Pour ce qui est des FNB, j’ai un peu la même résistance que vous. Je suis convaincu qu’il s’agit de la meilleure façon passive d’investir à long-terme, certes j’ai parfois l’impression de passer à côté d’opportunités quand je me restraint à ces fonds. Par exemple, suite à la correction qu’on vient de subir, je constate certaines « aubaines » dans le marché. Toutefois, je garde le cap et je vise la passivité (lire la paresse). 😉
Vanguard tracks data to predict the likelihood of a recession at certain points in the future. In recent years, the company has put the probability of a recession six months out at close to 10 percent. Now, Vanguard says the chances of one by late 2020 are between 30 and 40 percent. That’s Vanguard’s highest-ever estimate for that time frame, Mr. Davis said. (A six-month forecast reported a greater than 40 percent probability before the recession that started in December 2007.)
Currently, the U.S. stock market is in the midst of one of the longest bull markets in its history. Since bottoming out in March 2009, the broad-based S&P 500 (INDEX: ^GSPC), led by a strong rally in technology stocks and other growth industries, has surged by more than 325%! Mind you, the stock market has historically returned 7% a year, inclusive of dividend reinvestment and adjusted for inflation. So, to say that things are going well right now would be an understatement.
Hi, for two weeks now I’ve been getting a sense that something massive is going to happen in September 2014. I get a picture of the northern polar ice-cap, and, polar movement. NASA knows about the polar movement. I feel this coming event is natural not man caused. Also, I’m getting it will be even more intense than the sea-bed quake and tsunami of 2004. I feel the north pole would be better avoided in September 2014. Is anyone else getting anything similar?
There will be a re-vamp of the flag. It will appear in the corner of the European nation’s flags as the stars appear in the corner of the USA Flag. (Flag not happened yet but the call for a 10/10 Correct European army has happened in November 2018. Predictions made in September 2018. See Sky News: “Donald Trump and Emmanuel Macron in frosty meeting after French leader’s call for EU army”)
NR, still stacking myself. Picked up some more .22 and .30 Carbine at the last gun show a month ago. My next big purchase is a new 12-ga. pump, Mossberg 500 or 590. 6 cords of wood are stacked at the BOL now. My cousin just got finished replacing the batteries for the solar system and installed a new Flojak hand pump for the well. Still have the creek out back as a backup source of water. What I have left to move now is just enough to fill up the truck for bugout. The woodstove at the cabin was just replaced 2 years ago along with the pipe. Cabin was totally remodeled 3 years ago. everything is in top condition there. Bugout time can’t come soon enough for me.
In his 12 lectures on the Book of Revelation, the great Austrian philosopher Rudolf Steiner unveils the mysteries of Saint John’s vision and show it to be a profound description of Christian initiation. As Steiner says, “The deepest truths of Christianity may be considered quite naturally in connection with this document, for it contains a great part of the mysteries of Christianity, that is, the profoundest part of what may be described as esoteric Christianity.”
John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Sean Williams has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Netflix. The Motley Fool has the following options: long January 2020 $150 calls on Apple and short January 2020 $155 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Some others have commented that his predictions have not all worked out. This is all discussed at length in the book; in such a field predictions are not infallible. About 40% of market crashes are caused by external events and so are not predictable. However he seems to have the S&P500 worked out. Last years he predicted a choppy rally in 1Q2003, then from 2Q2003 a major fall ending in 1h2004. So far so good.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the www.MyRetirementBlog.com site. It's entitled What If Everything You Thought You Knew About Retirement Planning Turned Out To Be Wrong? Juicy Excerpt: I never went to investing school. I never managed a big fund. It shouldn’t be possible for me to be the first person to develop a retirement calculator that gets the numbers right. I mean, come on! But the numbers generated by my retirement calculator are very different from the numbers generated by all…
Stacey, the difference between life after May, and life before May, is so extreme it’s almost like the difference between Ronald Reagan and everyone who came before him. It is also going to move very, very rapidly. Investing for your son is smart, of course, but you do need to look at his Taurus and Scorpio factors, if he has them. Jupiter (growth, abundance, good fortune, solutions) in Scorpio in the Eighth House of your chart this year is a huge source of either protection or profit. You have Mars at 25 Scorpio so when Jupiter hits 25 you will have an opportunity not possible in 12 years to take action on the money, the cryptocurrency, the house, apartment, business or charity. On 19th October, for example, the Sun at 25 Libra aspects Jupiter at 25 Scorpio, right on your Mars. However – and this is a big ‘however for you – you were also born with Uranus at 0 Scorpio and Uranus at 0 Taurus will oppose this, May and June 2018. This period will be a very wild ride, and you will need to educate yourself rapidly about what is going on out there and how to adapt and adjust. If you are curious about Uranus, Taurus, Scorpio, the Second House and Eighth House please hit Search. But in general, expect the unexpected. You can’t really make savvy choices about this new financial era until you get past Uranus entering Taurus – for the first time in most people’s adult lives. This is going to be as big as President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal in 1934. As big as Europe devaluing its currency. The astrology and history tell us that! Yet – eventually – we’re looking at one world crypto currency – and a more level playing field for the so-called Third World.
However, the psychological effects of the crash reverberated across the nation as businesses became aware of the difficulties in securing capital market investments for new projects and expansions. Business uncertainty naturally affects job security for employees, and as the American worker (the consumer) faced uncertainty with regards to income, naturally the propensity to consume declined. The decline in stock prices caused bankruptcies and severe macroeconomic difficulties, including contraction of credit, business closures, firing of workers, bank failures, decline of the money supply, and other economically depressing events.
Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries on the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy and on the Passion Saving money management approach: 1) The Economic Crisis Is the Best Thing That Ever Happened to Us, at the Hope to Prosper site; 2) The Truth About the Shiller P/E, at the Bad Money Advice site (this article is about Valuation-Informed Indexing but was not written by me); 3) Valuation-Informed Indexing/Emotional Market Theory, at the Value Investing Congress Group at…
Venus will enter Libra sign on the first day of the month and thereby conjoin with Jupiter. The Stock market will turn Bearish, after showing Bullish sentiments. Smart traders will book profits in gainful positions. Mercury will enter Leo sign on the second day of the month and thereby conjoin with Sun. These two planets will be under the aspect of Mars. Bulls will show interest in the stocks of Banks, Insurance, FMCG, Bearings, Capital goods sector companies. Sun will enter Virgo sign on 17th. Mercury will conjoin Sun on 18th. These two planets will be under the aspect of Saturn. Stock market may see short term Bullish trend till 22nd. Value investors should make good use of low rates of Blue chip companies.
Together, the 1929 stock market crash and the Great Depression formed the largest financial crisis of the 20th century. The panic of October 1929 has come to serve as a symbol of the economic contraction that gripped the world during the next decade. The falls in share prices on October 24 and 29, 1929 were practically instantaneous in all financial markets, except Japan.
So are we at the fiat of fate and going to be helplessly at the mercy of these events? We can change our personal fate and the fate of the world by harnessing the power of consciousness that I spoke about at the start of this piece. Thoughts are things and can influence future events. If they are powerful enough and fueled by compassion then they will protect you personally but also influence the course of history.
It is not a big surprise, however, that many investors today remain interested in the forecasts of financial analysts regardless of their success. Humans in the past consulted oracles, crystal balls and tea leaves. It’s in our nature: As the proverb goes, “tell me a fact, and I'll learn; tell me a truth, and I’ll believe; but tell me a story and it will live in my heart forever.” We are attracted to story-telling, and when it comes to investing we seem to be searching for the most compelling narratives about the unknowable future, regardless of how accurate they turn out to be.
Stock market crashes are social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behavior and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where P/E ratios (Price-Earning ratio) exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants. Other aspects such as wars, large-corporation hacks, changes in federal laws and regulations, and natural disasters of highly economically productive areas may also influence a significant decline in the NYSE value of a wide range of stocks. All such stock drops may result in the rise of stock prices for corporations competing against the affected corporations.
I didn’t know Sathya Sai Baba made predictions about conflict between India and China. This is interesting to know but also I know that sometimes there was wild speculation and hearsay about predictions He made that Sai Baba later denied or contradicted. It would be interesting to know what predictions he made that have been properly documented. (I’ve seen a few of these such as the map of the world after the melting of the Ice Caps)
The panic began again on Black Monday (October 28), with the market closing down 12.8 percent. On Black Tuesday (October 29) more than 16 million shares were traded. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another 12 percent and closed at 198—a drop of 183 points in less than two months. Prime securities tumbled like the issues of bogus gold mines. General Electric fell from 396 on September 3 to 210 on October 29. American Telephone and Telegraph dropped 100 points. DuPont fell from a summer high of 217 to 80, United States Steel from 261 to 166, Delaware and Hudson from 224 to 141, and Radio Corporation of America (RCA) common stock from 505 to 26. Political and financial leaders at first affected to treat the matter as a mere spasm in the market, vying with one another in reassuring statements. President Hoover and Treasury Secretary Andrew W. Mellon led the way with optimistic predictions that business was “fundamentally sound” and that a great revival of prosperity was “just around the corner.” Although the Dow Jones Industrial Average nearly reached the 300 mark again in 1930, it sank rapidly in May 1930. Another 20 years would pass before the Dow average regained enough momentum to surpass the 200-point level.
Thank you. I don’t get to my desk as often as I like, when I am travelling, but I have an opportunity to sit down with comments and questions this week. Your stepfather’s chart is missing from this and you need to have all the charts there if you are to figure out a three-way property or financial agreement. You also have Fortuna at 1 Scorpio in your Eighth House of houses, apartments, bank accounts, and the rest. In the middle of May, Uranus moves to 0 Taurus, right opposite your Fortuna, for the first time in your life. He will slowly cross to 1 Taurus and for most of the rest of this year, you will need to deal with a situation which is by its very nature unpredictable, erratic and hard to call – in terms of any previous experience you may have had. Just be aware of that. It’s quite true that Jupiter with all his solutions and abundant opportunities will cross your Mars at 20 Scorpio this year too and that’s worth using, but you do need to be a total realist about Uranus in Taurus. We have not seen this since the Thirties.
It’s all about Uranus in Taurus moving across 0, 1, 2 and 3 degrees and starting in a small but powerful way on 15th May 2018. Your angles at 3 Taurus and 3 Scorpio depend on an accurate birth time, but even if you are not 100% sure, there is still a major line-up in your chart at these very early degrees of the signs, so the revolution will have a direct impact on you in 2018 and 2019. The Moon at 0 Capricorn in your Tenth House of career is a factor. Mercury at 0 Scorpio in your Eighth House of property, stocks, business is a major factor! Venus at 2 Scorpio, also in your Eighth House, is about the financial and personal relationship you have with your wife. Uranus at 0 Libra is much the same thing. Chiron at 0 Aries is about your own title, image and profile. You even have Vesta at 2 Taurus. More than most people, you are going to find your attitude towards money, property, business, possessions and ‘what is valuable’ becomes completely transformed, now through 2019. You may prefer to wait until May and June have passed, if you are in no particular hurry to buy. You have an Aries Sun wife here who also has Uranus, the planet of shock, sudden change and turnaround about to enter her Second House of finance, for the first time in her life. I’m sure you are across cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. Keep updating yourself on what is going on, because it will change day to day. To give you an idea of just how much of a revolution Uranus can bring about, you need to recall what life was like before 2011. That was the year he entered Aries, the sign we associate with self-promotion, our profile, our image, portrait, personal appearance, brand and identity. Our name and face, and our reputation. If you think about how astonishing the rise and rise of social media like Facebook and Twitter has been (social me-me-me-media) then you can see why Uranus in Taurus is going to utterly change the way we bank, spend, save and trade. The technology which has come with the iPhone (the Selfie) and the Selfie Stick – and Instagram filters – has given everyone a chance to push himself/herself and his face/her face and wherever Uranus goes, through a zodiac sign, people get excited. When they get excited, they tend to reach in their pocket. So, you can see why with Uranus at 0 Taurus opposing your natal Mercury at 0 Scorpio, you may prefer to adopt a wait-and-see policy across May and June, just to get an inkling of what is about to sweep the world, over the next six or seven years. As Mercury is so close to Venus in your chart, and Uranus in Libra (marriage) too – I have to say, 2018 and 2019 is all about your wife and her company sale,and those proceeds. In fact, never mind the actual currency and business trends you are about to see rock America – you need to focus on the personal relationship with her, because there is a fundamental shift going on this year and next year too. This brings us back to the idea of putting a price tag on the things that money cannot buy. The emotional, spiritual, intensely personal aspects of what you two share. You have some crossroads decisions ahead.
One disconcerting aspect is that large avalanches, epic earthquakes or giant forest fires do not seem to be very special: They appear to be just less frequent, scaled-up versions of small ones. If this is true, then a stock market crash may not be special at all, but merely a larger-than-usual down day, and just as unpredictable. This would present a big challenge to traditional investment methods.
The Tesco supermarket chain is involved in litigation such as the Ward v Tesco Stores Ltd and Tesco Supermarkets Ltd v Nattrass cases. Tesco have been criticized for aggressively pursuing critics of the company in Thailand. Writer and former MP Jit Siratranont faced up to two years in jail and a £16.4 million libel damages claim for saying that Tesco was expanding aggressively at the expense of small local retailers. Tesco served him with writs for criminal defamation and civil libel. The Thai court dismissed the case, ruling that the criticism made by the defendant was 'in good faith by way of fair comment on any person or thing subjected to public criticism'.
The stock market is one of the most important ways for companies to raise money, along with debt markets which are generally more imposing but do not trade publicly. This allows businesses to be publicly traded, and raise additional financial capital for expansion by selling shares of ownership of the company in a public market. The liquidity that an exchange affords the investors enables their holders to quickly and easily sell securities. This is an attractive feature of investing in stocks, compared to other less liquid investments such as property and other immoveable assets. Some companies actively increase liquidity by trading in their own shares.
The Last Days Warrior Summit is the premier online event of 2018 for Christians, Conservatives and Patriots. It is a premium members-only international event that will empower and equip you with the knowledge and tools that you need as global events begin to escalate dramatically. The speaker list includes Michael Snyder, Mike Adams, Dave Daubenmire, Ray Gano, Dr. Daniel Daves, Gary Kah, Justus Knight, Doug Krieger, Lyn Leahz, Laura Maxwell and many more. Full summit access will begin on October 25th, and if you would like to register for this unprecedented event you can do so right here.
The next expert would tell ya ”…kind of extended watch out…” He’d be absolutely right. The chart for the naz isn’t beautiful, but, it just doesn’t look like the train wreck in waiting we all had in 3/2000. “The market will never go down again, it’s different now…these are all these new tech companies…” That dialogue translates to run like he*&. Read about 1929.
I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Balance Junkie blog titled How to Use Valuation-Informed Indexing -- Part One. Juicy Excerpt: There is one important factor that can never be priced in to your purchase of an index fund — overvaluation. To overvalue a fund is to misprice it. Mispricing by definition can never be factored into the price you pay and must be considered separately. Say that you pay two times the fair price for an income stream of 6 percent real. You obviously are…
At least, that's what I'd say if I were a chain-smoking stock market trader, but for memes. For a while now, this mental image has been the running gag behind popular subreddit "/r/MemeEconomy." On the forum, users jokingly speculate about which memes are on the rise, and which should be dumped before they take down your entire portfolio by making it into a "normie" publication. You know, like this one.
This year has been significant in that there have been no wasps. Wasps like many creatures use the Earth’s electromagnetic fields as a navigational motorway. As we are in the flux of some change, wildlife is finding itself at sixes and sevens. As the electromagnetic fields and the gravitational forces increase, there is potential to use this power as a source of energy. This will not only solve the world’s energy problems but put an end to the wars in the Middle East that are caused to exploit Oil and gas resources. It will also stop Putin’s relentless need to control Eastern Europe and beyond. The change in the electromagnetic field will also alter man’s fundamentally left brain thinking to a more right brain creative problem solution thinking that is essentially more rounded and feminine in its notion. My understanding is this is a natural process in the Earth’s cycle. That humanity has been here before is without doubt. There is nothing for humanity to fear. The changes to come are one embrace.
When the planet Saturn was still in Sagittarius up until late December 2017, a sign where Saturn does NOT do well in due to Sagittarius’ expansive, philosophical/dogmatic and optimistic nature that contradicts Saturn’s entire essence of accountability, restriction, realism, hard work and no-nonsense attitude toward life and business, we had a few years of being in a cultural psychosis and learning how to NOT get too caught up in a (nearly) euphoric state… Aha… think 20-year-old kids turning millionaires just because they bought some Bitcoin or altcoin yet have 0 knowledge about how to put that $ to good use instead of wasting it all on toys like lambos and private jet flights…
What’s happening to the stock market since last Friday? I have been so preoccupied with the Russia mess and actually while I was working on the e-book – I got a strong feeling to look into the stock market. I’ve been feeling something was going to happen and when I did a cursory look into it – the time frame for a major problem seemed to be fall of 2019. I started getting worried about it because I was doing personal readings about the markets for people and kept feeling something coming. But of course I was busy and put it off. So the feeling built and while I was writing I just freaked out and started rectifying the NYSE chart and dove in.
Now is the time to make sure you have a portfolio that you could live with through a crash. A typical crash will feel very different if you are 100% invested in stocks, than if you have some of your portfolio invested in bonds and other assets. The time to work out the right allocation for you is now, if you determine that you should not be completely in stocks but would rather have a 60%/40% stock/bond allocation, then it's critically important to determine that before a crash occurs. If you don't, you'll experience the worst of both worlds. You'll likely see the greatest losses during the crash, but also fail to benefit fully from any recovery. If you prepare ahead of time, you'll be better able to ride out any market events.
It is hard to imagine that a tumble in stock prices—even one as dramatic as Monday’s—could shake economic sentiment enough that policy-makers would need to try to lift anyone’s spirits, given how robust economic figures have been of late. To say the fundamentals are strong tempts fate, but the fundamentals are as strong as they have been in over a decade. Of course, it is when things seem rosiest that policy-makers are most prone to underreact to a bump in the road. This crash is probably nothing. But they always are, except for the times when they aren’t.
Usually, HFT programs and computer trading works without a hitch. But once in a while problems do crop up. Back on Aug. 24, 2015, the United States’ three major stock indexes plunged on the open, but would recover much of their losses by midday. Among the reasons blamed for the dip were market makers and HFT traders. With so many stocks within the S&P 500 failing to open on time, and a number of exchange-traded funds under trading halts, HFTs and other high-speed traders shut down their systems, removing much-needed liquidity from the marketplace and exacerbating the early-day decline.