J’ai entendu parler de la firme Giverny, ils battent le marché année aprèes année depuis 1993. Qu’en pensez-vous ? Est-il vraiment impossible de ne pas battre le marché ? C’est un exemple parmi d’autres, j’imagine. J’aimerais bien connaître la réflexion qui vous a poussé vers les fonds indiciels versus une firme de placement qui a fait ses preuves.
Pour répondre à ta question sur les conseillers humains chez Wealthsimple, j’ai reçu plusieurs courriel une fois que je me suis inscrit sur le site pour me dire que je pouvais à tout moment parler à un conseiller au téléphone ou bien envoyer un courriel (il y avait probablement aussi l’option de « chatter » en direct avec un conseiller mais je ne suis plus sûr à 100%) si jamais on voulait de l’aide ou des conseils pour ouvrir un compte (REER, CELI, REEE, compte personnel, compte conjoint, etc.) . Bref, il y avait du soutien si on voulait.
You would need to be aware of the strain on your nervous system as Uranus opposes your patterns at 0, 1, 2, 3 in the finance signs. I am sure you could dance in the storm that is coming, and do well – but at a certain point you have to realise that Uranus (the electrifying atmosphere) opposite your natal placements is associated with tremendous stress. Things will be nuts out there, well into early 2019, so you need to make absolutely sure that the price you are paying for that particular line of work, is worth what it will cost you in tension. Uranus oppositions place big demands on us.
“Across assets, these projections look tame relative to what the GFC delivered and probably unalarming relative to the recession/crisis averages” of the past, JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi wrote, noting that during the recession and ensuing global financial crisis the S&P 500 fell 54 percent from its peak. “We would nudge them all at least to their historical norms due to the wildcard from structurally less-liquid markets.”

There are more millennials because they started from higher birth levels than the baby boomers. But the slope of the wave of baby boomers from 1936 to 1961 is like a huge 10-foot wave. The millennials will never have that growth rate even at their full peak spending period. They won’t take us to new heights. So the economy basically goes sideways as far as the eye can see. Demographics are going to be shrinking, even in the next boom.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free From Broke site called How to Change Your Stock Allocation in Response to Valuation Shifts. Juicy Excerpt: Stock valuations do not jump randomly from super-low levels to super-high levels.  They change gradually over a 30-year or 35-year time period.  They start at super-low levels, move to fair-value levels, continue moving up until they reach insanely high levels, and then crash hard. We are today at a P/E10 of 21, working our way down from…
There are more millennials because they started from higher birth levels than the baby boomers. But the slope of the wave of baby boomers from 1936 to 1961 is like a huge 10-foot wave. The millennials will never have that growth rate even at their full peak spending period. They won’t take us to new heights. So the economy basically goes sideways as far as the eye can see. Demographics are going to be shrinking, even in the next boom.
Record, Stock Market, and Time: THE STOCK MARKET JUST REACHED AN ALL-TIME HIGH DURING MY ADMINISTRATION FOR THE 102ND TIME, A PRESIDENTIAL RECORD, BY FAR, FOR LESS THAN TWO YEARS. SO MUCH POTENTIAL AS TRADE AND MILITARY DEALS ARE COMPLETED ATAGAN @realDonaldTrump The stock market just reached an ALL-TIME HIGH during my administration for the 102nd time!
His reasoning: Stockman expects "an epic monetary and fiscal (policy) collision," he told CNBC. On the one hand, the recent tax cuts enacted by Congress are likely to help push the federal budget deficit to nearly $1 trillion next year. At the exact same time, the Federal Reserve is starting to unwind its sizable bond portfolio— which it amassed in the aftermath of the financial crisis to keep bond yields low to juice economy activity.
(1)1998=666x3, and 1999 has 666 upside down, and 666 is the number of the Antichrist (also called The Beast) in Revelation 13, I believe these numbers are connected with his appearance in year 2000 (as Russia's President Putin), and there will be a powerful satanic influence in the world (related to Putin) in 2018 - 2019, that relates to the rise of the Antichrist Putin. Revelation is the last chapter of the Bible, and includes a series of prophecies of catastrophic events-- wars, earthquakes, diseases, economic chaos, and the arrival of the Antichrist. Angels are also mentioned in Revelation, such as an angel from the East in Revelation 7, another Angel in Revelation 10. Many people believe the prophecies of the Bible are coming true now, as described in Revelation; the popularity of the excellent book "The Bible Code" by Michael Drosnin, (see this page for more discussion of it, and this page on the King James version Bible Code) indicates the interest of people in Bible prophecy. Another interesting book: "The Da Vinci Code", by Dan Brown, is about the Biblical-related mystery concerning Mary Magdalene, and the legend that she actually married Jesus Christ, and had children by him, whose descendants were kings of France, and that the blood line has been traced to present times by a secret society in Europe. See this page for relevant discussion on this subject. As described in the prophecies of Revelation, the Antichrist is the son of Satan, a Satanic imitation of Christ. The Antichrist will be assisted by the False Prophet, who is the Second Beast of Revelation 13. The False Prophet is said to work apparent miracles, including "bringing fire down from heaven". The Antichrist is described as having the mouth of a lion, feet of a bear, and gets his power from the dragon: the bear is Russia, the dragon is Red China and also Satan, and the mouth of a lion I think is Hong Kong, the former British colony that is now part of China. This indicates a Russia-Red China military alliance. A second meaning of the lion is Iran, where before the Islamic Revolution Iran had a Lion on its flag, indicating a Russia-China-Iran military alliance, with Russia helping Iran build the A-Bomb by helping it with its nuclear program, and Russia has been selling military equipment such as missles to Iran. The "mouth of a lion" could be Iran. Also, note that a Russia-China military alliance has formed in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) which consists now of Russia, China, and 4 Central asian Countries, and which met in October 2005, and there was a Russia-China joint military exercise in 2005. Clearly the SCO was formed as an alliance against the U.S. and Western Europe. And more countries may join the SCO. The SCO may actually develop into a confederation of 10 states led by the Antichrist Putin, the red 10 horned beast of Revelation 13. Also, it is possible that Belarus may unify with Russia, so it is shown in the drawing below. "The little horn" is a name for the Antichrist from the Book of Daniel (note Putin's small size), so St. Petersburg Russia is where this little horn of the red beast has grown.
Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never WorkThe Buy-and-Holders are not evil people. They are smart and good people. They made a mistake. They were so excited about their early findings that they experienced cognitive dissonance when the mistake was revealed. They painted themselves into a corner and now don’t know how to get out. This article explains how the mistake was made and how we came to find ourselves in the trap we are in today.

So, when will the stock market crash again? There is no way to accurately predict a bear market. The FAANG stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) have led the bull market over the last 9 years. If these stocks fail to keep their earnings momentum going, investors may lose confidence in the market. So far only Facebook and Netflix have disappointed investors, while Apple remains as strong as ever.

Searchlight magazine said it was "horrified" to discover anti-semitic books by US extremist publisher Liberty Bell on the Tesco website. Titles offered for sale included The Hitler We Loved and Why, The International Jew and The Protocols of the Elders of Zion. Searchlight found another 106 titles by British-based publisher Steven Books which it describes as "so extreme that even the British National Party does not sell them". The shop said in a statement: "Tesco.com has over one million book titles covering a wide range of subjects. We are unhappy that titles which could cause offence to some customers have found their way on to our site and took immediate action to remove them once they were brought to our attention."[162]
We can see that Mercury dashas do not generally correlate with higher prices and fall well below the +6%/year historical norm for stocks. The best performing period occurred during Jupiter-Mercury but even there, Mercury revealed its bearish tendencies since it marked the biggest crash in history. The overall positive price effect from 1985-1988 was largely the result of Jupiter's overriding influence. It is perhaps no coincidence that the greatest bull market in history occurred during the Jupiter dasha from 1981 to 1997. The only other strongly positive period occurred during the Sun dasha. Here we can see the combined effect of two 11th house planets (gains!) fending off whatever bearish influences they encountered. Looking ahead to Mercury's next major dasha period which begins in 2016, it's hard to be optimistic about the stock market's performance.
Shilling is particularly worried about the $8 trillion in dollar-denominated emerging-market corporate and sovereign debt, especially as the U.S. dollar rises along with interest rates. “The problem is as the dollar increases,” he said, “it gets tougher and tougher for them to service [that debt] because it takes more and more of their local currency to do so.” Of that, $249 billion must be repaid or refinanced through next year, Bloomberg reported.
In May 2005, Tesco announced a trial non-food only format near Manchester and Aberdeen,[86] and the first shop opened in October 2005. The shops offered all of Tesco's ranges except food in warehouse-style units in retail parks. Tesco introduced the format as only 20% of its customers had access to a Tesco Extra, and the company was restricted in how many of its superstores it could convert into Extras and how quickly it could do so. Large units for non-food retailing are much more readily available. The format was not Tesco's first non-food only venture in the UK. Until the late 1990s/early 2000s there were several non-food Tesco shops around the country including Scarborough and Yate. Although not in a warehouse-style format, the shops were located on high streets and shopping centres, and stocked similar items to Homeplus shops. In both cases this was because another part of the shopping centre had a Tesco Superstore that stocked food items only. By 2014, the number of Homeplus shops in the United Kingdom had reached 12; the newest shop opened in Chester in July 2009. In 2012 it was reported that Tesco was looking to close the business to focus on groceries.[87] Tesco closed six Homeplus shops on 15 March 2015,[47] and the remaining six shops closed on 27 June 2015.[88]
Sometimes, the market seems to react irrationally to economic or financial news, even if that news is likely to have no real effect on the fundamental value of securities itself.[62] However, this market behaviour may be more apparent than real, since often such news was anticipated, and a counterreaction may occur if the news is better (or worse) than expected. Therefore, the stock market may be swayed in either direction by press releases, rumors, euphoria and mass panic.

“At the Very Bare Minimum, Anyone Who Points Someone to One of the Buy-and-Hold Retirement Studies for Use in Planning a Retirement Should Let That Person Know That There Are Today Two Schools of Academic Thought as to How Stock Investing Works, Not One, and Let that Person Make the Decision as to Whether to Rely on the Numbers Generated by the Buy-and-Hold Studies or the Numbers Generated by the Valuation-Informed Indexing Studies.”

I recently started a discussion-board thread at the Early Retirement Extreme site titled Is Buy-and-Hold Just a Marketing Pitch? Juicy Excerpt #1: I think this may be the warmest reception I have heard to my criticism of Buy-and-Hold at any place on the internet. Usually, I duck immediately after pushing the "Send" button to avoid the bricks being thrown at me. Here, I almost feel that in fairness I should jump in and defend the Buy-and-Hold position! Juicy Excerpt #2: I don't think "Buy…


The Dow Jones Industrials chart is one of those concerning charts. The area indicated with “0” shows that the index has risen with more than 30% in 12 months, without any meaningful correction. This rally may be amazing, but it is reaching a level never seen before in the last 12 years (including the 2007 rally and major top). All other instances of a 30% rise in 12 months are indicated on this chart (from 1 till 5):
Just last year I started investing in real estate – it happened very quickly and unexpectedly last fall. We are now considering going even deeper into more real estate, but I’m worried about putting all my eggs in one basket. Considering my chart and all the changes to come, should I wait and watch, look in. another direction, or is real estate a good bet for me? Internally I’m feeling pressure to take action, but I can be overly urgent at times with my Aries rising wanting to go full steam ahead!
The Bennett/Pfau Research Showing Middle-Class Investors How to Reduce the Risk of Stock Investing by 70 PercentYou do not have to take on a large amount of risk to obtain good returns. Why should you? When you buy an index fund, you are buying a tin share in the productivity of the U.S. economy. The U.S. economy has been sufficiently productive to support an average annual stock return of 6.5 percent real for 140 years now. So that’s what you can expect if you invest in a sensible way. But you are not being sensible if you follow a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You MUST consider price when buying stocks just as much as you must consider price when buying anything else. This is the most important investing research published in 30 years. It frees all of us from dependence on Wall Street “experts.”
So to summarize: We are still in the middle of the bleeding. Criminal activity regarding the market will continue to come to light. The market will undergo tremendous change over the next decade. It won’t really be “safe” for normal people to invest in the market for a few years when it begins to stabilize again. More companies are going to go under. The overall value of the market is going to go down. We are headed into a different sort of depression then the 30s, but still it will be a depression. There will be international market, and banking laws put into place over the next decade, and the world will become even more intricately connected as one economy, with one set of rules we all have to abide by. After a few years of changes people will get used to the Pluto energy, and begin to understand the new flow of the market, and it will turn around for the better, and start to build more value again.
I've written a Guest Blog Entry for the Stock Trend Investing blog titled Long-Term Trend Investing. Juicy Excerpt: There’s one big flaw to Buy-and-Hold, however. When stocks are overpriced, it can take a long, long time for investors to obtain the average long-term return of 6.5 percent real. The Buy-and-Hold advocates don’t like for investors to learn how long it can take for the average long-term return to apply. How does the idea of waiting 25 years to see a good return on your…
In a nutshell, JPMorgan is predicting a crash of about 20 percent as well as a jump in corporate-bond yield premiums of about 1.15 percentage points, a 35 percent drop in energy prices and a 29 percent decline in base metals. In addition, it predicts a 2.79 point increase in emerging-nation government debt, a 48 percent drop in emerging-market stocks and a 14.4 percent decline in emerging currencies.
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the "Money and Such" blog entitled Passive Investing Is a Strategy for Extremists. Juicy Excerpt: The word “passive” sounds neutral. It sounds moderate. I don’t think the investing philosophy is that at all. The investing philosophy argues for taking no action whatsoever when the risk of holding stocks increases dramatically. This is the blog entry that was viewed by the owner of the "Lazy Man and Money" blog as "too hot to…
Rising share prices, for instance, tend to be associated with increased business investment and vice versa. Share prices also affect the wealth of households and their consumption. Therefore, central banks tend to keep an eye on the control and behavior of the stock market and, in general, on the smooth operation of financial system functions. Financial stability is the raison d'être of central banks.[49]

Some quatrains refer to the Arab Anti-Christ who will first gain control of Iran and other parts of the Middle East. In the book, he is described as a very good looking and charismatic leader who will use deception to fool the West. His intention is to conquer and islamicise Europe and he will have many successes. First, he will destroy Europe’s cultural centers in Greece and Rome. The West will be so paralyzed by these attacks that it will not respond until it’s too late.
In 1987, you had an economy that was slowing from a rapid recovery, Treasury yields that were huge and falling, and an inflation rate that was running around 4%. Today, you have an economy that is just starting to boom, Treasury yields that are low and rising, and an inflation rate running around 2%. In other words, the economic conditions are starkly different.
It’s not going to create 4% [GDP] growth. Business might feel good for a couple of quarters, but there isn’t anything to build on. You can give companies a trillion dollars, but what are they going to do with it? Just buy back stock and pay dividends to their shareholders. They don’t need to expand. We’ve got excess supply here and around the world. We don’t need businesses to invest in a lot of new capacity. We already did that in the boom.
Many people have predicted World War 3 taking place soon with Putin’s official announcement in late February 2018 of Russia’s invincible nuclear capability where the nuclear missiles are impossible to be detected by US when launched https://youtu.be/gSuv0CzSnts Many devoted Christians also have similar dreams from God warning of Russia and China invading US and Russian nuclear missiles bombing New York City such as https://unitedstatesprophecy.com/russia-will-attack-and-invade-america/
Tesco has been targeted by protesters complaining the supermarket chain sells goods made in Israel, with most complaints being about products emanating from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. Protests generally occur when Israeli military operations are being carried out in the Gaza Strip or the West Bank. A protester was arrested at a protest at a shop in Birmingham on 16 August 2014.[161]
I was hoping that you wouldn’t predict about India-Pakistan conflict this year. That’s because I had heard from somebody else several months ago about Pakistan and China together attacking India in 2018, and was hoping that he was wrong. Is it going to be a war or is it going to be a small conflict? God may mitigate the situation but to what extent? I live in India, not too far from Pakistani border. I’m wondering if I should start packing my bags.
Thank you Jessica. This on-going legal dispute is sadly due to the other party refusing any form of negotiation and settlement, hence 12 legal cases on, we are going around in circles. Nobody knows what he wants. By the way, he was born 21 April 1965, in Tizi Ouzou, Algeria. I feel we have wasted 5 years of our working lives, as he has tied us in knots financially and we cannot do anything else but to keep fighting and save what we have worked so hard for. He seems mentally unstable and intent on destroying everything we have created for his own material gain. Uranus will be passing his Taurus sun soon. How could that be interpreted? Thank you once again
The one thing I do know is that the market will make a major change in direction. It’s going to try to hide it as much as possible because it wants to screw everybody. The big traders — the sharks — make money, but all the minnows get eaten. That’s what the market wants. It wants people to be trapped in the bubble. Bubbles are very tricky to play. Now is a good time to get out. The upside is limited.

Perhaps the likeliest reason for the next stock market crash could be an escalating trade spat between the United States and China. After the U.S. initially placed tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods, China retaliated with tariffs of its own on an equal value of imported U.S. goods. Now the two sides are threatening to one-up the other with tariffs.

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