I think you may be way off with your prediction that the British Labour will make big gains in Scotland…the latest polls show SNP way in the lead with 58% and Scottish Labour falling back to 23%, there is NO way Labour will win in May. As ex Labour of 40 years, hell will freeze over before many of us will return. SNP are the party of Scotland and for the people of Scotland……we trust NO party that is run by London!
I will be writing a monthly column on the dangers of Buy-and-Hold and on our need to move on as a society to promotion of the Valuation-Informed Indexing model at the Balance Junkie site. My first entry there is called The Gene Mauch Rule for Investing Success. Juicy Excerpt: Bull markets are the stock market’s equivalent to baseball winning streaks. During bull markets, the temptation is to get overly excited about stocks, to count the phony and temporary bull market gains as permanent.…
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Once a meme has been approved, it needs to be categorized. For example, do Hooded Kermit and Tea Kermit both count as Kermit Memes? Or are they separate entities with distinct trajectories and distinct NASDANQ values? The proposed solution here is something the team is calling a “three-market system”: multiple markets that exist under the NASDANQ umbrella. Memes will be distributed among these markets based on their particular characteristics. The three markets will include penny stocks (low-end, not very popular memes) text-based memes (where the text is always the same, but the image will change, i.e., the Rick Harrison Pawn shop meme) and image-based memes (opposite of text-based memes, like Hooded Kermit).
J’aimerais avoir si c’est possible d’avoir vôtre opinion sur les gestionnaires de porte-feuille privé Québécois comme Cote 100, Giverny Capital, Fond Barrage (40% de rendement en 2016 je crois), groupe Médici, etc.. Effectivement, depuis 2008, ces gestionnaires vont battre régulièrement les indices (rendement moyen de 12% depuis 2008) et certains ont des frais de gestion de 1% et demande un minimum de $50K comme montant de départ. Merci à l’avance.
Bonjour Jean-Sebastien! Je viens de terminer la lecture de vos articles et je dois dire que vous me motivez encore plus à acquérir mon indépendance financière. Étant encore relativement jeune et aux études (21 ans et en voie de commencer son MBA l’année prochaine), l’objectif semble encore loin, mais facilement atteignable avec de la motivation! J’aimerais cependant avoir votre avis sur les stratégies de placement. Comme j’ai pu constater suite à la lecture de vos articles sur l’investissement, vous privilégiez beaucoup les FNB aux autres produits de placement à cause de leurs faibles frais de gestion et vous semblez être plus réticent face aux fonds communs investis à l’aide d’un conseiller financier. Cependant, que pensez vous des fonds communs investis à l’aide de plateforme de courtage en ligne qui diminuent considérablement les frais de gestion? En investissant dans des fonds commun de série D (directement en ligne) plutôt que A (avec conseiller) les frais peuvent souvent se réduire de moitié pour tourner autour de 1%. J’aimerais avoir votre avis sur cette situation. Merci beaucoup et continuez votre bon travail! J’espère pouvoir vous rencontrer un jour et échanger sur votre expérience.
Jump up ^ Wood, Zoe (5 October 2011). "Tesco's UK sales slide as consumers cut non-essential spending". The Guardian. London. Retrieved 5 October 2011. Tesco has reported its weakest six-monthly UK sales figures for 20 years as higher food and fuel costs contributed to stark decline in spending on non-essentials such as gadgets, CDs and games in its stores.
You see, the economy runs in cycles – the pace of growth (keeping in mind that the stock market should reflect somewhat the real economy, that’s for another question though) expands and contracts naturally. In fact, one of the roles of the Federal Reserve, and many other central banks, is to smooth out business cycles, as stability is viewed as a public good.

The magazines work months in advance so I made my predictions for 2014 around September and October. Soon after making this one there was a huge fire in Australia. So maybe I was seeing this – but I still feel that what I saw was really unprecedented. Similarly I note that bright light in the sky may be me ‘seeing’ Comet ISON but in my vision I saw something far far brighter in the sky. It would illuminate the whole sky – brighter than the moon.

The www.Conservatives4Palin.com site has posted my Reader Submission titled How Ruing Class Stock Pushers Caused the Economic Crisis. Juicy Excerpt: Why would experts say that Buy-and-Hold can work if it always causes an economic crisis? Stocks pay higher commissions than most alternative asset classes. It is in the short-term financial interests of those who make their living selling stocks to persuade middle-class people that stocks are always the best buy. Some say that this is not a…

Vous a-t-il au moins expliqué pourquoi il croit que les fonds indiciels sont une mauvaise idée? Personnellement, le seul point négatif que je vois actuellement aux fonds indiciels est que, si tout le monde investie dans ce type de fond, le marché va devenir stagnant, et à ce moment là ça risque d’être plus avantageux d’investir activement. Mais on est loin de ce scénario. La majorité des planificateurs financiers sont incapables de battre le marché de façon constante sur le long terme, et en tant qu’investisseur, perdre 2,3% de profit pour se payer un planificateur est énorme! On parle de 2,300$ par année sur 100,000$. Sur 20 ans on est rendu à 23,000$, sans compté les intérêts composés perdus. Imaginez sur une porte-feuille de quelques millions…
In 2019, I think the U.S. will do better than the much of the world (Europe may have worse problems). As for Russia, watch out for a mother bear that has lost its cubs-- as Russia has lost its former satellite countries. Russia has turned into an angry bear under Putin. This is because Putin is the Antichrist, the Satanic imitation of Christ, who rises to power during a period of world chaos described in the Bible's Book of Revelation. Note that Putin is likely to use natural gas and oil exports from Russia as a means to manipulate former Soviet Union countries and Western Europe. 

Jones is widely credited with predicting, and profiting, from the stock-market crash on Oct. 19, 1987, which saw the Dow lose nearly 23% of its value, marking the largest one-day percentage decline for the blue-chip benchmark in its history. Jones founded Tudor in 1980 and became known for trading everything from currencies to commodities. His record has featured middling returns and an exodus of billions from his hedge fund in more recent years. According to a Forbes list of billionaires, Jones boasts a net worth of $4.7 billion
It is believed that Khashoggi was dismembered after being abducted by the Saudis, and all of the major western powers have expressed major concern about his fate.  But the Saudis insist that they didn’t have anything to do with his disappearance, and they are threatening “greater action” if any sanctions are imposed upon them.  The following comes from USA Today…

"In turbulent times for financial markets, more books than usual are published on such subjects as financial crashes. This book is different. First, it is written by an internationally recognized expert in non-linear, complex systems. Second, it promotes some new ideas in both finance and science. In addition, it offers the general reader an insight into finance, both practical and academic, as well as some of the issues at the cutting edge of science. What more could one ask for?"―Neil F. Johnson, Department of Physics and Oxford Center for Computational Finance, Oxford University
This will work out, but you are dealing with a classic Aries-Taurus type. This person has a head full of steam, as they say in Australia. Part ram, part bull. The bull digs his heels in the ground and will not move, on pure principle, and the Aries wants to win – to compete – to do battle if necessary. You have also bought into the fight unfortunately because you have Juno at 24 Libra in the Seventh House of partners and opponents, so you tend to ‘wed’ yourself fully both to partners – but also to enemies. It can honestly be like tying a knot with someone who is against you. Of course you invested in this energetically because you have a huge sense of justice and fairness (Libra) and cannot bear things to be so lopsided! You also have your Nodes in Aries and Libra so I suspect some past life entanglement here. You have been a soldier, captain, guard – and similar roles – in many lifetimes and the idea of ‘fighting the good fight’ is embedded in who you are. I am very sorry you are being put this, but you have committed to him. The Nodes always show karma and I do wonder (if I had his full chart) if he isn’t your mirror and vice versa. I wouldn’t normally suggest all this soul-searching, but your Aries-Libra nodes (and in fact all your Aries-Libra placements) have been well and truly hit by Uranus since 2011, repeatedly, and I think a great deal of what you are dealing with here is karmic in nature. So if you change yourself, and change your approach/attitude, he changes in turn. Chiron enters Aries soon and will go over these same degrees, across your Aries and Libra placements, so you have to take that into account. The unpredictable, erratic nature of the whole situation will fade by 2019 as Uranus leaves Aries for good, but Chiron in Aries is still here. It may help you to sit down with your Astrology Oracle cards when you have some time and space and really go through everything very deeply, particularly as I don’t have the chart of the other person who is with you in this matter. And of course his/her karma is also tightly woven in. Finally, I will say that Uranus in Taurus is ‘a revolution in values’ and the core meaning of our values is what we will and will not sell our soul for; who and what we consider to be priceless; how we ‘price’ things we cannot buy like peace of mind. Uranus in Taurus, for all three of you, may very well result in a brand new calculation. Uranus is about being free. What price release and relief?
I've posted my second Guest Blog Entry at the Arbor Investment Planner blog. It's called Asset Allocation Advisors Cause Financial Crisis. Juicy Excerpt: There is no study supporting Buy-and-Hold. The idea that academic research supports this approach is a myth. People really do believe in it; both experts and ordinary investors. But they don’t believe in it because of a study they have read. They believe in it because experts endorse it and because it is rarely challenged. We have…
Planetary indications are indicating that the Bulls are getting tired and the Bears will spread their muscles by short selling. Profit booking by the buyers, short term traders and the retail investors will pull the Indices down. Mars will enter Capricorn sign and conjoin with Ketu on 2nd. Mars will aspect Sun in Aries. Although the Bears will try to create negative and dull sentiments yet the market will be led by the Bulls in the first week. Mercury, the planet of business & commerce, will enter in Aries sign and thus conjoin with Sun. It will be under the aspect of Mars & Jupiter. This planetary cocktail will keep the traders guessing and suddenly set Bearish tone. Sun will move to Taurus and Venus will move to Gemini on 14th. Venus will be under the aspect of Saturn & Jupiter. This will create a mixed reaction. Change in the trend will be visible from 27th, when Mercury will conjoin Sun in Taurus. Overall view for the May month is Bearish.
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the Money and Such blog entitled Why Long-Term Timing Works Even Though Short-Term Timing Doesn't. Juicy Excerpt: It turns out that those studies were misinterpreted. I mentioned that there are hundreds of studies showing that timing doesn’t work. Do you know how many of those studies examine whether long-term timing works or not? The answer is -- not one of them. All of the studies showing that timing doesn’t work examine short-term timing; they…
I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free  Money Wisdom blog. It's titled What If Everything You Thought You Knew About Stock Investing Turned Out to be Wrong? Juicy Excerpt: Pfau’s most recent paper examines the one study that really did conclude that long-term timing does not work. The new paper states that: “Valuation-based market timing demonstrates greater potential to improve risk-adjusted returns for conservative long-term investors than given credit by Fisher and Statman…

However, his 2020 call on a crash and burn scenario for the world economy does line up with the view of the Economist Intelligence Unit on the subject. And I have to say that I’ve written a number of times that 2020 looked like a year, when US economic growth could be getting a little long in the tooth, so I’ll be increasingly on the lookout for signs in 2019. 
It wasn’t until the 1960s that the vocation was quasi-professionalized by a longtime Consolidated Edison Inc. employee who went by the name of Lieutenant Commander David Williams. Williams came to astrology via the burgeoning theory of “business cycles,” which posited that the market’s ups and downs have little to do with the particulars of companies or events but much to do with such patterns as the Fibonacci sequence, sunspots, or variations on Pi. Many of these, he thought, were themselves connected to planetary cycles. He found that during a series of 9.226-year cycles, the stock market bottomed out 80 percent of the time at Aries and Libra positions and crested 80 percent of the time at Cancer and Capricorn.
1. The biggest drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average happened on February 8, 2018 (see featured image above) and Bitcoin’s dramatic dip to just over $6,000USD happened on February 6, 2018. Both stock types are in line with the predicted aspect’s date frame of being within 10 days. There was also a small extra dip right on February 11. The Sun square Jupiter aspect did, evidently, produce the stock market crash 2018, within 5 to 3 days earlier.
Despite being in a recession, Tesco made record profits for a British retailer in the year to February 2010, during which its underlying pre-tax profits increased by 10.1% to £3.4 billion. Tesco then planned to create 16,000 new jobs, 9,000 in the UK.[107] In 2011 the retailer reported its poorest six-monthly UK sales figures for 20 years, attributed to consumers' reduced non-food spending and a growth in budget rivals.[108]
Can I guarantee this approach will lead to the best results over the long-term? Of course not. But at least you'll be following a disciplined rational strategy rather than engaging in a never-ending guessing game of trying to decide when to get out of the market (and where to put your money once you do) and then trying to figure out when to get back in. That's a game you can't consistently win.
Tax avoidance has not always related to corporation tax. A number of companies including Tesco used a scheme to avoid VAT by deeming 2.5% of purchases paid for by card to be a 'card transaction fee', which reduced the company's tax liability without changing the charge to the customer. Such schemes came to light after HMRC litigated against Debenhams over the scheme in 2005.[147]
The author discusses the application of non-linear modeling techniques on the financial market. Given the behavior of financial market is the result of the inter-working of countless investors, it's very surprising and interesting to see these modeling techniques actually produce some very good results. In particular, the author presents the logic behind the formation and the bursting of bubbles, and, more importantly, provides insight of what we can expect from the financial market in the long term.
Sadly, that prediction came true to the letter as there was a deadly 4.2 magnitude earthquake that hit Ischia on the 21st August 2017. This prediction hit home as my daughter and her young family were in Naples and had considered a day trip to Ischia on that day. Fortunately, they were okay though sadly Ischia saw a lot of destruction and deaths. Perhaps my personal connection allowed me to make this correct prophecy.
(Bloomberg) -- At Dwarika’s Resort, a holistic wellness retreat in Nepal’s Eastern Kathmandu Valley, I sat in a wooden library across from famed astrologer Santosh Vashistha, a distinguished 42-year-old in a plaid sport coat with remnants of festive red tika adorning his forehead. His piercing eyes are almost as captivating as the view of the distant Himalayas through the wide picture window behind him.

I’m a bit late to this. Today the IMF live streamed an hour discussion about changes to global economy and it mirrored what you’ve been tracking and writing. The video is likely still on IMF site to watch. It was good tho scary. They said countries should embrace service economies entered on empathy especially targeting aging seniors. You’d like the video so wanted to mention it as you give us so much.

Because they’ve got the frackers sitting on them. Every time oil gets back to $50 or $60, the frackers start cranking up again, and then they get excess supply. The Saudi princes are saying we’ll never see $100 oil again, and I agree — or at least not for a very, very long time. I see oil at pretty much between $20 and $60 for decades. And we won’t see natural gas at $14 again — because of fracking.
I agree completely with a previous poster, America has had enough of the Bush family. I don’t see any Republican winning after they have boxed themselves into the corner they are in. No way we would elect the hanging chad Governor who helped steal an election. Also, we have had enough Clinton’s, tho I am inclined to believe Hillary will win because it is time enough for a woman to be President.
“ Even in the days before perestroika, socialism was never a monolith. Within the Communist countries, the spectrum of socialism ranged from the quasi-market, quasi-syndicalist system of Yugoslavia to the centralized totalitarianism of neighboring Albania. One time I asked Professor von Mises, the great expert on the economics of socialism, at what point on this spectrum of statism would he designate a country as "socialist" or not. At that time, I wasn't sure that any definite criterion existed to make that sort of clear-cut judgment. And so I was pleasantly surprised at the clarity and decisiveness of Mises's answer. "A stock market," he answered promptly. "A stock market is crucial to the existence of capitalism and private property. For it means that there is a functioning market in the exchange of private titles to the means of production. There can be no genuine private ownership of capital without a stock market: there can be no true socialism if such a market is allowed to exist." ”
So, I should go ahead and take that last $15 I have in the bank out?? (better yet ill use it to fill up a gas can) Looks like this isn’t going to end well. The problem is the talking bimbos on the idiot box keep telling the lotus eaters of this world that everything is fine. (And they believe them!!) Have you tried to wake some of these people up to the fact that this will not end well?? My friends all thought I was crazy when I decided to move to the country to an off grid cabin in the woods two years ago, still not 100% ready but at least I don’t have to walk among them. God bless and prep on!
Early in February, I wrote on my personal Facebook page that on February 11, 2018, there would be a Sun -Jupiter square transit that is connected to the market astrophysics, and, more specifically, the stock market crash 2018. This transit usually brings market depression or reversal of direction in the period starting anywhere between 10 days BEFORE this aspect and a day or so AFTER the aspect. In fact, the October 2008 and 1962 crashes occurred exactly when Sun squared Jupiter.
The mid-1980s were a time of strong economic optimism. From August 1982 to its peak in August 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) grew from 776 to 2722. The rise in market indices for the 19 largest markets in the world averaged 296 percent during this period. The average number of shares traded on the NYSE(New York Stock Exchange) had risen from 65 million shares to 181 million shares.[26]
I have also had a similar dream. I dreamed about 2 yrs ago that Chengde in China was hit with a massive quake. I was in Chengde and they had just finished building a new shopping complex, as well as apartments. All of the buildings were white and it was really beautiful. I was standing at the back of a building when this massive quake struck. This massive wave came thundering in and the tsunami was so big that it literally flattened the entire complex like a rolling pin. I remember lifting of the ground and was floating up above watching this when it happened. I heard the people that survived it say that was a 9.5 quake is anyone else alive?
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Anaconda, Memes, and Obama: In Obama's first year, he prevented another Great Depression, saved the US auto industry, and put us on track to cut the uninsured rate in half and triple the stock market. Trump gave himself a $15-million-a- year tax cut and defended neo-Nazis. See the difference? OCCUPY DEMOCRAT Matt Palumbo Obama: 30 percent growth during the most volatile market on record-100% of that 30 percent gain was merely retracing lost value from past declines. Trump:25 percent growth. Least volatile market in history. First time since the 1980s where we had 12 straight positive months of stock market gains. Record low unemployment, rising wages, rising labor force participation. All gains make new all time highs

Another not so great thing going on is a Saturn return happening in the Dow’s chart. This happens to all of us between the ages of 27 to 30 years old and if you’ve been a good girl or boy, good things manifest, your career takes off but so does your responsability. This is a manifesting aspect, a maturing aspect, making people or entities reap the karma of their past, so if you’ve been bad, it’s not a good time. It’s not uncommon for people who have lived a reckless life to die during this aspect or become very ill or near death.
Market history suggests that increase in debt drives bubbles and when its government debt, the bubble is huge. Bull markets of 1720s, 1820s and 1920s led to historical market crashes. The Dot Com bubble burst in 2000-2001, and completely shut off many big companies while others suffered big losses that took years to recover. Market started recovering at the end of 2002 and then again the 2008 crash resulted in horrible financial crisis to the economy.