I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the My Personal Finance Journey blog titled The Coming Revolution in Our Understanding of How Stock Investing Works. Juicy Excerpt: If the market is efficient both in the short-term and in the long-term, Buy-and-Hold is the perfect strategy. The only way to capture the high returns of stocks is to be heavily invested in them and, since there is no way to predict returns, the only thing to do is to remain heavily invested in stocks at all times. However,…
I have to admit that the feeling I had before the initial crash was intense and urgent. Since then it has been erratic. I picked the end of December into January because this is when Pluto is exactly conjunct the Dow Jones first house. Of course if the date or time was off in that chart (which is always possible) then we could have seen the hit at 0 degree instead of the 1 degree in the official chart.
Falling liquidity may occur if banks stop extending credit or if a regulator increases the margin requirements for traders. Sometimes when a central bank raises interest rates, banks will begin to call in some of their loans, triggering a shortage of liquidity in the market. The simplest explanation is that at some point the money runs out. Markets rise while investors continue to buy, and when they run out of money, markets fall. The exact cause of a crash is often easy to see in hindsight, but difficult to see at the time.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs.” Death threats? You mean this link you sent to the police that is obviously not a death threat? https://boards.fool.com/sydsydsyd-theyre-taking-them-down-as-fast-as-we-18207722.aspx?sort=postdate I did indeed show that to the police. And, yes, that is indeed a death threat. Posts like that do not belong in discussions of how stock investing works. And it is ALWAYS the Buy-and-Holders who advance such posts. It is only a small number of Buy-and-Holders who do that sort of thing. But it is a LARGE percentage of the population of Buy-and-Holders who TOLERATE that sort of thing. Motley Fool should have banned the person who advanced that post. The post is clearly in violation of their published rules. They didn’t ban the person who advanced the post because the majority of the population of the board was Buy-and-Holders and Motley Fool wanted the money that came in as a result of having those people at the site. This is why Buy-and-Hold is so dangerous. It is an emotion-based strategy. It cannot survive in a world in which posting based on the last 37 years of peer-reviewed research is permitted. So it is not just that the Buy-and-Holders get it wrong. Getting it wrong is a small thing in relative terms. It is that the Buy-and-Holders cannot tolerate anyone else getting it right. Buy-and-Holders attack those who advocate research-based strategies because, when people come to see the merits of research-based strategies, it makes the Buy-and-Holders look bad for promoting the OPPOSITE of what works. What works is to always practice price discipline when buying stocks. Buy-and-Holders tell investors NOT to exercise price discipline (long-term timing). Huh? What the f? I OPPOSE that sort of post, Anonymous. Please feel free to spread the word all across the internet. I would feel that you were doing me a favor by doing so. That sort of thing is not my particular cup of tea. It’s not a close call. The primary reason why I chose to build the Retire Early at Motley Fool is that they had the strongest rules on the internet protecting people from that sort of posting behavior. […]
I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Out Of Your Rut blog. It's called Cash Is a Strategic Asset Class. Juicy Excerpt: Nobody makes much money promoting TIPS or other cash-like investment classes. The “experts” in the investing advice field HATE cash. No commissions. No acceptance into the “Experts” Club. No appeal to the Get Rich Quick impulse lurking within each and every one of us that tempts us into ignoring price when choosing our investment classes. Keith Mercadante,…
Prince posted that his app has received more than 1000 downloads in the short time it's been available. The app's success is perhaps unsurprising. MemeBroker isn't the first attempt to make the meme economy real, but it is the first endeavor to succeed. A separate group calling themselves NASDANQ has reportedly been trying to figure out how to make the meme economy real, but haven't released anything yet.
The aspiring financial astrologer must first grasp the basics of regular astrology. Everything revolves around the zodiac calendar, a 360-degree belt of sky, drawn from the perspective of Earth, organized into 12 30-degree wedges. These are called Libra and Taurus and so forth. A person’s horoscope sign thus corresponds to the month of the zodiac calendar through which the sun appears to be “moving” around Earth when she was born. (Which makes astrology geocentric. Never mind Copernicus.)
Tesco has expanded its operations outside the UK to 11 other countries in the world. The company pulled out of the USA in 2013, but as of 2018 continues to see growth elsewhere. Tesco's international expansion strategy has responded to the need to be sensitive to local expectations in other countries by entering into joint ventures with local partners, such Charoen Pokphand in Thailand to form Tesco Lotus, and by appointing a very high proportion of local personnel to management positions. It also makes small acquisitions as part of its strategy: for example, in its 2005/2006 financial year it made acquisitions in South Korea, one in Dubai, UAE; one in Poland and one in Japan. On 7 September 2015, Tesco sold its South Korean business, Homeplus, to MBK Partners and partnered with a Canadian pension fund and Temasek Holdings for the deal.
Boom time Bull markets commence when the index reaches and exceeds the high point of the previous bull market. As an example the US and the UK are in this territory. Once we get to the bull market there is no real way of determining how long it will run for. I can assure you there will always be an ‘expert’ who will be calling an end to it on a weekly basis. It is prudent however to be very confident of share valuations before hopping in for any long term investment, Bull markets are very two faced ‘animals’ On one hand they will stretch valuations way past sensible but on the other hand, they will convince prospective buyers the complete opposite.
ON DECEMBER 2nd, Mars opposed the planet Uranus, beginning the 40% of that synodic cycle which has contained EVERY stock market crash of the past 100 years! As it is a short cycle of about two years, it is clear that a crashing market does not occur in any but a small portion of such cycles. However, with the current Bull Market move becoming very extended, and with various economic and technical information weakening the "Big Picture," our opinion is firm that the year ahead presents more than casual dangers to lives and fortunes!
Je n’ai pas le droit de vous dire où placer votre argent. Par contre, je trouve que les frais de gestion de 1% sont relativement acceptables. Par exemple, même en utilisant un robot-conseiller, tel que WealthSimple, les frais sont d’environ 0.7%. Ceci dit, je n’ai jamais investi dans de tels fonds, alors je ne connais pas leurs rendements, ni leurs compositions. De plus, j’imagine que vous n’avez pas une fortune à investir pour le moment. À votre âge, l’important est d’investir plutôt que de dépenser. Vous avez le temps d’optimiser votre portefeuille graduellement.
It’s not life-threatening but maybe something like a perforated bowel – serious but not terminal. A Trump family member has a near-fatal accident. (CORRECT: 10/10 was this what I ‘saw’ or is there more to come? This happened on 17th October 2018 soon after these predictions made. See the Independent: “Melania Trump’s plane forced to land after ‘haze of smoke’ spotted.“
In the case of books, it would be wise not to try to reinvent the wheel. If you know a book is excellent for investing, then pick it up and start reading. For example, if Warren Buffet says to read “The Intelligent Investor” by Benjamin Graham then you’d better find it and start reading. Admittedly, some of the older books on the topic of investing are very dry. In this case, it may be helpful to get the audio version.
This year has been significant in that there have been no wasps. Wasps like many creatures use the Earth’s electromagnetic fields as a navigational motorway. As we are in the flux of some change, wildlife is finding itself at sixes and sevens. As the electromagnetic fields and the gravitational forces increase, there is potential to use this power as a source of energy. This will not only solve the world’s energy problems but put an end to the wars in the Middle East that are caused to exploit Oil and gas resources. It will also stop Putin’s relentless need to control Eastern Europe and beyond. The change in the electromagnetic field will also alter man’s fundamentally left brain thinking to a more right brain creative problem solution thinking that is essentially more rounded and feminine in its notion. My understanding is this is a natural process in the Earth’s cycle. That humanity has been here before is without doubt. There is nothing for humanity to fear. The changes to come are one embrace.
A couple of weeks after the symposium, on the day after the summer solstice, Weingarten and I meet again at the Princeton Club. Weingarten didn’t attend Princeton and has no connection to the university. He uses it as a base because the food is top-notch, he lives nearby, and he doesn’t have an office. In any event, he’s elated, and shows me why on his laptop. For months he’s been telling his newsletter subscribers that Bitcoin will slide in June, particularly around the 21st, the day of the solstice. And … bingo! The price of Bitcoin has dropped today almost $700, one of its biggest one-day plunges.
J’ai ouvert un compte géré avec Questrade, mais je suis en processus de transférer les fonds dans un compte auto-géré et d’appliquer un modèle de ETF/FNB indexés proposé sur Couchpoatato. J’avais cédulé des dépôts automatiques que je comptais garder pour le compte autogéré. Par contre je lis à plusieurs endroits que si on a moins de 50 000$ de fonds et qu’on dépose de petits montants régulièrement, les ETF ne sont pas une bonne stratégie à cause des commissions, que le TD E-series ou compte d’investissement Tangerine seraient de meilleures options. Sauf que, tel que tu le mentionnais dans cet article, à Questrade, les transactions pour des FNB canadiens (en fait, Nord Américain selon leur FAQ) ne prennent pas de commissions.
Unfortunately we are going to the brink of serious global conflict, but it will be okay in the end. I was very unhappy with Trump’s timing of the North Korea/South Korea ‘peace’ talks as he did it on Mercury Retrograde, exactly the same cycle that Chamberlain appeased Hitler. What we have to trust and hope for is the mini Age of Aquarius which comes from Christmas 2019 when people power and one-world thinking will prevail. What you need to remember about 1935 is the anti-Semitism too. We just saw this in Britain and it affected this week’s elections, working against the Labour party. So, history really does repeat. Take a look at Tesla and Mr. Musk. That’s my big tip. Their charts show exact matches in late Scorpio and Jupiter (abundance) is headed there, later this year.
I predict action with Iran and North Korea will make news. Looks like peace-deal being worked on in Iran but the US will be at war with Iran this year in a way similar to Gulf War. Iran will be destroyed militarily by US and UK. North Korea uses the situation as chance to pull something but they find out US can fight 3 major wars at the same time if needed. Korea will soon be united as the North falls after a war in next 36 months. Cuba tends to try to avoid openness again a short time then all clears and US business-people will be going there to start building projects as Cuba becomes tourism centre of Tropics. I also predict that Russia invades another nation late summer then has to pull out. (Abridged by editor as post far too long)
Indeed, after learning your trading would be lot more better. As, you understand the dynamics of the market and learn to analyze and make trading decisions after completing the course. You’ll also learn which company is good which is bad! Are these stock overvalued? When our market is bullish or bearish? Your entry and exit in stock market will improve a lot.
Thanks to the Fed’s ZIRP, public pension funds cannot get safe 5% returns as they did in the past. Thus, public pension funds are being lured into investing in the stock market by the big financial firms. The stock market may very well crash soon, which means that millions of retired people are going to see their benefits being cut in the coming years.
It’s beyond Black Monday. The next stock market crash will combine the effects of Black Monday with the tech bubble of 1999-2000 and the recession that resulted from the crash of 2007-2008. The Shiller CAPE ratio, which measures a stock’s performance by comparing its price against earnings over a 10-year period, has reached the very point when Alan Greenspan pronounced his famous “irrational exuberance” speech. (Source: “The stock market’s valuation is back to the point where Greenspan warned of ‘irrational exuberance’,” CNBC, October 31, 2017.)
But how about in the past, were there any particular planetary alignments during times of economic problems? Yes, there is a general pattern we shall discuss here. During the October 1987 and October 1929 stock exchange crashes, the Planet Saturn was in the Astrological sign of Sagittarius. The significance of this is that Sagittarius, the combined horse/man, with Saturn having a connection in Greek / Roman / Etruscan mythology to agriculture as well as weights and measures and coins, means that Saturn in Sagittarius represents the third Horseman of the Apocalypse, economic depression. When Saturn is in Sagittarius you may get the trigger event, such as a stock market crash, that begins an economic depression.
If you haven't been periodically rebalancing your portfolio, you may be invested more aggressively than you think. Someone who started out with a mix of 70% stocks and 30% bonds when this bull market began back in 2009 and simply re-invested all gains in whatever investment generated them, would have something close to a portfolio 90% stocks and 10% bonds today.
Yet rising labor costs could eat into company profits and hurt earnings, making stocks seem even more overvalued. As confidence ebbs, investors could flee stocks and other assets, such as commercial real estate, for risk-free bonds that would provide higher-than-current rates. A steep market decline would reduce consumer wealth and further dent household and business confidence and spending.
« Les FNB permettent d’acheter, en une seule action, une brochette de titres qui reflète la composition d’un indice. Les FNB permettent donc de diversifier aisément un portefeuille, un peu comme un fonds commun de placement. Mais comme les FNB ne sont pas gérés activement par un gestionnaire, leurs frais de gestion sont minimes… parfois à peine 0,06 %. Des poussières par rapport aux fonds communs qui prélèvent aisément 2,5 % par an. » (source)
Indeed, Buffett's ability to tune out the noise and remain optimistic amid these downturns has played a vital role in his unrivaled performance over decades. Between 1965 and the end of 2017, Berkshire's market value has increased at an annualized rate of 20.9%, more than doubling the S&P 500's average annual growth of 9.9% during this same period. This 20.9% annualized growth rate for Berkshire's market value translates to a total return of 2,404,748%, obliterating the S&P 500's 15,508% gain during the same timeframe.
Thank you for becoming a Premium Member and also for the compliment. Don’t be anxious, but do give yourself an advantage by understanding what it means to have Uranus conjunct your natal Chiron at 0 Taurus in your Second House of finance, property, business and possessions. Essentially your lifelong pattern is to see what you can get away with, no matter if you are buying, selling or borrowing. Chiron is that side of you which is quite audacious and willing to tilt at windmills. You are always moving the goalposts, to coin another phrase, when it comes to money and were probably doing that as a child or teenager too. Experimenting and exploring to see what is possible – what is acceptable. When Uranus comes along in May, and again in early 2019, you will need to adjust and adapt your approach. In other words, the habits of a lifetime with finances will need to be examined very closely to see if your old angle is still going to work for you in unpredictable times. Figuring out a strategy is a very good idea. Rather than just reacting, try to put everything in front of you and see what tactics you can use. You’ll see a lot of astrologers online and in workshops now talking about this cycle, as we have not seen it since the Thirties. By 2019 you will be far more up on the game and will know how to play it. The best example I can give you is the Industrial Revolution. You either got on board with it and did very well, back in the 18th century, or you threw your clogs into the machinery and … your clogs got broken! Another example I can give you is the French Revolution and the peasant rebellion against taxes. Again, you either got on board with that and owned the new country – or you were wasting your time, hanging on to your poster of Marie Antoinette. It’s going to be that radical. What do you gain? Freedom. Freedom from X and freedom, thanks to Y. You actually won’t be able to fill in X and Y until Uranus has arrived and it is in the nature of this planet to be utterly unpredictable. Yet – you have the kind of chart where you can make just about anything work. You would do wonders with gardening, actually. I hope your little boy gets a good animal friend.
Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to the author of the Pop Economics Blog on February 25: Pop: This is Rob Bennett, author of the "A Rich Life" blog. Rajiv Sethi linked yesterday to your blog entry defending the Buy-and-Hold model from my criticisms of it. In my comment (at the bottom of the long comments section), I said that I would contact you to see if you have an interest in hosting a Guest Blog Entry by me responding to the points you made in the "Rob Bait"…
The first known market collapse was the result of Mississippi bubble. The war of Spanish Succession was fought from 1701 - 1714 and led to a hike in European government’s debt. In order to get rid of this debt, government tried to convert the debt to equity but it created bubble for Mississippi Company Stock (Paris) and for South Sea Company (London).