite sign to Cancer) has been slowly clashing with just about everything in your combined Fourth Houses, in the sign of Cancer. Log in and I’ll try to get to this list again tomorrow.


Finally, sentiment. If the busboy just bought a new diesel VW with the money he made trading Apple? Keep an eye on things. There was a TV ad during the naz peak (1999?) for Schwab or whomever. FADE IN: Guy standing next to broken down car on the side of the road. Tow truck pulls up. Tow driver hooks him up and off they go. Inside the truck the passenger points to a big color picture of an island. He says “what’s that?” Tow driver says “that’s mine.” The passenger looks incredulous...”You own an island?” Tow driver smiles “well yea, I bought it with the money I made in the market…but, it’s not really just an island.” passenger bites...”Then what is it?” Driver replies…”it’s a country.”

Lately, things have worked out better for me than they have in the past, but, if the market crashes, I will take a hit along with almost everyone else. I still own stocks because that is where the best returns are, but I try to stay diversified in stocks of companies that are very likely to survive a serious recession. If I sold my stocks, where would I put the money? Returns on bank savings and short term bonds are less than inflation. Long term bonds look just as risky as stocks to me, maybe riskier.

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