* The Fed raised the interest rate by a paltry 0.25% in Dec 2015, but they are already having second thoughts. People are even talking about cutting the interest rate back to 0% or even lower into Negative Interest Rates (“NIRP”). Whatever it takes to keep the illusion alive. So don’t underestimate the madness of the banksters. But more financial engineering will only: A) postpone the time of the inevitable crash, and B) make the crash harder and more devastating for the economy.
According to one interpretation of the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH), only changes in fundamental factors, such as the outlook for margins, profits or dividends, ought to affect share prices beyond the short term, where random 'noise' in the system may prevail. The 'hard' efficient-market hypothesis does not explain the cause of events such as the crash in 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 22.6 percent—the largest-ever one-day fall in the United States.
According to the NYSE TICK, or uptick minus downtick, index, at precisely 2:43pm, the selling order flood was so big it not only surpassed the acute liquidation that was observed around 3PM on Wednesday, but the -1,793 print was one that had not been seen for 8 years: as Bay Crest Partners technical analyst Jonathan Krinsky wrote, the sudden and violent surge in selling as measured by the TICK index, when downtick volume overpowered upticks, was the lowest reading since the May 6, 2010 “flash crash” when liquidity dried up in markets, sending the market plummeting for a few minutes, as HFT briefly went haywire (or when a spoofer outsmarted the algos, depending on what version of events one believes).
I am closely following your predictions. You hit the bull’s eye by Brexit prediction. My interest, in particular, will be on 1) resignation of Hillary Clinton from politics because of the release of documents that reveal financial corruption and falsification of government documents, 2) “Serious threat of escalating conflict between China and India over northern border of Kashmir” – I think China’s assurance to Pakistan that it would cooperate in case of any foreign invasion is enough hint for this prediction coming true, 3) “Alliance between Russia and USA partitions Syria. Syria is left like a wasteland.” – when will the people in this area find peace and under what conditions? They are trapped like pawns in strength show game of the superpowers.
The crucial point of their paper was that sandpile avalanches could not be predicted, and not because of randomness (there was no random component in their model) or because the authors could not figure out how to come up with equations to describe it. Rather, they found it impossible in a fundamental sense to set up equations that would describe the sandpile model analytically, so there was no way to predict what the sandpile would do. The only way to observe its behavior was to set up the model in a computer and let it run.
Moi je suis »retraité » du marché de l’emploi traditionnel mais plutot day trader a plein temps et je ne transige que des ETF (FNB »leveraged » surtout) avec Questrade exclusivement sur les marchés américains en utilisant les conseils de illusionsofwealth.com (100 $ par mois) et je n’utilise rarement plus de 50% du total de mes avoirs pour générer environ 10% de rendement du montnt total par mois en appliquant quelques regles simples qui se résument a rester »conservateur » meme si mon approche de base peut sembler risquée… J’aime me coucher 100 % encash le soir préférablement ! Ca me fera plaisir de donner plus de détails si ca intérese quelqu’un.
I’ve had many dreams that feel prophetic, then come true, for example I dreamed back in 1992 that I was like a giant standing in the ocean knee deep facing Clinton (who was the president then and he was also giant) in front of the Asian nations, he picked up a pair of scissors and cut out one of the countries, I think it was Iraq. He cut the country out right along it’s borders and easily threw it into the ocean, when he did I saw women with coverings on their faces and children screaming and falling in. I believe that came true 🙁
Ultimately, if there is a going to be a full-blown collapse of the stock market right now, we would need some sort of “kick off event” in order to make that happen. It would have to be something on the scale of another 9/11, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, an unprecedented natural disaster, the start of a major war or something else along those lines.
Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to the author of the Pop Economics Blog on February 25: Pop: This is Rob Bennett, author of the "A Rich Life" blog. Rajiv Sethi linked yesterday to your blog entry defending the Buy-and-Hold model from my criticisms of it. In my comment (at the bottom of the long comments section), I said that I would contact you to see if you have an interest in hosting a Guest Blog Entry by me responding to the points you made in the "Rob Bait"…
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: And you want us to wait, even if it takes 73 to 86 years more for it to play out, right? I’ve asked myself that question, how long would I wait? Shiller predicted in 1996 that those going with high stock allocations would regret it within 10 years. That would have been 2006. We are now 12 years past that. This is the longest that we have ever gone with stocks at crazy high prices and not seen them crash (they crashed in 2008 but prices went back up after the passage of only a few months, so that crash didn’t turn out to be terribly consequential). Does there come a point when you just say “this has continued for so long that it just doesn’t make sense to continue to expect a crash?” The long wait is a point against Valuation-Informed Indexing, in my assessment. I can see someone saying “if stock prices had just recently risen to crazy high prices, I would listen to Shiller and Bennett and lower my stock allocation but this has gone on so long that I feel that they are like the boys who cried wolf, I just do not have confidence that what they are saying will happen will actually take place.”I don’t agree with that view. But I don’t see that view as being entirely unreasonable. So I don’t say that someone who concludes that “it has taken too long for prices to crash” and therefore rejects Valuation-Informed Indexing is crazy. The problem that I have with that view is that we all need to invest our money. If you are considering making a bet on the World Series but you can’t figure out whether the Red Sox or the Dodgers are the better baseball team, you can just elect not to place a bet either way. You can opt out of the choice. You can’t do that as an investor. You can’t say “Valuation-Informed Indexing beats Buy-and-Hold for about 10 different reasons but I am concerned about how long it has taken for the crash to arrive so I am just going to opt out of making a decision re how to invest my money because I don’t want to get it wrong.” You’ve got the […]
As Comet Hale-Bopp peaked in April 1997, there was a fire in April 1997 in the Cathedral holding the Shroud of Turin in Italy, but the Shroud fortunately escaped damage, due to the bravery of a Turin firefighter. The Shroud of Turin is believed by many Christians to be the burial cloth of Christ. Recent carbon tests seemed to indicate it was a fake, but those tests are considered by many people to be invalid because: (1) there was bacteria growth on the cloth that invalidated the measurements (2) a previous fire in 1532 resulted in carbon deposits on the cloth that invalidated the recent carbon tests. So, the cloth could be the real burial cloth of Christ, bearing his image on it. What is interesting, is that at the time of the previous shroud fire, there were three bright comets in 3 years, in 1531-1533. And at that time, there was the greatest schism in the history of Christianity, with the Protestant Reformation of Martin Luther. The shroud was slightly damaged, but repaired, then. Maybe the three comets of 1531-1533 represented the Holy Trinity: the Father, the Son, and the Holy Ghost. So, that is why I would not be surpised if there is a third bright comet in 2018 - 2019, but this time the comets could represent the Unholy Trinity of Revelation: satan, the Antichrist, and the False Prophet.
Le 6 mai 2010, en début d'après-midi, le Dow Jones a commencé à décliner pendant que la crise de la dette publique grecque s'intensifiait et alors que la plupart des grands indices financiers aussi bien sur le marché des futures9 que sur les marchés des actions avait déjà subi une baisse d'environ 4 %. À 14 h 27, la baisse s'accentua. À 14 h 45, elle devint vertigineuse avec des ticks (en) à trois chiffres. En trois minutes, le Dow Jones perdit 433 points. Mais à 14 h 57, le Dow Jones avait repris 619,42 points. Les prix de nombreuses actions avaient connu une importante baisse, suivie d'une remontée en quelques minutes. Soudainement, une nouvelle baisse de 5,6 % intervint avant de s'annuler tout aussi rapidement. Environ 8 000 titres de sociétés et ETF échangés alors ont enregistré des mouvements de cours similaires, perdant de 5 % à 15 % avant de les regagner en totalité ou presque. Des actions ont subi des mouvements de prix encore plus sévères. Environ 20 000 échanges boursiers concernant 300 sociétés ont été exécutés à des prix supérieurs ou inférieurs à 60 % de leurs valeurs quelques instants auparavant. À la fin de la journée, la plupart des indices actions avaient perdu 3 % par rapport au cours de clôture de la veille. Le Dow Jones, qui avait ouvert la séance à 10 862,22 points, a atteint un plus bas de 9 787,17 points avant de clôturer à 10 520,32 points.
I’m a bit late to this. Today the IMF live streamed an hour discussion about changes to global economy and it mirrored what you’ve been tracking and writing. The video is likely still on IMF site to watch. It was good tho scary. They said countries should embrace service economies entered on empathy especially targeting aging seniors. You’d like the video so wanted to mention it as you give us so much.
The FOMC is composed of the Federal Reserve’s seven-member Board of Governors, the president of the New York Fed, and four presidents from the other 11 Federal Reserve Banks on a rotating basis. All 12 Federal Reserve Banks are corporations, the stock of which is 100% owned by the banks in their districts; and New York is the district of Wall Street. The Board of Governors currently has four vacancies, leaving the member banks in majority control of the FOMC. Wall Street calls the shots; and Wall Street stands to make a bundle off rising interest rates.
Regarding the Naadi leaves owned by Thomas Ritter and translated from ancient Tamil: the leaves talk about the current great disconnect between the actions of the political leaders and the needs and wishes of the general population, mass immigration into Europe, economic decline, increasing poverty and civil war in European countries and the USA. The leaves mention an attack on the Vatican and a period of darkness in the northern hemisphere after a volcanic eruption. Many European prophets, past and present, and even the Hadith (9th century companion to the Koran) talk about a three day darkness in our time. There are many other events predicted by European prophets that correspond with predictions in the Naadi oracle.
(Bloomberg) -- At Dwarika’s Resort, a holistic wellness retreat in Nepal’s Eastern Kathmandu Valley, I sat in a wooden library across from famed astrologer Santosh Vashistha, a distinguished 42-year-old in a plaid sport coat with remnants of festive red tika adorning his forehead. His piercing eyes are almost as captivating as the view of the distant Himalayas through the wide picture window behind him.
I predicted the big earthquake in Japan(Fukushima) about 6 weeks before it happened. I emailed several friends saying I thought there would be a large earthquake which would be more devastating in the long run than Haiti’s earthquake and I kept having this feeling. I didn’t think it would be in America but somewhere overseas. When Japan got it I knew that was my prediction and the feeling I had went away.
Sree Veerabrahmendra Swamy a reincarnation of Lord Vishnu who is the Preserver of the deities predicted that from November 2016 onward through the year 2017 there would be many cataclysms which would wipe out millions. These comprise earthquakes of over 7 on the Richter scale occurring all over the world. In China from 2015 to 2023 since Saturn represents 8 Years it would see common man protests, Change of Government, bad karma and economic troubles. China would fight a war with India to divert public opinion from their economic troubles. America would see their currency collapse by 90% according to Gerald Celente and already the Asian countries are holding Euros and gold in their reserves. America will be wrecked by hyperinflation and food riots. The fall of a superpower with 20 trillion dollars in debt by 2018-2019 which is more than the G.D.P of the country. Britain would face economic crisis as well as its debt has reached alarming proportions. Overall Europe and America would spend less on defense affecting them in the future decades when the security of these countries is threatened.
It was terrifying. I haven’t had anymore dreams about it since, and have no idea when it will happen. I don’t know really anything about Chengde, except that it’s in China. I’m not real good on geographical locations. I really hope it doesn’t happen. I’ve also had a premonition that a major quake is going to hit the Caribbean at some point killing thousands. It will also be a 9-10 pointer.
In July 2001, Tesco became involved in internet groceries retailing in the USA when it obtained a 35% stake in GroceryWorks. In 2002, Tesco purchased 13 HIT hypermarkets in Poland. It also made a major move into the UK's convenience shop market with its purchase of T & S Stores, owner of 870 convenience shops in the One Stop, Dillons and Day & Nite chains in the UK.
À mon humble avis, vos rendements espérés sont trop optimistes. En moyenne, le marché boursier a généré un rendement d’environ 7% à très long-terme. Toutefois, si vous désirez décaisser annuellement 40K$ (j’imagine que vous parlez de dollars), sur un avoir net de 450k$, ceci représente un rendement de presque 9% (sans compter les impôts sur le revenu). Peu importe la stratégie d’investissement ou la plateforme choisie, à mon avis, c’est serré.
I had decided to find out what German clairvoyants say about the future of Europe, went on YouTube and came across a video called “Palmblatt-Prophezeihungen, Katastrophale Zulu ft says such ten Europa a 2018”. The source of the videos’ text is Thomas Ritter, a collector of Naadi oracle leaves ( German: Palmblatt). He had some Naadi leaves translated by a retired professor who understands the symbols used in the leaves. The prophecies are published on his website and they talk about the coming changes in Europe. Bearing in mind that the original Naadi leaves are thousands of years old, the prophecies are absolutely mind-boggling and corroborate prophecies from other sources.
HARRY DENT JR.: We may be starting a topping process. I’m seeing signs of that, but it hasn’t yet been proven. We ought to see the market start to go down by early next year. If it doesn’t, I’m going back to the drawing board. If the market doesn’t start crashing by late January or early February, then we aren’t topping here. But we’re saying there’s going to be a crash. It’s just a matter of when [exactly].
Vanguard tracks data to predict the likelihood of a recession at certain points in the future. In recent years, the company has put the probability of a recession six months out at close to 10 percent. Now, Vanguard says the chances of one by late 2020 are between 30 and 40 percent. That’s Vanguard’s highest-ever estimate for that time frame, Mr. Davis said. (A six-month forecast reported a greater than 40 percent probability before the recession that started in December 2007.)
Transitwise, Jupiter opposes its natal position and is conjunct the Moon. This will tend to be a positive influence. Other potentially favourable longer term influences include Uranus which trines the Moon. However, there are a greater number of negative transits here. Neptune precisely squares the nodes, while Saturn is applying to square Mars in the 2nd house of wealth. Perhaps more bearish is that Ketu conjoins natal Rahu and thereby aspects 2nd lord Sun, which is natally conjoined with Mercury. The most bearish transit influence is Pluto (powerful destruction) which sits on the IC and opposes Venus (money). This is a very clearly negative aspect. Moreover, tertiary progressed Mars was tightly squaring the very malefic conjunction of Ketu and Neptune, while P3 Mercury (trading) conjoined P3 Saturn (loss).
One of the worst stock market crashes in U.S. history was the Panic of 1907. The stock market fell by about 50% during a three-week period in October and November of 1907, and started with a stock manipulation scheme gone wrong, which led to the collapse of the Knickerbocker Trust. This subsequently led to a panic that resulted in a string of bank failures.
Je me suis récemment lancé dans le courtage en ligne avec l’intention de ne pas me casser la tête mais je me retrouve bien embêté parce qu’il y a plusieurs FNB ; certains suivent le marché américain, d’autres suivent le marché canadien, certains doublent un certain marché, etc. Bref, je me demandais s,il existait une ressource qui fait état des différents FNB disponibles et de leurs caractéristiques. Je connais Vanguard mais quand je vais sur leur site internet, je me sens comme quand je lis un livre en cantonnais, c’est plutôt rébarbatif. Y aurait-il un blogueur ou un site internet qui vulgariserait les différentes caractéristiques des FNB?
Bernanke said in March 2007 that the sub-prime mortgage mess could be “contained.” And Greenspan famously inveighed against the stock market’s “irrational exuberance” in 1996. If you listened to him then and exited stocks, you would rue your decision: The market had a fabulous run for the next four years. Rogers is a perma-bear about domestic stocks, who has been downbeat since the 1980s (he is famously enthusiastic about emerging markets, though).