However, none were right at the 74% threshold which makes market timing profitable. Remember, being right 66% of the time isn’t going to be as profitable as staying invested for three reasons. One, you will need to hold money in cash when you think a crash is coming. Two, when you are sometimes wrong (the 33%+ of the time) you are missing out on good gains from those days when markets soar. Three, you will be accumulating costs, including trading costs and tax from selling.
Economic troubles are caused by the energy of greed. The law of karma means that this will set up a situation that will fly back to us like a cosmic boomerang. We cannot stop the greed of the few fat cats and ruling elite who cream off the best for themselves but in our own lives, we can try to live more simply. If we cease craving the fruits of our actions we actually attract prosperity and happened into our lives. Giving and forgiving really does work.
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I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Smarter Wallet blog entitled Stock Market Strategy: Market Timing Based on Long-Term Views. Juicy Excerpt: If prices can be wildly wrong in the short term but must be roughly right in the long term, it should be possible to know in advance which way prices are headed (in the long term only, not in the short term) just by knowing the valuation level you are starting from. Researchers have checked the historical data. This explanation, unlike the…
To a financial astrologer, this is unsurprising. Recently I connected with an enigmatic finance guy who for decades applied his astrological models in relative secret as a trader on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He was drawn to astrology via Buddhism, on which he overlaid, among other things, economist Joseph Schumpeter’s theory of cyclical creative destruction. The trader, who asked that his name not be used for fear of being shamed, cites Einstein to point out the universe is just a pattern of energy, and thus obviously shaped by the movements of large heavenly masses. How could markets not be affected by the sun, moon, and planets?
In the case of books, it would be wise not to try to reinvent the wheel. If you know a book is excellent for investing, then pick it up and start reading. For example, if Warren Buffet says to read “The Intelligent Investor” by Benjamin Graham then you’d better find it and start reading. Admittedly, some of the older books on the topic of investing are very dry. In this case, it may be helpful to get the audio version.
In 2000, Weingarten was hired to provide astrological services to a company called UN Dollars Corp. The guy who hired him, Edward Durante (who also has gone by several aliases), was convicted in 2001 for a scheme to inflate the value of stocks before dumping them and cashing in. Weingarten settled a complaint involving UN Dollars with the Securities and Exchange Commission for $15,000 and admitted no wrongdoing. He wasn’t accused of conspiring with Durante, but of hyping the stock in his newsletter and investing his clients’ money in the company without indicating that he had been paid with 250,000 shares of UN Dollars, though he did say on his website that the company was a client. Weingarten says he can’t really talk about the case, citing a nondisclosure agreement, but insists he settled it only because his wife said she’d divorce him if he fought the case in court.
I don’t think you are wrong about Trump winning the Presidency. He is very close in the polls and the Clinton’s who totally control the media have faked the polls to show she is winning (came out in Wikileaks), but she isn’t. All their corruption is coming to light through WikiLeaks, disgruntled FBI agents, and alternative media investigative journalism. Moreover, the astronomical increase in the cost of health premiums under ObamaCare is turning tons of people away from Clinton. The only way she could win is by rigging big time the elections, but Trump supporters have organized an army of people to address the rigging.
Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries on the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy and on the Passion Saving money management approach: 1) The Economic Crisis Is the Best Thing That Ever Happened to Us, at the Hope to Prosper site; 2) The Truth About the Shiller P/E, at the Bad Money Advice site (this article is about Valuation-Informed Indexing but was not written by me); 3) Valuation-Informed Indexing/Emotional Market Theory, at the Value Investing Congress Group at…
Sree Veerabrahmendra Swamy a reincarnation of Lord Vishnu who is the Preserver of the deities predicted that from November 2016 onward through the year 2017 there would be many cataclysms which would wipe out millions. These comprise earthquakes of over 7 on the Richter scale occurring all over the world. In China from 2015 to 2023 since Saturn represents 8 Years it would see common man protests, Change of Government, bad karma and economic troubles. China would fight a war with India to divert public opinion from their economic troubles. America would see their currency collapse by 90% according to Gerald Celente and already the Asian countries are holding Euros and gold in their reserves. America will be wrecked by hyperinflation and food riots. The fall of a superpower with 20 trillion dollars in debt by 2018-2019 which is more than the G.D.P of the country. Britain would face economic crisis as well as its debt has reached alarming proportions. Overall Europe and America would spend less on defense affecting them in the future decades when the security of these countries is threatened.
Experienced investors who are “sophisticated enough to focus on these numbers and act on them themselves” can benefit by making their own adjustments, Mr. Davis said. Tried-and true investments like balanced funds and target date funds (which become more conservative as a given date nears) can make basic adjustments for you. Advisers can do this as well.
Ben, you have many lifetimes of dealing with both wealth and poverty so you have reincarnated to use your knowledge gathered over many lifetimes. Essentially you have very fixed patterns around money, rent, mortgage, tax, business, shares, wealth, budget and so on. Even shopping. Taurus and Scorpio are fixed signs so they tend to dislike change, on the financial front, and get rather set in their ways. This will not go on. It actually can’t go on. And you will be liberated as a result. It may all seem very new and different – perhaps even rather dramatic – but by the time you get to 2019 you will see how ‘chained’ you were by some rather stuck attitudes towards money, property, taxation, business and the rest. You’re being offered a way to have a lot more space and room to move in your life, if you can just budge your position on your budget. It’s the ‘budge that budget’ cycle and it’s a smart idea to just go with it. Try not to hang on or look nostalgically back at 2017, 2016, 2015 when it comes. The future is rushing towards you.
Though he hails from a little-known town in southeastern Nepal called Jhapa, Vashistha has gained international recognition for his ability to read the stars. In 2017, he was named the best astrologer in Asia by the Asian Astrologer Congress and the World Astrology Federation. His readings focus more on substantive geopolitical predictions and personal fortunes than hokey horoscope drivel, and his regular clients include Nepal’s Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba, Bollywood actress Manisha Koirala, and American celebrities whose names he wouldn’t reveal. All of them treat his readings as gospel, so seldom is he wrong.
The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is a physical exchange, with a hybrid market for placing orders electronically from any location as well as on the trading floor. Orders executed on the trading floor enter by way of exchange members and flow down to a floor broker, who submits the order electronically to the floor trading post for the Designated Market Maker ("DMM") for that stock to trade the order. The DMM's job is to maintain a two-sided market, making orders to buy and sell the security when there are no other buyers or sellers. If a spread exists, no trade immediately takes place – in this case the DMM may use their own resources (money or stock) to close the difference. Once a trade has been made, the details are reported on the "tape" and sent back to the brokerage firm, which then notifies the investor who placed the order. Computers play an important role, especially for program trading.
Houses and apartments are ruled by Cancer and the Fourth House of ‘home’ so when the North Node moves into Cancer towards the end of this year we will see new emphasis on property prices around the world, through to 2019. The special child in your world is really shown by Leo and the Fifth House, and you have a strong Leo signature. The North Node has been going over Leo so old karma has been activated. It is very likely that you, your niece and the special child knew each other in a previous lifetime. Flux is okay, by the way. In fact it’s necessary. Astrology can help by alerting you so that you realise what is going on and you go with radically new ways to earn, own or owe.
Perhaps the likeliest reason for the next stock market crash could be an escalating trade spat between the United States and China. After the U.S. initially placed tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods, China retaliated with tariffs of its own on an equal value of imported U.S. goods. Now the two sides are threatening to one-up the other with tariffs.
The time to invest is 2018 while Jupiter (solutions, breakthroughs, growth) is still in Scorpio in your Eighth House. You’ll see a classic Uranus in Taurus/Jupiter in Scorpio/Saturn in Capricorn pattern kicking off within weeks. Essentially, computers and smart phones will revolutionise currency. Big chances to make or save more, will appear. The dinosaurs of business and banking will get a kicking. Put all that together and you can see why the smart money is on spotting opportunities and using them. You will need to be online and across the news to spot what is on offer.
I’m ready, but nervous. IF, this is the big one, and you are wanting this or think you will pop some corn and enjoy the show, then you are unaware of the big picture. Yes it may be enjoyable for a while (I get no joy from this BTW), it WILL effect you in ways you haven’t yet thought of. Yes those of us that are prepared will weather it better than those not prepared, but this isn’t going to be fun in the long run.
Even after the turnaround began in March 2009, it's not as if investors knew the bear had run its course. The S&P dropped by more than 15% in 2010 and by almost 20% in 2011. We know now that these setbacks were temporary speed bumps (albeit scary ones) within a new bull market. But investors back then didn't have the advantage of being able to consult a stock chart, as we can today, that showed them how it all played out.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Everyday Tips and Thoughts blog titled Stock Investing Without All the Drama. Juicy Excerpt: Buy index funds and you avoid the risk of picking bad stocks. But you take on another kind of risk — the risk of investing heavily in stocks at the wrong time. That 6.5 percent return is only an average. There have already been three times in U.S. history when stocks have provided an average 20-year return of 0.7 percent (including dividends). Those who…
It look really bad in 2012 and I took everything and pushed it conservative. Bad timing. I wasn’t thinking and I wasn’t looking at the charts. I am now and I know exactly what to do. I retire in just about 15 years. By then, if we don’t have a full on collapse, I expect to be STINKING RICH. Everyone could be. All you have to do is look at the charts. The right ones of course. I’ve been sworn to secrecy and that is all the clue I will give, but, suffice it to say that there is a pattern that even a monkey could see if he looked.
Lilith is not part of modern astrology as she has no family relationship to the original, classical planets – Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn. Astrology is based on planets, asteroids and other heavenly bodies which all have a logical connection to each other, and Lilith simply doesn’t. The reason some astrology students use her is possibly because she’s been included in old 20th century ephemerides, but you won’t find her in the charts you get here – so please don’t bother. You have a very complicated chart when it comes to money. I am not surprised you feel you never have an easy break with finances. You were born with the Moon at 25 Taurus, just two degrees away from Mars at 27 Taurus. Chiron is also at 19 Taurus. Meanwhile, right opposite, you have Uranus at 27 Scorpio, so he is exactly opposite your natal Mars. Very hard work! Panacea at 16 Taurus and Bacchus at 21 Taurus complete this stellium (unusually high number of factors) in your Second House. You won’t experience any changes until transiting Uranus travels all the way to 16, and then as he moves through to 19, 21, 25 and 27 many years from now, you will find your values change quite substantially. Your values now really revolve around what you will sell your soul for/refuse to sell your soul for. Everyone has some kind of price. Your values are also about who or what you consider to be precious or even priceless. Some people are Marxists and some people are shopaholics. Some give to charity and some avoid tax because they disagree with the government. Some drop out and live off the grid and some work in banks. Worrying is not necessary but you do need to stay open and remain informed. You will feel the bump/the bang of Uranus entering your Second House in mid-May and that is when you need to do a ton of reading, and a lot of talking. There is an inner conflict here between your Mars in Taurus in the Second House at 27 Taurus and Uranus in the Eighth House at 27 Scorpio. You feel the urge to act, to push, to fight (if required) and to compete, when it comes to all that you earn, own or owe. At the same time, whenever you strike out like this, you hit internal conflicts or inner opposition, as there is a part of you which is endlessly inventive, productive and creative when it comes to money, charity, business, houses, possessions or apartments – but you reject what comes, and are then knocked sideways by it anyway. You essentially upset your own apple cart. You need to look up Mars, Uranus, Second House, Eighth House, Taurus, Scorpio on Search and get to know yourself really well before this cycle begins. On the plus side, Jupiter (abundance, expansion, growth, fortunate outcomes, hope, solutions) will reach 27 Scorpio in the final months of this year and you will find that as he conjuncts Uranus in your chart and opposes Mars, you will have a huge open door. I’m not saying the lock won’t take work, and the key won’t be hard to find – but the door will be wide open and it could lead somewhere astonishing for you.
Tesco launched its customer loyalty scheme, the Tesco Clubcard, in 1995. It has been cited as a pivotal development in Tesco's progress towards becoming the UK's largest supermarket chain and one that fundamentally changed the country's supermarket business. Tesco itself was cited in a Wall Street Journal article as using the intelligence from the Clubcard to thwart Wal-Mart's initiatives in the UK.
a ceux qui pense cela tres risque je répond que pour moi le plus gros risque est de laisser tout son argent investi en bourse sans suivre ca de pres… Ca fait depuis 2009 que les marchés montent sans cesse dopés par l’afflux de capitaux sans précédent en provenances des banques centrales comme la fed, la banque du japon et d’europe, ca na continuera pas eternellement.
As you can see, there is more to preparing for a market crash than making a stock market crash prediction. “Experts” predict crashes all the time, and most of the time they get it wrong. If you listen to all these crash predictions, you will end up losing out on the upside. And yet, you should never be in a position where a crash will wipe out your portfolio or brokerage account. To prepare for a crash, you should make sure your portfolio is diversified, and that you don’t have too much of it allocated to high beta and growth stocks.
A little more than a week later, stocks sank after a tweet from the president challenged the idea that Russia’s missile defense system could shoot down American smart bombs. Investors clearly worry that Trump’s tweeted rhetoric could be taken the wrong way by one or more global leaders, leading to escalation, or even conflict. Should that happen, the stock market could tank.
Stock market crashes are social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behavior and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where P/E ratios (Price-Earning ratio) exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants. Other aspects such as wars, large-corporation hacks, changes in federal laws and regulations, and natural disasters of highly economically productive areas may also influence a significant decline in the NYSE value of a wide range of stocks. All such stock drops may result in the rise of stock prices for corporations competing against the affected corporations.
Stocks are categorized in various ways. One way is by the country where the company is domiciled. For example, Nestlé and Novartis are domiciled in Switzerland, so they may be considered as part of the Swiss stock market, although their stock may also be traded on exchanges in other countries, for example, as American depository receipts (ADRs) on U.S. stock markets.
If you believe in Taratam Vani [TV in brief] that manifested in India during 1657-94 AD – which can be termed as ‘Seventeenth Century Revelations’ – I feel after considerable thought that the Avatara of Kalki had manifested in the year 1618 AD in a personage called Shri Devachandraji [1581-1657 AD]. He is esoterically referred to in 2nd chapter of 12th Skandha of Bhagawatam as the horse called “Devadutta”. That happened after a 14 year long fascination and devotion/contemplation of the text of Bhagawatam. He one day accomplished his highest humanly attainable state of consciousness [that must have been, in my humble opinion, a state called ‘Turyateeta’ in the text of ‘Yogavasishtha’ when one has an audience with Paramatma].
Jeremy, as a businessman you have identified what also concerns many astrologers – bubbles. As you say, housing prices have ballooned and younger people cannot match their salaries with the price of (even) a studio apartment. This is not living in the real world, and people in their fifties, born with Neptune in Scorpio, the banking sign, have been inflating the bubbles. What we are going to see, in stages, from May 2018, is Uranus (shock, revolution, radical change) moving through Taurus (currency, money) and thus directly clashing with the Neptune in Scorpio position of everybody born in the 1960’s. It starts with people born with Neptune at 0, 1 Scorpio – in 2018 and 2019 – and then will systematically burst the borrowing/credit/property bubbles of billions, year by year. Apart from the adults born in the 1960s with Neptune in Scorpio, there are other, younger generations born with Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Pluto in Scorpio as well. They are also going to be affected quite systematically, year by year. The other huge bubble now is cryptocurrency. All this non-reality is going to be seriously challenged, and it begins with a bang. Bitcoin will be a big part of that bang, as I have charts for the first trade and other key points in its history, which show patterns at – we guessed it – 0, 1 degrees. I was chatting to my friend Shelley von Strunckel, the astrologer for The Sunday Times, Vogue and other magazines about May 2018. Neither of us can ignore the fact that Prince Charles and Her Majesty the Queen both have placements triggered by this 0, 1 pattern. Uranus always turns the world upside-down. Her head is on Commonwealth currency, so you really have to wonder what’s going to happen here…
Je crois que je n’étais pas clair dans ma question. Qu est ce que ça me rapporte de plus et est-ce qu’ils tente vraiment de me diriger vers les fonds qu’il veut pour faire une commission ou bien y a til vraiment plus de risques ou moins d’avantages dans des fonds auto gérés. je dois avouer que le 2.3% me donne mal au coeur, ça voudrait dire que je pourrais investir dans le même fond moi même et aller chercher 10%. (je comprend aussi le principe d’avoir quelqu’un qui nous donne des stratégies d’épargnes et placements variés.
The recession projection is based largely on interest rate expectations using two criteria, according to Freddy Martino, a Vanguard spokesman. One is what economists refer to as a flattening yield curve, with the Federal Reserve expected to raise shorter-term rates faster than longer-term ones. The other is rising credit risk for below-investment-grade bonds.
The JPMorgan model calculates outcomes based on the length of the economic expansion, the potential duration of the next recession, the degree of leverage, asset-price valuations and the level of deregulation and financial innovation before the crisis. Assuming an average-length recession, the model came up with the following peak-to-trough performance estimates for different asset classes in the next crisis, according to the note.
I read your 2015 predictions a week or two ago, and now I see your Paris terrorist prediction has come true (sadly). Has anything else that is positive come to you since you made your 2015 predictions some months ago, for Australia or the World? Also – I don’t suppose you do any personal requests? I would love to know about my 2015 after some very challenging years.
Last year I predicted a ‘world flu epidemic’ toward the end of 2017 or the start of 2018. I feel this could still happen. (10/10 Correct: “‘worst killer flu’ in 50 years” – Headline: The Sun 5th Jan 2018.) There may be a link to biological warfare seeded in multiple countries by North Korea working with a terrorist group. (Happening? “Reports Pyongyang is testing biological weapons for use on ballistic missiles.” Sky Television 27th Dec 2017 – these predictions were posted in October 2017)
Milton Friedman's A Monetary History of the United States, co-written with Anna Schwartz, advances the argument that what made the "great contraction" so severe was not the downturn in the business cycle, protectionism, or the 1929 stock market crash in themselves, but the collapse of the banking system during three waves of panics over the 1930–33 period.
Je te donne entièrement raison, les deux principaux facteurs d’enrichissement sont le taux d’épargne et le temps (en tout cas dans mon cas). Les jeunes qui comprennent ceci sont nettement avantagés financièrement. Alors que leurs amis du même âge achètent des voitures neuves, des condos, des électros à crédit et une mutlitude de bébelles inutiles, ils font travailler leur argent. Avec le temps, les intérêts composés font toute la différence. Ce qui est primordial est d’investir ses épargnes. Que ce soit en bourse, dans l’immobilier ou dans son entreprise, il faut que l’argent travaille.
I predict that Bush the father will pass this year! A family member of mine is predicting that Jeb Bush will become president! Other sources are predicting that Hillary Clinton will become president but not too soon after she would be kill, putting a male as president soon after, cannot figure out how or if it is possible that Jeb Bush be then president.
Thank you for becoming a Premium Member and also for the compliment. Don’t be anxious, but do give yourself an advantage by understanding what it means to have Uranus conjunct your natal Chiron at 0 Taurus in your Second House of finance, property, business and possessions. Essentially your lifelong pattern is to see what you can get away with, no matter if you are buying, selling or borrowing. Chiron is that side of you which is quite audacious and willing to tilt at windmills. You are always moving the goalposts, to coin another phrase, when it comes to money and were probably doing that as a child or teenager too. Experimenting and exploring to see what is possible – what is acceptable. When Uranus comes along in May, and again in early 2019, you will need to adjust and adapt your approach. In other words, the habits of a lifetime with finances will need to be examined very closely to see if your old angle is still going to work for you in unpredictable times. Figuring out a strategy is a very good idea. Rather than just reacting, try to put everything in front of you and see what tactics you can use. You’ll see a lot of astrologers online and in workshops now talking about this cycle, as we have not seen it since the Thirties. By 2019 you will be far more up on the game and will know how to play it. The best example I can give you is the Industrial Revolution. You either got on board with it and did very well, back in the 18th century, or you threw your clogs into the machinery and … your clogs got broken! Another example I can give you is the French Revolution and the peasant rebellion against taxes. Again, you either got on board with that and owned the new country – or you were wasting your time, hanging on to your poster of Marie Antoinette. It’s going to be that radical. What do you gain? Freedom. Freedom from X and freedom, thanks to Y. You actually won’t be able to fill in X and Y until Uranus has arrived and it is in the nature of this planet to be utterly unpredictable. Yet – you have the kind of chart where you can make just about anything work. You would do wonders with gardening, actually. I hope your little boy gets a good animal friend.
I had a dream on the 14th of September of a London school where most of the students seemed to be Muslim but it was still multicultural. It was class time and suddenly there was a major panic throughout the school. It appeared that members of IS were walking through the corridors and classrooms and killing random students/teachers. People were trying to escape and the general setting was pure panic. I don’t know if this dream is telling me that we can expect a terror attack in a school in the UK in the near future? Your thoughts on this would be greatly appreciated.
Price-Earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based upon the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, source). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings). The vertical axis shows the geometric average real annual return on investing in the S&P Composite Stock Price Index, reinvesting dividends, and selling twenty years later. Data from different twenty-year periods is color-coded as shown in the key. See also ten-year returns. Shiller states that this plot "confirms that long-term investors—investors who commit their money to an investment for ten full years—did do well when prices were low relative to earnings at the beginning of the ten years. Long-term investors would be well advised, individually, to lower their exposure to the stock market when it is high, as it has been recently, and get into the market when it is low."
(6) The Cassini spacecraft passed by earth on August 17, 1999, on the same day as a Grand Cross Astrology pattern, the most unusual Astrology pattern of the last 2000 years. The planets aligned in a cross shape. And that was a week after a solar eclipse over Europe. Note that Vladimir Putin became Prime Minister in Russia in August 1999, this Grand Cross and eclipse may relate to Putin's rise to power as the Antichrist, and the Cassini probe to Saturn/Satan may be a holographic parallel to Putin's rise to becoming Antichrist. Since the Cassini spacecraft landed a probe on Titan in Jan. 2005, this could be related to the rise of the Antichrist (Putin), note that Titan in Greek (the language of the Book of Revelation) totals 666, see this page on Greek.
Hedge funds are an alternative for investors with large enough portfolios. Hedge funds use a combination of long and short positions, and other strategies to generate returns regardless of the direction of the overall market. However, when considering hedge funds, you should tread with caution and do your own research. Some hedge funds have performed very well, especially during bear markets – but many others have performed very poorly. Just because a hedge fund is called a hedge fund it does not mean it will perform well during a crash.
The next day, "Black Tuesday", October 29, 1929, about 16 million shares traded as the panic selling reached its peak. Some stocks actually had no buyers at any price that day ("air pockets"). The Dow lost an additional 30 points, or 12 percent. The volume of stocks traded on October 29, 1929, was a record that was not broken for nearly 40 years.
Though the Trump administration has looked to tariffs to help balance out a huge trade deficit with China, these added costs on aluminum, steel, and potentially other Chinese goods, could come back to haunt businesses and U.S. consumers. As material costs rise as a result of tariffs, businesses have little choice but to pass along these higher costs to consumers. That will likely result in less consumption, and an eventual pullback in spending from businesses, which may lead to a borderline recession.