The latest swoon, which knocked the S&P 500 down more than 3 percent Wednesday, signaled to many Wall Street pros that the decline was entering a new, more dangerous phase. There’s growing concern now that this decline is more than a garden variety pullback, or drop of 5 percent to 9.99 percent, and could morph into a drop of 10 percent of more for the broad market.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Consumerism Commentary site titled Are Stock Gains and Losses Real? Juicy Excerpt: Losses suffered starting from super-high prices are never recovered. When you pay more than a fair price for stocks, a portion of your money is going to the purchase of stocks and a portion is going to the purchase of cotton-candy nothingness. Prices always return to fair value. So these price drops are not so much losses as they are the market coming to recognize phony…
In the United Kingdom Tesco offers financial services through Tesco Bank, formerly a 50:50 joint venture with The Royal Bank of Scotland. Products on offer include credit cards, loans, mortgages, savings accounts and several types of insurance, including car, home, life and travel. They are promoted by leaflets in Tesco's shops and through its website. The business made a profit of £130 million for the 52 weeks to 24 February 2007, of which Tesco's share was £66 million. This move towards the financial sector diversified the Tesco brand and provides opportunities for growth outside of the retailing sector. On 28 July 2008, Tesco announced that they would buy out the Royal Bank of Scotland's 50% stake in the company for £950 million.
Note that there were a lot of earthquakes and volcanoes in 2009-2016. For example, on April 13-14 2010, Iceland Eyjafjallajokull volcano erupted again, and its volcanic ash goes over Europe over the next few days and grounded airplanes at airports across Northern Europe. There is a concern that a larger volcano Katla near it could erupt soon. Iceland has more than 100 volcanos, many could erupt soon, and volcanoes have been erupting in Indonesia and other countries in 2010-2017. This could be a beginning to major volcano eruptions in Iceland, Indonesia, and elsewhere that could cool off the earth, ground air traffic, cause no summer and severe winters. Note that 70,000 years ago the Toba supervolcano erupted in Indonesia and nearly caused the extinction of mankind then. Volcanos can be a major problem for man's survival on earth. And volcano activity in the Canary Islands off Africa could result in a giant tsunami tidal wave hitting the East Coast of the U.S. and Europe, see this page.
"This is a most fascinating book about an intriguing but also a controversial topic. It is written by an expert in a very straightforward style and is illustrated by many clear figures. Why Stock Markets Crash will surely raise scientific interest in the emerging new field of econophysics."--Cars H. Hommes, Director of the Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, University of Amsterdam
All figures below are for the Tesco's financial years, which run for 52- or 53-week periods to late February. Up to 27 February 2007 period end the numbers include non-UK and Ireland results for the year ended on 31 December 2006 in the accounting year. The figures in the table below include 52 weeks/12 months of turnover for both sides of the business as this provides the best comparative.
J’ai aussi lu jusqu’au bout et j’ai même pris des notes tout au long de ma lecture :). C’est un article très instructif et qui répond bien à son objectif de vulgariser aux néophytes (ce que je suis) l’investissement boursier. Je suis également un fan de CCP et de son assez récent podcast que je recommande d’ailleurs pour ceux n’ayant pas de problème avec la langue de Shakespeare. À ce point, et même si notre bas de laine n’est pas des plus imposants, ma conjointe et moi-même virons notre conseillère financière nous coûtant à elle seule 0,5% (de son propre aveu) pour prendre une part active dans notre avenir financier. Nous sommes bien sûr aussi d’accord que c’est d’abord en augmentant nos revenus ainsi qu’en se donnant une discipline d’épargne ambitieuse que nous atteindrons notre objectif d’indépendance financière.
I have recently started reading the first Nostradamus book by Dolores Cannon. Cannon was a hypnotherapist who transgressed her research subjects into a somnambulism if trance. This is the state in which all people become clairvoyant and have access to past lives, history and lost knowledge. With some of Cannon’s subjects, Nostradamus came through and gave detailed explanations about the meaning of his quatrains.
In other words, bear markets are part of investing. You can’t avoid them – but you can make sure a bear market doesn’t wipe you out. Rule number one is to diversify, and periodically rebalance your portfolio. When a correction, stock market crash or bear market comes along, the stocks that fall the most are those that are trading at the highest valuations, those with the most debt, and those with the lowest margins.
People trading stock will prefer to trade on the most popular exchange since this gives the largest number of potential counter parties (buyers for a seller, sellers for a buyer) and probably the best price. However, there have always been alternatives such as brokers trying to bring parties together to trade outside the exchange. Some third markets that were popular are Instinet, and later Island and Archipelago (the latter two have since been acquired by Nasdaq and NYSE, respectively). One advantage is that this avoids the commissions of the exchange. However, it also has problems such as adverse selection. Financial regulators are probing dark pools.
Several universities have moved to put some of their curriculum online for free. MIT’s OpenCourseWare program has lecture notes available from an investment course originally taught in 2003, but the bones are still sound. Open Yale has courses available on economic and financial topics. Stanford’s self-study courses list can be searched by topic. Note that you won’t receive college credit for taking these courses online.
Price-Earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based upon the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, source). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings). The vertical axis shows the geometric average real annual return on investing in the S&P Composite Stock Price Index, reinvesting dividends, and selling twenty years later. Data from different twenty-year periods is color-coded as shown in the key. See also ten-year returns. Shiller states that this plot "confirms that long-term investors—investors who commit their money to an investment for ten full years—did do well when prices were low relative to earnings at the beginning of the ten years. Long-term investors would be well advised, individually, to lower their exposure to the stock market when it is high, as it has been recently, and get into the market when it is low."
Thanks to the Fed’s ZIRP, public pension funds cannot get safe 5% returns as they did in the past. Thus, public pension funds are being lured into investing in the stock market by the big financial firms. The stock market may very well crash soon, which means that millions of retired people are going to see their benefits being cut in the coming years.
Usually, HFT programs and computer trading works without a hitch. But once in a while problems do crop up. Back on Aug. 24, 2015, the United States’ three major stock indexes plunged on the open, but would recover much of their losses by midday. Among the reasons blamed for the dip were market makers and HFT traders. With so many stocks within the S&P 500 failing to open on time, and a number of exchange-traded funds under trading halts, HFTs and other high-speed traders shut down their systems, removing much-needed liquidity from the marketplace and exacerbating the early-day decline.
The USA is a religious nation that has been misguided by religious fundamentalism and a literal reading of Christian doctrine. From a spiritual standpoint, the USA is suffering from fear and intolerance that results in social and spiritual division. A belief in a loving God should not divide but unite people and have tolerance for those on alternative paths. Spiritually minded people in the USA can influence their nation’s path with thoughts of tolerance and acceptance of all cultures and faiths. Hope and prayer are not enough for, as they say in India, hands that help are greater than lips that pray.
Finally, once you feel you've got a portfolio that will provide sufficient gains during rising markets and enough protection during routs so you'll be able to hang on until the eventual recovery, stick with that mix, except for occasional rebalancing, regardless of what's going on in the market. The idea is to make sure your portfolio doesn't become too aggressive during market upswings or too conservative when stocks take a hit.
History has shown that the price of stocks and other assets is an important part of the dynamics of economic activity, and can influence or be an indicator of social mood. An economy where the stock market is on the rise is considered to be an up-and-coming economy. The stock market is often considered the primary indicator of a country's economic strength and development.
Fucking, Meme, and News: WHAT I EXPECTED WHO I FOLLOWED r/MemeEconomy 325,000 subscribers 1,726 online SUBSCRIBED WHAT I GOT r/Memeßconomy made it to Norniebook. SELL SELL SELL THE ENTIRE FUCKING SUBREDDIT Crash TOP TEMT BOTTOM TENT
I know the stock market crash is becoming old news, but I feel this meme describes the situation. via /r/MemeEconomy http://ift.tt/2hXdBuK
I have felt for a long time that the UK will leave the E.U. though still have some close economic and legal connections. I also feel that France will eventually leave and what is left will be a group of countries led and dominated by Germany. I predict that the E.U. will still be a trading community for much of Europe including Turkey and will include the UK but it will be something closer to the Common Market that the British people voted to join back in the 70’s.
Moi je cherchais à investir dans des produits plus « exotiques », c’est à dire pas juste sur le terrain de la bourse. Mon conseiller actuel n’a pas peur d’aller jouer dans ces produits (avec mon accord bien sur). On parle ici de « limited partnership » qui permet la participation dans des cies avant même leur entrée en bourse (IPO) ou encore des investissements dans des projet privés d’investissement en immobilier commercials majeurs ou encore dans des fonds d’actions accréditives 100% déductible d’impôts avec bonus donnée par les différents palliers de gouvernement.
Currently, the U.S. stock market is in the midst of one of the longest bull markets in its history. Since bottoming out in March 2009, the broad-based S&P 500 (INDEX: ^GSPC), led by a strong rally in technology stocks and other growth industries, has surged by more than 325%! Mind you, the stock market has historically returned 7% a year, inclusive of dividend reinvestment and adjusted for inflation. So, to say that things are going well right now would be an understatement.
I will give a detailed description of my theories in this web site. Also discussed here: economic predictions and the Stock Market, predictions of world events for this year and future years. And the election of President Barack Obama brings Hope to the world in a time of great economic crisis. I think the election of President Obama is part of a trend discussed on this page, where Hope for the world comes from the Southern Hemisphere. Note that Kenya is on the equator, where the Southern Hemisphere begins. This is related to the 1987 Southern Hemisphere Supernova, which resulted in a wave of positive change in the Southern Hemisphere, with Democracy coming to South America and positive change in South Africa.
These diseases may also relate to three animals used to describe the Antichrist: he is like a leopard, has the mouth of a lion, and the feet of a bear. Maybe Ebola corresponds to the leopard, with its great speed; Ebola kills in two weeks of infection. Influenza could be the lion; it causes coughing like a lion's roar. And AIDS could be the bear; bears hibernate, like AIDS can do in people, until it wakes up and kills them.
Note: One reason why a Southern California large earthquake has not occurred is because there may be an alien UFO base off the coast of Los Angeles (LA), and the aliens may be preventing a Southern California San Andreas Fault quake which could damage their underwater base. They may be slowly releasing the earth stress to prevent a quake there. A lot of UFOs have been seen entering and leaving the deep water off the coast of L.A., so its very likely they have an underwater base there. Therefore it is unlikely there will be a major Southern California Quake in future years. Controlling earthquakes is easy for these aliens.
Some exchanges are physical locations where transactions are carried out on a trading floor, by a method known as open outcry. This method is used in some stock exchanges and commodity exchanges, and involves traders shouting bid and offer prices. The other type of stock exchange has a network of computers where trades are made electronically. An example of such an exchange is the NASDAQ.
1. The biggest drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average happened on February 8, 2018 (see featured image above) and Bitcoin’s dramatic dip to just over $6,000USD happened on February 6, 2018. Both stock types are in line with the predicted aspect’s date frame of being within 10 days. There was also a small extra dip right on February 11. The Sun square Jupiter aspect did, evidently, produce the stock market crash 2018, within 5 to 3 days earlier.
“Across assets, these projections look tame relative to what the GFC delivered and probably unalarming relative to the recession/crisis averages” of the past, JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi wrote, noting that during the recession and ensuing global financial crisis the S&P 500 fell 54 per cent from its peak. “We would nudge them all at least to their historical norms due to the wildcard from structurally less-liquid markets.”
The JPMorgan model calculates outcomes based on the length of the economic expansion, the potential duration of the next recession, the degree of leverage, asset-price valuations and the level of deregulation and financial innovation before the crisis. Assuming an average-length recession, the model came up with the following peak-to-trough performance estimates for different asset classes in the next crisis, according to the note.
Mad Cow Disease (BSE) infecting people's brains was announced in March 1996 in England as the Comet Hyakutake passed by the constellation (I mean constellation, not astrological sign) Virgo the Virgin. I think that virgo the Virgin represents Isis, the Egyptian Goddess portrayed with cow's horns, giving us a "cow" connection. And Virgo may also represent Europa, representing Europe, who rides a bull, again giving us a "cow" connection. And Europa on a bull sounds like the woman in revelation 17 named "Babylon" who rides the beast of the antichrist (which may be Russia), I think the woman is Europe.
Bonjour Jean-Sebastien! Je viens de terminer la lecture de vos articles et je dois dire que vous me motivez encore plus à acquérir mon indépendance financière. Étant encore relativement jeune et aux études (21 ans et en voie de commencer son MBA l’année prochaine), l’objectif semble encore loin, mais facilement atteignable avec de la motivation! J’aimerais cependant avoir votre avis sur les stratégies de placement. Comme j’ai pu constater suite à la lecture de vos articles sur l’investissement, vous privilégiez beaucoup les FNB aux autres produits de placement à cause de leurs faibles frais de gestion et vous semblez être plus réticent face aux fonds communs investis à l’aide d’un conseiller financier. Cependant, que pensez vous des fonds communs investis à l’aide de plateforme de courtage en ligne qui diminuent considérablement les frais de gestion? En investissant dans des fonds commun de série D (directement en ligne) plutôt que A (avec conseiller) les frais peuvent souvent se réduire de moitié pour tourner autour de 1%. J’aimerais avoir votre avis sur cette situation. Merci beaucoup et continuez votre bon travail! J’espère pouvoir vous rencontrer un jour et échanger sur votre expérience.
If you can act at any time at all you may want to get the full measure of the new world. We are entering a duplicate of 1935 when the New Deal radically changed the United States. New banks came from nowhere, too. 1935 was also the year of dust storms having a big impact on farming, so the planet herself may force change this year. We are still yet to see Uranus enter Taurus so time will tell. 1935 was also about the devaluation of currency and this seems very likely with a couple of nations which will influence business, world trade and property – perhaps yours. I hope you can see how very different it’s all going to be out there. People can and will gain as Jupiter (abundance) is in Scorpio, the other money sign apart from Taurus. Once Jupiter passes 20 Scorpio a little later on this year, and until November – your Taurus-Scorpio placements at the late degrees will either be conjuncted or opposed by the planet of opportunity, growth, optimism and expansion. So your chances are excellent. The choice is yours – but don’t assume anything that seems certain now, will necessarily be there after May. Cryptocurrency is the wild card.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs.” Death threats? You mean this link you sent to the police that is obviously not a death threat? https://boards.fool.com/sydsydsyd-theyre-taking-them-down-as-fast-as-we-18207722.aspx?sort=postdate I did indeed show that to the police. And, yes, that is indeed a death threat. Posts like that do not belong in discussions of how stock investing works. And it is ALWAYS the Buy-and-Holders who advance such posts. It is only a small number of Buy-and-Holders who do that sort of thing. But it is a LARGE percentage of the population of Buy-and-Holders who TOLERATE that sort of thing. Motley Fool should have banned the person who advanced that post. The post is clearly in violation of their published rules. They didn’t ban the person who advanced the post because the majority of the population of the board was Buy-and-Holders and Motley Fool wanted the money that came in as a result of having those people at the site. This is why Buy-and-Hold is so dangerous. It is an emotion-based strategy. It cannot survive in a world in which posting based on the last 37 years of peer-reviewed research is permitted. So it is not just that the Buy-and-Holders get it wrong. Getting it wrong is a small thing in relative terms. It is that the Buy-and-Holders cannot tolerate anyone else getting it right. Buy-and-Holders attack those who advocate research-based strategies because, when people come to see the merits of research-based strategies, it makes the Buy-and-Holders look bad for promoting the OPPOSITE of what works. What works is to always practice price discipline when buying stocks. Buy-and-Holders tell investors NOT to exercise price discipline (long-term timing). Huh? What the f? I OPPOSE that sort of post, Anonymous. Please feel free to spread the word all across the internet. I would feel that you were doing me a favor by doing so. That sort of thing is not my particular cup of tea. It’s not a close call. The primary reason why I chose to build the Retire Early at Motley Fool is that they had the strongest rules on the internet protecting people from that sort of posting behavior. […]
Fourth, other US policies will continue to add stagflationary pressure, prompting the Fed to raise interest rates higher still. The administration is restricting inward/outward investment and technology transfers, which will disrupt supply chains. It is restricting the immigrants who are needed to maintain growth as the US population ages. It is discouraging investments in the green economy. And it has no infrastructure policy to address supply-side bottlenecks.