Anaconda, Memes, and Obama: In Obama's first year, he prevented another Great Depression, saved the US auto industry, and put us on track to cut the uninsured rate in half and triple the stock market. Trump gave himself a $15-million-a- year tax cut and defended neo-Nazis. See the difference? OCCUPY DEMOCRAT Matt Palumbo Obama: 30 percent growth during the most volatile market on record-100% of that 30 percent gain was merely retracing lost value from past declines. Trump:25 percent growth. Least volatile market in history. First time since the 1980s where we had 12 straight positive months of stock market gains. Record low unemployment, rising wages, rising labor force participation. All gains make new all time highs
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The Federal Reserve calls itself “independent,” but it is independent only of government. It marches to the drums of the banks that are its private owners. To prevent another Great Recession or Great Depression, Congress needs to amend the Federal Reserve Act, nationalize the Fed, and turn it into a public utility, one that is responsive to the needs of the public and the economy.
GOLD broke above it's downtrend channel line for the first time on February 3 and moved sharply higher immediately. It has very recently formed a FLAG pattern which is usually a Continuation signification. A pattern "count" would take the GOLD Price target to $1440! Apparently, the vote for Britain to potentially leave the EU is coming up and polls say it is a close call. That is roiling world markets yesterday and today and is one of several uncertainties presuring GOLD higher.
Page 12a: Is there Life outside Earth in our Solar System - on Mars, Europa, or Titan? Are Flying Saucers and Aliens for real? Men in Black. W56 UFOs and Aliens. The Nazca Lines in Peru, a sign of Alien Visitors? President Obama and Aliens. George Adamski who saw Aliens and UFOs in the 1950s. The missing Flight 370 in 2014, a possible UFO connection?
En janvier 2016, une analyse détaillée de l’ensemble des données du Flash Crash, milliseconde par milliseconde, concluait qu’il « est très peu probable que les opérations de spoofing de Sarao ait pu provoquer le Flash Crash, ou même que le Flash Crash ait été une conséquence prévisible de ses activités de spoofing ». Il se peut que Sarao n’ait fait que profiter d’un phénomène dont il n’était pas responsable18. Ce qui ne modifierait pas son statut juridique : responsable ou non, il restait accusé de procédés illégaux14,19.
Usually, HFT programs and computer trading works without a hitch. But once in a while problems do crop up. Back on Aug. 24, 2015, the United States’ three major stock indexes plunged on the open, but would recover much of their losses by midday. Among the reasons blamed for the dip were market makers and HFT traders. With so many stocks within the S&P 500 failing to open on time, and a number of exchange-traded funds under trading halts, HFTs and other high-speed traders shut down their systems, removing much-needed liquidity from the marketplace and exacerbating the early-day decline.
In the middle of the 13th century, Venetian bankers began to trade in government securities. In 1351 the Venetian government outlawed spreading rumors intended to lower the price of government funds. Bankers in Pisa, Verona, Genoa and Florence also began trading in government securities during the 14th century. This was only possible because these were independent city-states not ruled by a duke but a council of influential citizens. Italian companies were also the first to issue shares. Companies in England and the Low Countries followed in the 16th century.
When do we see Uranus in Taurus and Jupiter in Scorpio circle 2, 3, 4 degrees and 22, 23, 24 degrees respectively? These are the dates set for London in 2018. Allow up to 24 hours either side for world time zones. I am writing this exactly one month ahead of time: On Monday 14th, Tuesday 15th, Wednesday 16th May the world will enter Global Financial Crisis 2. The difference this time is – if you invent, innovate and co-create a radically different new business, taxation and trade world with like-minded people – you will gain in 2018, 2019, 2020 and beyond. Why? That is what Uranus in Taurus is here to achieve. A revolution which sets you and others free.
Si vous placez votre argent à l’aide d’un conseiller robot, vous n’aurez pas à vous poser de questions. Cependant, en faisant le courtage en ligne, vous devrez rebalancer votre portefeuille ponctuellement. À titre d’exemple, si les actions canadiennes performent mieux que celles américaines, la proportion qu’elles occupent dans votre portefeuille va augmenter. Ainsi, vous devrez rééquilibrer la répartition géographique de vos placements. Pour ce faire, il suffit d’adapter les prochains achats d’actions en conséquence (moins d’actions canadiennes, plus d’actions américaines).
Memes, Recess, and Stock Market: A Short History Lesson 1928 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by the Great Depression, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2000 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by two recessions including the Great Recession, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2016 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Anyone want to guess what happens next? Real Truth Vow This will NOT end well.
Regarding the Naadi leaves owned by Thomas Ritter and translated from ancient Tamil: the leaves talk about the current great disconnect between the actions of the political leaders and the needs and wishes of the general population, mass immigration into Europe, economic decline, increasing poverty and civil war in European countries and the USA. The leaves mention an attack on the Vatican and a period of darkness in the northern hemisphere after a volcanic eruption. Many European prophets, past and present, and even the Hadith (9th century companion to the Koran) talk about a three day darkness in our time. There are many other events predicted by European prophets that correspond with predictions in the Naadi oracle.
If you consider the 2 states of discovery, Arizona has a New Age connection, since Sedonna Arizona is this country's New Age center. And Arizona's Feb. 14 birthday makes it an Aquarius, the sign with a New Age connection. New Mexico, however, is Capricorn. I think that that Arizona may represent the New Age movement, while New Mexico represents traditional Christianity; these may be the two tails (Blue and White) of comet hale-bopp. Both the New Age movement and Chrisitianity have Millenial Movements. And the twin discoverers-- note that one of the beliefs in some early Christian writings was that Jesus had a twin brother, Thomas, who supposedly ended up in India, giving him sort of a New Age connection. This, I think, is the message of Comet Hale-Bopp.
I have the overwhelming feeling that California is going to have a mass earthquake that will split the state not just in the San Francisco area but in Los Angeles as well. I’m a native of the state and the last time I went back to visit family, I could hardly wait to leave. If there is an earthquake in China, I predict it will start a ripple effect. Had this feeling for 2 years now. Hope I’m wrong.
Bonjour Steve, je suis d’accord avec toi. Si on dit que 80% des gestionnaires ne réussissent pas à battre le marché, il reste 20% qui sont capable de le faire. Moi, je cherche ceux qui font partie du 20%, il existe encore. Je pense à quelques gestionnaires de fonds communs exceptionnels, comme ceux de Mawer, Matt Schmehl, gestionnaire chez Fidelity (il s’occupe du fonds Fidelity Special Situations qui a généré un rendement moyen annualisé net de 12,05% depuis 10 ans contre 1,16% de l’indice de référence même si les frais de gestion sont 2,26%) ainsi que l’équipe de gestionnaires d’EdgePoint.
Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to the author of the Pop Economics Blog on February 25: Pop: This is Rob Bennett, author of the "A Rich Life" blog. Rajiv Sethi linked yesterday to your blog entry defending the Buy-and-Hold model from my criticisms of it. In my comment (at the bottom of the long comments section), I said that I would contact you to see if you have an interest in hosting a Guest Blog Entry by me responding to the points you made in the "Rob Bait"…
Miranda Marquit recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Investor Junkie blog called How to Invest Using Valuation-Informed Indexing: Interview with Rob Bennett. Juicy Excerpt: Rob Bennett has been advocating valuation informed indexing for years, and his insistence on it has even had him kicked off investing forums, including the Bogleheads forum. “Buy and hold is intellectually dead,” he says. “It’s not practically dead, since plenty of investors still use the theory, but…
It’s 11 a.m. at the Princeton Club in Midtown Manhattan. A number of financial professionals have gathered here for the “AFund June 2018 Natural Resources Investment Symposium.” Our first speaker is HSBC’s chief precious metals analyst, the aptly named James Steel, who promotes gold as a hedge against populist upheaval. After Steel, there are slideshows from several mining companies seeking investors. After that, lunch. A generic networking event, by all appearances.
I have watched Dr Who since I was A child, this is the first series I have missed in all these years. I switched off after episode 2 as that was enough for me, now I choose an episode from either the BBC I player or Netflix to watch on a Sunday night, for as long as this Doctor and Chris Chidwell are involved I will not watch this programme nothing against Jodie Whittaker and her co-stars but the BBC have destroyed the programme.
It looks like it could be another tough week for global financial markets. As the week began, markets were down all over the world, and relations between the United States and Saudi Arabia have taken a sudden turn for the worse. That could potentially mean much, much higher oil prices, and needless to say that would be a very bad thing for the U.S. economy. It has really surprised many of us how dramatically events have begun to accelerate here in the month of October, and the mood on Wall Street has taken a decidedly negative turn. Yes, U.S. stocks did bounce back a bit on Friday (as I correctly anticipated), but it was much less of a bounce than many investors were hoping for. And this week got off to a rough start with all of the major markets in Asia down significantly…
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free from Broke site titled Playing Dominion vs. Playing the Market. Juicy Excerpt: It’s possible to finish a game of Dominion in 30 minutes. Newcomers to the game make dumb mistakes the first time they play. They learn from those mistakes. They get better. Investing is a game that extends over 60 years of your life (if you start at age 25 and die at age 85). By the time we figure the game out, it’s…
Generally, the prophecies discussed on this site may be changeable, if people will understand and listen to them and take appropriate action, such as building an asteroid defense. This may be a test for the human race: if people will understand that the disasters described in Revelation are occurring, then it may be possible to change the future and avoid these disasters.
Welcome and thank you for taking out Premium Membership. Your best bet with the minority shareholder and also your real estate is to use Jupiter at 26 Scorpio, crossing your Ceres at 26 Scorpio in the Eighth House of finance, property and business. You were born with Ceres here, so it’s been your fate to know repeated highs and lows. This is where you are powerful. No doubt about it. You are quite right to feel entitled, passionate and very much in ownership of all that is there, with the money, property, charity, possessions or business interests. At the same time, Ceres is a symbol of power and control issues, and when you say this has been going on for five years, that tallies with Saturn (hard times, hard lessons, delays, obstacles) going through Scorpio. I’m sure if you looked at this shareholder’s chart you would also find a ton of Scorpio stuff. Anyway – Ceres is all about making a deal. Enforced compromises with others, or even the universe. When Jupiter – breakthroughs, expansion, growth, improvement – moves to 26 Scorpio you will have a jaw-dropping opportunity to not only resolve things with this shareholder, but also to sort things out on a real estate level. We’re talking October 2018. Long-term, the North Node (karma, the past) will go through Cancer and your Fourth House of property, so you are very likely to return to an old location, an old residence or an old way of operating from years before. Any good karma you have earned will return to you. Read more on Ceres on Search. You are looking for Ceres in Scorpio in the Eighth House, so look up Scorpio and the Eighth House too and you’ll see why this is the year it all needs to be resolved.
So this is the rectified chart I did. In this one you can see Uranus hitting the Saturn in the 9th and Pluto is at 19 degrees. In this one Mars is right on the cusp of the 5th. The 5th rules gambling and we can see Venus/South Node/Sun/Mercury transiting the 7th making a roll over natal Pluto in Aquarius (7th house/legal issues) and most of those planets making an opposition to the natal Uranus in the 1st house. Neptune is also in the 8th starting to oppose the natal Mars and starting an inconjunction to natal Uranus in the 1st – lots of volatility. Transiting Saturn is also in the 5th making a trine to Venus causing constriction in gambling but it seems to suggest that once it moves past the 5th it could settle down. Now I’m going to go back to the alternate chart and see if it makes a big difference for this same period.
hcks, we’ve been looking all over Houston for you. We have reserved a seat for you on Niburu when it gets close enough to board via the secret mind control surf boards we’ve stashed away for those of us in the ” know.” We’re making sure you’ll be sitting next to Dave Hodges and your scientist friend, you know, the one whose name can never be mentioned lest the Earth be ravaged by brain eating dreadlock zombies, you know, THAT scientist friend. By the way, we have been able to confirm that Ted Turner is indeed and has been a cannibal for years now, so he’s looking forward to some fine dinning once the shtf next April. Stay on your normal frequency as we may need to transmit additional instructions to you without delay.
I think the message here is that, near the midpoint between these two locations, is the town of Lordsburg, New Mexico, a name with a Biblical message. One way to consider numbers, in a religious sense, is to convert them to Biblical passage numbers. The midpoint is at 108.85 W, and if you consider Biblical Psalm passage 108:4,5 you have (King James Version): "For thy mercy is great above the heavens, and thy truth reacheth unto the clouds. Be thou exalted, O God, above the heavens: and thy glory above all the earth." So this Bible passage fits a comet, certainly.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Control Your Cash site titled Index Funds Don't Work in Bear Markets. Juicy Except: This approach (Valuation-Informed Indexing) sounds so easy and so rewarding and so rooted in common sense. Why doesn’t Mike Piper follow it? Why doesn’t everybody follow it? Stock investing is an intensely emotional endeavor. When stocks were priced at three times fair value in 2000, the numbers on the bottom line of the last page of our portfolio statements…
Still, people don’t read their horoscopes looking for accurate forecasts of their futures. They want something to feel hopeful about. I suspect Weingarten draws a semi-respectable crowd to his events for a similar reason. Listening to an unrepentant financial astrologer may be reassuring to people who feel that their expertise has been rendered obsolete by index funds and trading algorithms. Weingarten’s found an edge! And it may just have the weight of the cosmos behind it.
With the bankers' financial resources behind him, Whitney placed a bid to purchase a large block of shares in U.S. Steel at a price well above the current market. As traders watched, Whitney then placed similar bids on other "blue chip" stocks. This tactic was similar to one that had ended the Panic of 1907. It succeeded in halting the slide. The Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered, closing with it down only 6.38 points for the day. The rally continued on Friday, October 25, and the half day session on Saturday the 26th but, unlike 1907, the respite was only temporary.
Sur 10 ans, 5000$ d’épargnes par an à 4% de rendement donne 62,000$ et à 8% 78,000$… c’est loin d’être life changing! Mais déjà pour obtenir 8% il faudra probablement prendre plus de risques donc le risque faire un rendement négatif, de perdre de l’argent etc. Car plus on veut du rendement, plus il faut s’attendre à voir de la volatilité dans notre portefeuille.
This brings us to finance. Most investors have no idea what tools fund managers use to choose stocks and bonds. (Tell me the time, don’t build me a clock!) Much of the business of Wall Street is based on methodologies as obscure to the uninitiated as a natal chart. It was only a matter of time until these two industries joined forces. Weingarten’s 1996 book Investing by the Stars traces financial astrology back to the Babylonians. A couple thousand years later, it’s claimed, celebrity astrologer Evangeline Adams advised John Pierpont Morgan.
“ The stock market — the daytime adventure serial of the well-to-do — would not be the stock market if it did not have its ups and downs. (...) And it has many other distinctive characteristics. Apart from the economic advantages and disadvantages of stock exchanges — the advantage that they provide a free flow of capital to finance industrial expansion, for instance, and the disadvantage that they provide an all too convenient way for the unlucky, the imprudent, and the gullible to lose their money — their development has created a whole pattern of social behavior, complete with customs, language, and predictable responses to given events. What is truly extraordinary is the speed with which this pattern emerged full blown following the establishment, in 1611, of the world's first important stock exchange — a roofless courtyard in Amsterdam — and the degree to which it persists (with variations, it is true) on the New York Stock Exchange in the nineteen-sixties. Present-day stock trading in the United States — a bewilderingly vast enterprise, involving millions of miles of private telegraph wires, computers that can read and copy the Manhattan Telephone Directory in three minutes, and over twenty million stockholder participants — would seem to be a far cry from a handful of seventeenth-century Dutchmen haggling in the rain. But the field marks are much the same. The first stock exchange was, inadvertently, a laboratory in which new human reactions were revealed. By the same token, the New York Stock Exchange is also a sociological test tube, forever contributing to the human species' self-understanding. The behaviour of the pioneering Dutch stock traders is ably documented in a book entitled “Confusion of Confusions,” written by a plunger on the Amsterdam market named Joseph de la Vega; originally published in 1688, (...) ”
If most or all of the favourable conditions are in place, then a bull market is more probable. Where a more mixed situation obtains, the market will only deliver mixed results. In addition to the above factors, I use a variety of techniques including current transit patterns such as planetary ingresses, the phases of the Moon, and mundane aspects. All can be used as signals to help discern the prevailing market direction. Since none of these are reliable indicators on their own, I typically use up to 20 different measurements to compile a sort of moving astrological index that reflects changing investor sentiment. In addition, I make use of the first trade charts of key stocks, stock indices, and stock exchanges.
Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries on the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy and on the Passion Saving money management approach: 1) The Economic Crisis Is the Best Thing That Ever Happened to Us, at the Hope to Prosper site; 2) The Truth About the Shiller P/E, at the Bad Money Advice site (this article is about Valuation-Informed Indexing but was not written by me); 3) Valuation-Informed Indexing/Emotional Market Theory, at the Value Investing Congress Group at…
“At the Very Bare Minimum, Anyone Who Points Someone to One of the Buy-and-Hold Retirement Studies for Use in Planning a Retirement Should Let That Person Know That There Are Today Two Schools of Academic Thought as to How Stock Investing Works, Not One, and Let that Person Make the Decision as to Whether to Rely on the Numbers Generated by the Buy-and-Hold Studies or the Numbers Generated by the Valuation-Informed Indexing Studies.”
Behaviorists argue that investors often behave irrationally when making investment decisions thereby incorrectly pricing securities, which causes market inefficiencies, which, in turn, are opportunities to make money. However, the whole notion of EMH is that these non-rational reactions to information cancel out, leaving the prices of stocks rationally determined.
A stock is an ownership interest in a business. Publicly traded companies raise cash by going to the primary market, where shares are first sold to investors in an “initial public offering,” or IPO. What most of us consider the stock market is actually the secondary market. This is where previously issued shares are traded among market participants. Trading venues include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations System (NASDAQ) among others. Bidding among buyers and sellers sets prices.
Blind optimism over the tax cuts have led Wall Street analysts to produce a 2019 forward earnings estimate that's 46% greater than the most recent 12-month operating earnings for the S&P 500, he said. "The combination of extreme valuations and extreme earnings expectations creates a situation that's ripe for disappointment," wrote Hussman in a recent blog post on his company site.
Tesco has been targeted by protesters complaining the supermarket chain sells goods made in Israel, with most complaints being about products emanating from Israeli settlements in the West Bank. Protests generally occur when Israeli military operations are being carried out in the Gaza Strip or the West Bank. A protester was arrested at a protest at a shop in Birmingham on 16 August 2014.
My name is T. Chase, and I live in the U.S.. I grew up in the U.S. as a Christian Protestant, and I am of English Anglo-Saxon ancestry, but today I would call myself a New Age Christian. This site is a one person effort by me, and the theories and opinions expressed on this site are my own. I have worked on my theories for 20 years, and I started a web site in 1998 to explain my theories to the world. I would like to expand this site to have it translated into other languages. A multi-language site in 5 or 10 languages is my dream: in French, German, Spanish, Swedish, Dutch, etc.. But I don't know other languages myself, and translation of this site to other languages would cost a lot of money, since I would have to have professional translators do it. I have little money myself. This site is a one person effort by me, T. Chase. There is much I would like to do for this site, if I had the money to. If I had $1 million, I could do much for this site: translation to other languages, advertizing, publish a book, add sound and video. If anyone would like to give me $100,000 or more to help with improvement and advertizement of this web site (translation to other languages, advertizing, promotion, publish a book, etc.) then please email me. Another way to help this web site would be to mention the Revelation13.net web site in your Last Will and Testament, if you have $100,000 or more you wish to bequeath to this Revelation13.net web site and T. Chase. That will help me get the word out.
Jones is widely credited with predicting, and profiting, from the stock-market crash on Oct. 19, 1987, which saw the Dow lose nearly 23% of its value, marking the largest one-day percentage decline for the blue-chip benchmark in its history. Jones founded Tudor in 1980 and became known for trading everything from currencies to commodities. His record has featured middling returns and an exodus of billions from his hedge fund in more recent years. According to a Forbes list of billionaires, Jones boasts a net worth of $4.7 billion
I can’t thank you enough for your insight and accuracy in astrology since over the years you have been an absolute Godsend for me—thank you! I quote and reference you all time! As an American with a DOB is 11/17/65 @ 5:05pm CST involved with a person with DOB 5/13/60, the current astro-climate has seem extremely relentless when it comes to work, boss, co-workers, relationship, and home. I’m really concerned with the upcoming Uranus in Taurus astro, what should I/we do to ride this out? Will Chiron in Aries ease some of this or make it worse?
Rajeev Prakash Agarwal is a renowned astrologer, based out of central India, with a vast experience of 20 years in astrology. He predicts the trend of stocks, commodities, currencies and bonds around the globe. With an accuracy of over 92%, he has a track record of over a decade in financial markets. He was also the astrologer who predicted the huge crash in January 2008 through advertisements in leading newspapers. Know More
Academic Researcher Silenced By Threats to Get Him Fired From His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies — Teaser VersionThis is a briefer version of the same article, the article that I believe is the most important one that I have written in my 30-year journalism career. I believe that the story told at this web site is the most important economic and political story of any of our lifetimes and this article sums up the key points in one little package of dynamite. If Buy-and-Hold were a legitimate strategy, every Buy-and-Holder would be ashamed to learn that even one academic researcher was threatened. We cannot move forward so long as the intimidation tactics of the Buy-and-Holders dominate all discussions of what works in stock investing. I use this short version of the article in my e-mail campaigns aimed at getting researcher and stock advisors and bloggers and journalists and policymakers involved in our effort to open the internet up to honest posting on ALL investing topics. Please help get others involved if you can. We are all in this together!
So to summarize: We are still in the middle of the bleeding. Criminal activity regarding the market will continue to come to light. The market will undergo tremendous change over the next decade. It won’t really be “safe” for normal people to invest in the market for a few years when it begins to stabilize again. More companies are going to go under. The overall value of the market is going to go down. We are headed into a different sort of depression then the 30s, but still it will be a depression. There will be international market, and banking laws put into place over the next decade, and the world will become even more intricately connected as one economy, with one set of rules we all have to abide by. After a few years of changes people will get used to the Pluto energy, and begin to understand the new flow of the market, and it will turn around for the better, and start to build more value again.
David Crowder has grown his ministry and music as one mission, writing songs for the church he co-founded while at Baylor University. Crowder's unique expressions of worship and daring instrumentation have cemented his legacy as one of this generation's eminent auteurs. Since the band's breakup in 2012, he's continued a fruitful solo career, with back to back #1 albums on Christian charts. His third solo album I Know A Ghost offers heart-swelling anthems of worship, mixed into a spicy stew of musical styles.
Though he hails from a little-known town in southeastern Nepal called Jhapa, Vashistha has gained international recognition for his ability to read the stars. In 2017, he was named the best astrologer in Asia by the Asian Astrologer Congress and the World Astrology Federation. His readings focus more on substantive geopolitical predictions and personal fortunes than hokey horoscope drivel, and his regular clients include Nepal’s Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba, Bollywood actress Manisha Koirala, and American celebrities whose names he wouldn’t reveal. All of them treat his readings as gospel, so seldom is he wrong.
Je te donne entièrement raison, les deux principaux facteurs d’enrichissement sont le taux d’épargne et le temps (en tout cas dans mon cas). Les jeunes qui comprennent ceci sont nettement avantagés financièrement. Alors que leurs amis du même âge achètent des voitures neuves, des condos, des électros à crédit et une mutlitude de bébelles inutiles, ils font travailler leur argent. Avec le temps, les intérêts composés font toute la différence. Ce qui est primordial est d’investir ses épargnes. Que ce soit en bourse, dans l’immobilier ou dans son entreprise, il faut que l’argent travaille.
Ce que vous espérez de vos investissements a bien sûr une incidence dans votre prise de risque. À titre d’exemple, si vous voulez réduire votre horaire de travail, il vous faudra miser sur des placements sûrs qui vous offrent un rendement plus modeste, mais régulier (ex : dividendes). Donc, le niveau de risque sera plus modéré. Or, si vous êtes jeune et que vous voulez vous bâtir un « fond de liberté », vous pouvez vous permettre de viser la croissance rapide en assumant plus de risques.
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It is not a big surprise, however, that many investors today remain interested in the forecasts of financial analysts regardless of their success. Humans in the past consulted oracles, crystal balls and tea leaves. It’s in our nature: As the proverb goes, “tell me a fact, and I'll learn; tell me a truth, and I’ll believe; but tell me a story and it will live in my heart forever.” We are attracted to story-telling, and when it comes to investing we seem to be searching for the most compelling narratives about the unknowable future, regardless of how accurate they turn out to be.
Price-Earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based upon the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, source). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings). The vertical axis shows the geometric average real annual return on investing in the S&P Composite Stock Price Index, reinvesting dividends, and selling twenty years later. Data from different twenty-year periods is color-coded as shown in the key. See also ten-year returns. Shiller states that this plot "confirms that long-term investors—investors who commit their money to an investment for ten full years—did do well when prices were low relative to earnings at the beginning of the ten years. Long-term investors would be well advised, individually, to lower their exposure to the stock market when it is high, as it has been recently, and get into the market when it is low."
Une plateforme de courtage en ligne vous permettra plus de flexibilité. Toutes les grandes banques offrent une telle plateforme. Personellement, j’utilise BMO Ligne d’action. Vous pouvez faire vos recherches, mais peut-être utiliser votre banque comme point de départ. Dans tout les cas, l’institution choisie vous assistera dans le processus d’ouverture de compte.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: And you want us to wait, even if it takes 73 to 86 years more for it to play out, right? I’ve asked myself that question, how long would I wait? Shiller predicted in 1996 that those going with high stock allocations would regret it within 10 years. That would have been 2006. We are now 12 years past that. This is the longest that we have ever gone with stocks at crazy high prices and not seen them crash (they crashed in 2008 but prices went back up after the passage of only a few months, so that crash didn’t turn out to be terribly consequential). Does there come a point when you just say “this has continued for so long that it just doesn’t make sense to continue to expect a crash?” The long wait is a point against Valuation-Informed Indexing, in my assessment. I can see someone saying “if stock prices had just recently risen to crazy high prices, I would listen to Shiller and Bennett and lower my stock allocation but this has gone on so long that I feel that they are like the boys who cried wolf, I just do not have confidence that what they are saying will happen will actually take place.”I don’t agree with that view. But I don’t see that view as being entirely unreasonable. So I don’t say that someone who concludes that “it has taken too long for prices to crash” and therefore rejects Valuation-Informed Indexing is crazy. The problem that I have with that view is that we all need to invest our money. If you are considering making a bet on the World Series but you can’t figure out whether the Red Sox or the Dodgers are the better baseball team, you can just elect not to place a bet either way. You can opt out of the choice. You can’t do that as an investor. You can’t say “Valuation-Informed Indexing beats Buy-and-Hold for about 10 different reasons but I am concerned about how long it has taken for the crash to arrive so I am just going to opt out of making a decision re how to invest my money because I don’t want to get it wrong.” You’ve got the […]
In 2016 for my 2017 predictions made through the Sun Newspaper online I correctly predicted a Tory Government but did not foresee the comeback of Jeremy Corbyn. My main prediction was that there would arise a new political party made up of politicians from all of the other parties. This has not happened yet but it has become a serious issue that is now in the news. I believe this will continue to become a news story and we will eventually see a new party formed. I also spoke about a landmark going up in flames in London. I saw this to be the Houses of Parliament but I was wrong about this. However, there was a huge fire in a landmark building with the Grenfell tower fire and some have commented here that this is probably what I ‘saw’. Others have said that this could be a symbol for the Westminster Bridge terrorist attacks.