The internet is a wonderful place, and best of all, this knowledge can be found for FREE! The more you know about crisis situations, the more ready you will be to face them. Some sites are friendlier to beginners than others, so if you stumble upon a forum where people seem less than enthusiastic about helping people who are just starting out, don’t let it get you down. Move on and find a site that makes you feel comfortable. Following are some of my favorites, and the link will take you to a good starting point on these sites. In no particular order:
On Black Monday, the markets were a bit different than today. That’s the explanation that many market optimists like to offer when they explain why another Black Monday can’t happen. That is, the market cannot lose some 23% of its value in a single trading session. They might be right, but in the opposite direction. The markets now have human as well as computer input through so-called robot trading. They have more variables and are more complicated. But information and risks travel much faster. If anything, the risks of a major market crash are higher today.
Memes, Recess, and Depression: A Short History Lesson 1928 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by the Great Depression, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2000 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by two recessions including the Great Recession, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2016-Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Anyone want to guess what happens next? Real Truth Ayup. Image from Real Truth Now.

La plupart du temps, les robot-conseillers utilisent des FNB. Et, les FNB sont composés de milliers de titres d’entreprises. Ainsi, ils reflètent le rendement du marché dans son ensemble. Ce rendement est similaire à celui des fonds communs, sur le long terme. Je me méfierais donc sérieusement des planificateurs financiers qui disent pouvoir constamment battre le marché. Donc, à mon avis, cet argument ne tient pas la route.
Hi Craig, with only two days left now until the Brexit referendum, the statisticians are now that the chances of leaving Europe are now only 1/5. Polls and opinion are saying it’s 80% likely there will be a vote to remain (this may be directly linked to recent news events/incidents at the weekend, along with media scaremongering). Worth noting, that last week it was an even 50/50 chance for Brexit. So, do you still believe a Brexit will occur in two days time on the 23rd June 2016? And if it doesn’t would it be in the nations best interest to Br-remain?
Last time I spoke about right-wing riots in Germany. This too has happened and will continue to get worse through 2018. There will continue to be a cultural division within Germany and France and they will see worsening racial troubles and riots ahead. (CORRECT 10/10 Riots in Germany see 27th August “Guardian protests in the eastern city of Chemnitz” )
Be sure to check out used bookstores, libraries, and garage sales, too. Look for books that teach self-reliant skills like sewing, gardening, animal husbandry, carpentry, repair manuals, scratch cooking, and plant identification. You can often pick these up for pennies, and older books don’t rely on expensive new technology or tools for doing these tasks.
Set forth below are eight Guest Blog Entries I have written dealing with the Valuation-Informed Indexing investment strategy or that others have written commenting on it. 1) The Risks of Buy-and-Hold Investing, at the Pop Economics blog. 2) Valuation-Informed Indexing Is Risk-Diminished Investing, submitted to Pop Economics but ultimately posted at A Rich Life. 3) When Stock Prices Crash, Where Does the Money Go?, at the Budgets Are Sexy blog. 4) Stock Market Strategy: Timing Based…
It’s not over.  The worst October stock market crash since 2008 got even worse on Friday.  The Dow was down another 296 points, the S&P 500 briefly dipped into correction territory, and it was another bloodbath for tech stocks.  On Wednesday, I warned that there would be a bounce, and we saw that happen on Thursday.  But the bounce didn’t extend into Friday.  Instead, we witnessed another wave of panic selling, and that has many investors extremely concerned about what will happen next week.  Overall, global stocks have now fallen for five weeks in a row, and during that time more than 8 trillion dollars in global wealth has been wiped out.  That is the fastest plunge in global stock market wealth since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and it is yet another confirmation that a major turning point has arrived.

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As a case in point, I present to you subprime auto loans, or loans given to consumers with less-than-prime credit scores (usually 550 to 619 on the FICO score scale). Having a lower credit score typically gives these folks fewer lending options, which allows lenders that are willing to work with subprime consumers to charge a notably higher interest rate, relative to prime-rated consumers. The problem is these consumers usually have subpar credit scores for a reason, and delinquency rates on these subprime and deep subprime loans are shooting higher.
You have the Nodes in Taurus-Scorpio and Pluto at 0 Scorpio. This is several past lives spent being both rich and poor, and you have incarnated to use all your previous lifetime lessons, in 2018 and 2019. Your spiritual lesson is about the need to let go, where business, money, property or possessions are concerned. Your other lesson is to learn that there is a price to be paid for everything and it may not be in dollars, pounds, or euros – you have to ‘put a price on’ other precious things like integrity, compassion, respect, credibility, trust and so on. I mention this because you have a strong chart signature across the Second House-Eighth House of your chart. In fact, you should really look up both those houses on Search as they have a big impact on you in 2018, 2019. Uranus will move to 0 Taurus and oppose your natal Pluto at 0 Scorpio so it is very important that you are ready to adapt, adjust and make changes very quickly in May and June, particularly where that combination of personal relationships and money is concerned. Pluto seeks to dominate, to control, to take and take over when it comes to business. I am sure you know that about yourself! Uranus opposing Pluto tells you to try and relinquish your grip on the reins and be ready to bend. Don’t hang on tightly or try to cling to the past. You’re not going there.
The number of major store chains shutting down or downsizing is remarkable. One of the latest to fall is Toys “R” Us. Some may find consolation in the fact that one of the reasons for the crumbling of traditional brick-and-mortar stores—but by no means the only one—has been Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN). But the day could come when even this giant is slain.
Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never WorkThe Buy-and-Holders are not evil people. They are smart and good people. They made a mistake. They were so excited about their early findings that they experienced cognitive dissonance when the mistake was revealed. They painted themselves into a corner and now don’t know how to get out. This article explains how the mistake was made and how we came to find ourselves in the trap we are in today.
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the  Weakonomics blog entitled The Bankers Did Not Do This to Us! Juicy Excerpt: Did they stick all the money in suitcases and catch a plane to another time zone? Some good comments. Juicy Excerpt: I’m getting more and more tired of people shoving blame back and forth. I frankly, could care less whose fault it is. I’d rather spend time trying to find the best solution…
In terms of the wider UK retail market, Tesco sales account for around one pound in every ten spent in British shops.[115] In 2007 it was reported that its share was even larger, with one pound in every seven spent going to Tesco.[116] In 2006, Inverness was branded as "Tescotown",[117][118] because well over 50p in every £1 spent on food is believed to be spent in its three Tesco shops.[119] By 2014 competition from other retailers led to a fall in Tesco's market share to 28.7%; this was the lowest level in a decade.[120]
What could change the mood? An unexpected bank failure might. Or a spike in the price of oil. Or butterfly wings. Lots of things conceivably could, and a dramatic drop in stock prices is certainly among them. For a drop to have that effect, however, would require some extenuating circumstances. A folk-wisdom sense that the economy was “due” for a downturn might contribute. Or another random piece of bad news. But critical to a broader shift in mood would be the notion, lingering across markets and the public as a whole, that the government or the central bank might not quite be prepared to swing into mood-elevating activity. It’s like a trust exercise: you might lean a bit just to see if a friend is prepared to catch you, but not so much that you cannot recover, then a bit more, then maybe you start to worry that actually the friend seems frankly lackadaisical in his reaction, and then oof, over you go.
My predictions hit the news sites and featured in the national newspapers when in 2015 I predicted the presidency of Donald Trump. Last year I said that Hillary Clinton will drop out of politics. She’s still hanging in there but has recently expressed a desire to become a religious preacher. It looks like her time in politics is coming to a close. I also stated in my predictions for 2017 that America becomes a nation divided between East and West and that there would be riots on the streets. America is certainly a divided nation but I was wrong in my prediction that troops from neighboring neutral Canada would be asked to help quell unrest.
But if U.S. GDP growth were to falter -- let’s say dip to 1% or lower on an annual basis -- then it would be really difficult to support existing valuations for companies in the technology and biotech arenas. And since tech and biotech have played such a critical role over the past nine-plus years in pushing stocks higher, they could easily be responsible for dragging the stock market into a correction.

Predictions or opinions it seems the two fit hand in glove and it don’t take a mystic to see the world is heading for testing times, it is always heading for testing times, I will take the predictions I read here with a pinch of optimistic salt. We see the world as we are not as the world is and if you look only for the bad that is what you will find, myself I have yet to read in a newspaper the billion random acts of kindness that take place every day because it never makes the newspapers. So ask yourself is no news good news.
As I said, the Antichrist will appear to be a good man, and will appear to be the saviour of mankind. "Satan comes as an angel of light". Osama bin Laden I think is the Angel of the Bottomless pit, or The Destroyer, mentioned in Revelation 9:11, a demon or unclean spirit from the depths of Hell, who creates this world crisis we are seeing now that will result in the rise to power of the Antichrist, who is the Satanic Christ, past Russian President Putin. Putin has been praised around the world for bringing stability and economic prosperity to Russia, which under Yeltsin had been headed for anarchy and economic chaos. And in the future Putin may have a key role in building a space defense against asteroids, since an asteroid could be headed for earth; this was announced in December 2009, that Russia may intercept an asteroid that could hit earth in the future. Another way Putin will come to world power as the Antichrist is by controlling the world's Natural Gas reserves, Russia having the world's largest Natural Gas reserves. It appears that Putin controlling Natural Gas reserves and prices is a key way that he can control the world economy.
I don’t even know how many records I own, but it’s in the thousands. I have records, tapes, CDs, and computer files going all the way back to the 1880s. I even have one recording from 1869. A scientist was studying sound waves and recorded a woman singing “Clare De Lune.” He recorded it as wavy lines on a soot-covered paper. Someone recently scanned it and converted it back into sound. It doesn’t sound very good, but it’s amazing that you could retrieve sound from marks on a sooty piece of paper.
{+/-} The Saturn-Uranus zodiacal aspect indicated a higher market in 2017.  This cycle is just starting to decline so positive market conditions should continue into 2018.  {} The Jupiter-Neptune cycle is primarily an inflation indicator but 4 out of the last 5 conjunctions led to a financial crisis.  The last conjunction took place in 2009 and correctly indicated the severe recession.  The next conjunction takes place in 2022.  {-} Jupiter-Uranus points down in 2018.  {+} Jupiter-Pluto points to a higher market.  {+} Jupiter-Saturn pushes the market moderately higher.  {-} The Saturn-Pluto cycle signals the beginning of a sudden drop in prices from record highs.
Never… That’s a sweeping generalisation. What about the Hilton bombing in 1978 by Ananda Marga? But you are right about the Lindt Cafe seige… that was one agitated man trying to elevate his effect by invoking the Prophet while pursuing his own agenda. He’d just lost a High Court appeal and he was on bail as an accessory to the killing his wife. Nutter, not terrorist.
I’m sure you’re aware that the level of sovereign debt, ie., government borrowings, are at astronomical(!) levels by all historical standards. Interest rates are artificially low partly, I believe, because governments do not want to face the consequences of massive repayments. Asset prices and particularly housing prices have ballooned as a consequence and are unaffordable for many younger people trying to get on the ladder.
The level of panic that we witnessed on Wall Street on Wednesday was breathtaking.  After a promising start to the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average started plunging, and at the close it was down another 608 points.  Since peaking at 26,951.81 on October 3rd, the Dow has now fallen 2,368 points, and all of the gains for 2018 have been completely wiped out.  But things are even worse when we look at the Nasdaq.  The percentage decline for the Nasdaq almost doubled the Dow’s stunning plunge on Wednesday, and it has now officially entered correction territory.  To say that it was a “bloodbath” for tech stocks on Wednesday would be a major understatement.  Several big name tech stocks were in free fall mode as panic swept through the marketplace like wildfire.  As I noted the other day, October 2018 looks a whole lot like October 2008, and many believe that the worst is yet to come.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free From Broke site called How to Change Your Stock Allocation in Response to Valuation Shifts. Juicy Excerpt: Stock valuations do not jump randomly from super-low levels to super-high levels.  They change gradually over a 30-year or 35-year time period.  They start at super-low levels, move to fair-value levels, continue moving up until they reach insanely high levels, and then crash hard. We are today at a P/E10 of 21, working our way down from…
“The Problem Stems From the Fact That We Didn’t Always Know Everything There Is to Know About How Stock Investing Works, and When Shiller Published His Nobel-Prize-Winning Research, the Buy-and-Holders Elected to Ignore It Rather Than to Work Up the Courage to Say the Words ‘I’ and ‘Was’ and ‘Wrong.’ Now We Are in a Trap. It Is Now 500 Times Harder for Bogle and the Other Buy-and-Holders to Say Those Words Than It Would Have Been to Say Them 37 Years Ago.”
President Trump has slapped 25% tariffs on steel and 10% on aluminum to combat what the administration has called the dumping of low-priced metals from other countries in the U.S. below market prices. That’s expected to raise prices for consumers and businesses and draw retaliation from other nations against U.S. exports. Even so, the impact on the economy likely will be negligible, economist Kathy Bostjancic of Oxford Economics says.
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Research at the New England Complex Systems Institute has found warning signs of crashes using new statistical analysis tools of complexity theory. This work suggests that the panics that lead to crashes come from increased mimicry in the market. A dramatic increase in market mimicry occurred during the whole year before each market crash of the past 25 years, including the recent financial crisis. When investors closely follow each other's cues, it is easier for panic to take hold and affect the market. This work is a mathematical demonstration of a significant advance warning sign of impending market crashes.[19][20]
J’ai entendu parler de la firme Giverny, ils battent le marché année aprèes année depuis 1993. Qu’en pensez-vous ? Est-il vraiment impossible de ne pas battre le marché ? C’est un exemple parmi d’autres, j’imagine. J’aimerais bien connaître la réflexion qui vous a poussé vers les fonds indiciels versus une firme de placement qui a fait ses preuves.
Tesco plc, trading as Tesco, is a British multinational groceries and general merchandise retailer with headquarters in Welwyn Garden City, Hertfordshire, England, United Kingdom.[3] It is the third-largest retailer in the world measured by gross revenues[4][5] and ninth-largest retailer in the world measured by revenues. It has shops in seven countries across Asia and Europe, and is the market leader of groceries in the UK (where it has a market share of around 28.4%), Ireland, Hungary[6] and Thailand.[7][8]

I said there would be a big eruption in Iceland and India soon – which has not happened yet. However, in September 2016 I said in my predictions on my website and on my YouTube video: “I see volcanic problems around Italy around the area of Vesuvius and maybe the Island of Ischia.” (See also Hawaii prediction below) (Correct 10/10 Naples has had some of the worst earthquakes in many years. See Express 17 August 2018)
Page 12a: Is there Life outside Earth in our Solar System - on Mars, Europa, or Titan? Are Flying Saucers and Aliens for real? Men in Black. W56 UFOs and Aliens. The Nazca Lines in Peru, a sign of Alien Visitors? President Obama and Aliens. George Adamski who saw Aliens and UFOs in the 1950s. The missing Flight 370 in 2014, a possible UFO connection?
Le Nasdaq et le New York Stock Exchange ont pris la décision exceptionnelle d'annuler certains échanges de titres ayant eu lieu entre 14 h 40 et 15 heures. D'autres sources ont indiqué que cet incident avait pu être causé par la vente de l'ETF Ishares Russell 1000 Value Index Fund géré par BlackRock. Mais un dirigeant de BlackRock a réfuté cette assertion, affirmant qu'aucune trace d'une erreur de trading n'avait été trouvée dans son établissement. La société Procter & Gamble, la plus impactée par cet incident, décida de mener une enquête afin de déceler une possible erreur de trading. Bien que les titres P&G soient côtés sur le NYSE, des baisses massives ont également été enregistrées sur d'autres plates-formes d'échange mettant les titres de cette société au cœur du problème.
We have seen so much fluctuation in the market now because we have Pluto sitting on the Dow’s moon and is about to cross the threshold of the first house. This aspect is worse than the 29 crash chart. The 29 chart shows harsh times, difficulty and a major adjustment, hard times but this period is indicative of DEATH. And of course in its wake rebirth, but this will take a long time to accomplish, Pluto is a very slow moving planet. We also have another horrifying aspect going on which is similar to the 29 crash and that is the involvement of Uranus bringer of revolution, chaos, rebellion and lightening striking out of the blue. In 1929 Uranus was part of the GRAND CROSS in the current chart it is also part of the equation just as Pluto in 29 was conjuncting Uranus, again another similarity in terms of the planets involved. 
Set forth below is the text of a post that I recently put to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Please tell me the downside, Anonymous.” We can’t all live in Rob’s fantasyland. We have to live in reality. My fantasyland comes with a Nobel prize. Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs. Reason vs. Emotion. My best. Fantasyland Rob Related PostsGoon Poster to Rob: “You Have Stated What You Think Are Problems. People Have Responded As to How They Disagree. People Eventually Got Angry Because of Repetitive Comments Going in Circles.”“Set Up a Debate at the Bogleheads Forum. We’ll Make History.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “I Have Not Seen One Single Scared Person, Except for You. You Are So Scared, You Have to Make Up Stories About Pretend Death Threats, Job Threats, Fraud and Prison.”“Part of the Job is to Describe the Pressures that Caused so Many Generally Good and Smart People Either to Participate in the Cover-Up or at the Minimum Tolerate It. I Post These Goon Conversation Blog Entries to Help People Come to a Full Understanding of What Happened.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “I and Many Others Are Confident in Buy–Hold-and-Rebalance. You Seem to Be the Only One Confident in Valuation-Informed Indexing.”“Me Being Wrong Doesn’t Explain What We Have Seen. The Buy-and-Holders Lack Confidence in Their Own Strategy. That’s Why We See All This Strange Behavior. We Have an Emotional Time Bomb Out There.”
If you are concerned about how much you could lose on some of your largest positions, you can also think about using stop loss orders to mitigate potential losses. For each stock, you can set a few price levels below technical support where you will begin to reduce the size of the position. It’s best to do this long before stock prices begin to fall so that your decisions are rational and not driven by emotions. Stop losses are not generally a strategy used by long term investors. However, they can help you manage the emotional pain of a bear market.

Shadox at the Money and Such blog recently posted a Guest Blog Entry by Schroeder, a regular at John Greaney's Goon Central board. It was called A Critique of Valuation-Informed Indexing. Juicy Excerpt: A few weeks ago I published a guest post by Rob of A Rich Life. In doing so, it appears that I inadvertently stumbled into the middle of a religious war. Schroeder, a critic of Rob's, has asked me to post the critique which follows, and having read it, I thought I would share it with my…

Two things are gathering speed as I read your question. Malcolm Turnbull the Australian Prime Minister – a Scorpio – is about to see what it feels like to have Uranus (the revolution, the shock) move into his Seventh House of rivals, enemies and opponents, as well as partners – his wife Lucy but also his Deputy. This obviously happens with a bang, crash, wallop in the middle of May. Tony Abbott is also a Scorpio. The PM also has a Taurus name – TurnBULL and actually, the literal translation of Uranus in Taurus the bull, is ‘the bull is forced to turn.’ This means gold bullion and bull markets, symbolically, but also the cattle market. I am sure you know independent politicians are pushing for an end to the live export trade because of its cruelty. Put all that together and very close to May 16th, some will gain an awful lot, and some will lose. Massive highs and lows in Australian business, government and on the share markets. It just depends what side of history you’re on. Watch Julie Bishop.


That is when a ‘swaroopa’ appeared before him and said what can be briefly summarized as follows: He was the Aksharateeta Purushottama, Shri Krishna! Shri Krishna then gave him certain directions and revealed certain truths that are contained in TV. Thus the 5000 year old text composed by the revered Vedavyas, especially for enlightening the Parama-hamsas [most spiritually evolved souls] expected to appear in world later in Kaliyuga, truly turned out to be the forerunner of manifestation of TV via Shri Devachandraji and his chosen disciple Mahamati Prananath. It was through the latter that TV containing 18758 divine verses in several languages of 17th century India manifested during the period 1657-94 AD.
In the golden age I foresee hope so much hope. All of our life’s will be full of love and so much growth, people will be able to achieve so many things that our minds can not at this moment comprehend. The love that people will experience is so deep that very few in this life have never experienced this before. I predict that people will experience freedom where they are no longer afraid they will have control over their fears rather than the other way round I promise you it will be amazing. I predict that this will start with the individual, individual healing, individual growth, individual’s love for oneself then collectively we will change, we will love we will grow.

His reasoning: Stockman expects "an epic monetary and fiscal (policy) collision," he told CNBC. On the one hand, the recent tax cuts enacted by Congress are likely to help push the federal budget deficit to nearly $1 trillion next year. At the exact same time, the Federal Reserve is starting to unwind its sizable bond portfolio— which it amassed in the aftermath of the financial crisis to keep bond yields low to juice economy activity.

I couldn’t disagree with you more on the Mueller work. For one thing, the Russian social media shenanigans were far from tame. Tens of thousands of Americans in Democratic districts were tricked into “voting online” by Facebook posts. Many more turned against Clinton based on horrible lies expertly planted by the offenders. Consider that Trump won by a mere 70,000 votes over four states. While the U.S. surely got a taste of its own medicine, interfering in a nation’s election is serious business.


No definitive conclusions have been reached on the reasons behind the 1987 Crash. Stocks had been in a multi-year bull run and market P/E ratios in the U.S. were above the post-war average. The S&P 500 was trading at 23 times earnings, a postwar high and well above the average of 14.5 times earnings.[29] Herd behavior and psychological feedback loops play a critical part in all stock market crashes but analysts have also tried to look for external triggering events. Aside from the general worries of stock market overvaluation, blame for the collapse has been apportioned to such factors as program trading, portfolio insurance and derivatives, and prior news of worsening economic indicators (i.e. a large U.S. merchandise trade deficit and a falling U.S. dollar, which seemed to imply future interest rate hikes).[30]
Memes, Obama, and Politics: SO FIRST YOUTOLD ME THE STOCK MARKET WOULD CRASH IFTRUMP WAS ELECTED AND NOWITS ATANALL TIME HIGHITS BECAUSE OBAMA WAS PRESIDENT LAST YEAR? imgflip.com ----------------- Proud Partners 🗽🇺🇸: ★ @conservative.american 🇺🇸 ★ @raised_right_ 🇺🇸 ★ @conservativemovement 🇺🇸 ★ @millennial_republicans🇺🇸 ★ @keepamerica.us 🇺🇸 ★ @the.conservative.patriot 🇺🇸 ★ @conservative.female 🇺🇸 ★ @brunetteandpolitical 🇺🇸 ★ @emmarcapps 🇺🇸 ----------------- bluelivesmatter backtheblue whitehouse politics lawandorder conservative patriot republican goverment capitalism usa ronaldreagan trump merica presidenttrump makeamericagreatagain trumptrain trumppence2016 americafirst immigration maga army navy marines airforce coastguard military armedforces ----------------- The Conservative Nation does not own any of the pictures or memes posted. We try our best to give credit to the picture's rightful owner.
Hi, thanks for your work. I know you said that a couple of US ships sank already in a training exercise, but when you wrote about a big sinking event of a US boat I recalled that some time back Iran claimed to have “carrier-killer” torpedo. Not long ago after the US/Iran “Deal” was nixed Iran said it had total control of the Straights of Hormuz, and since then there seems to be radio silence concerning Iran, no news at all in the major outlets. Maybe it’s a carrier that’ll sink? Only time will tell I guess.

Le rapport de 100 pages de la SEC a été très critiqué par de nombreux spécialistes des marchés financiers. Bien que décrivant le trade de 75 000 contrats futures E-Mini, il ne nomme pas la société Waddell & Reed. Bien qu'analysant précisément la chronologie et l'origine du crash, il ne porte pas de critique concernant le high frequency trading ni même aucune attention à des pratiques de quotes stuffing qui ont eu une influence, révélée par la société Nanex.


But if U.S. GDP growth were to falter -- let’s say dip to 1% or lower on an annual basis -- then it would be really difficult to support existing valuations for companies in the technology and biotech arenas. And since tech and biotech have played such a critical role over the past nine-plus years in pushing stocks higher, they could easily be responsible for dragging the stock market into a correction.
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