I recently engaged in a discussion of the Efficient Market Theory at the Early Retirement Extreme Forum. The thread is titled Is Efficient Market a Theory, Hypothesis, Fact, Law or Notion? Juicy Excerpt #1: I want to be fair in my descriptions. I don't want to underplay the extent to which I believe the evidence has been misinterpreted. I believe that this misinterpretation has caused a great deal of misery. So I want to be firm on this point. But I also want to be fair. I don't want to be…
I had decided to find out what German clairvoyants say about the future of Europe, went on YouTube and came across a video called “Palmblatt-Prophezeihungen, Katastrophale Zulu ft says such ten Europa a 2018”. The source of the videos’ text is Thomas Ritter, a collector of Naadi oracle leaves ( German: Palmblatt). He had some Naadi leaves translated by a retired professor who understands the symbols used in the leaves. The prophecies are published on his website and they talk about the coming changes in Europe. Bearing in mind that the original Naadi leaves are thousands of years old, the prophecies are absolutely mind-boggling and corroborate prophecies from other sources.
Rebonjour, avec la décision de la fed hier de oles taux et leur indication de hausse successives a venir cette année, la banque euro qui signale la fin de leur achats massifs de bonds, tout indique que le cycle actuel de gain (le deuxieme plus long de l’histoire tel que Gerald fillion le faisait remarquer hier ), tout indique que d’ici la fin de l’année les marchés devraient être a la baisse et le prix de l’or devrait être fortement a la hausse.
As I have said on another comment, I tend to make my predictions in blocks when I can sit and deeply meditate for a day. So rather than react and change opinions I am trying to simply give what I get with a long lead in about things that are not currently in the news. For me these predictions are simply an experiment. I’ll probably post some new predictions in another 6 months time.
A little more than a week later, stocks sank after a tweet from the president challenged the idea that Russia’s missile defense system could shoot down American smart bombs. Investors clearly worry that Trump’s tweeted rhetoric could be taken the wrong way by one or more global leaders, leading to escalation, or even conflict. Should that happen, the stock market could tank.
During the 1950s and 1960s, Tesco grew organically, and also through acquisitions, until it owned more than 800 shops. The company purchased 70 Williamson's shops (1957), 200 Harrow Stores outlets (1959), 212 Irwins shops (1960, beating Express Dairies' Premier Supermarkets to the deal), 97 Charles Phillips shops (1964) and the Victor Value chain (1968) (sold to Bejam in 1986).
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the Blunt Money blog. It's called "Talk Back to the Investing Experts." Juicy Excerpt: Investing experts are like everybody else. They are flawed humans. They get things wrong. And they are inclined not to admit it too readily. They do more harm to their reputations in the long run by failing to do so, of course. They need our help. Does that sound to you like the sort of thing that might undermine national security? Does it sound like hate speech?…
Australia is in the strange position of having a Scorpio Prime Minister at the moment and a Scorpio former Prime Minister too. The leader of the Opposition is a Taurus. These two signs are opposite and Uranus about to enter Taurus suggests Canberra will be rocked in May, June 2018. This goes beyond a deep shift at the top of the two parties. It is also about Australia’s values – Taurus and Scorpio are very much about what the nation won’t sell out for. So this goes way beyond the lightning bolt of Uranus in Taurus on the world economy mid-year and into huge political questions for the nation. Scorpio, Scorpio, Taurus – you couldn’t make it up!
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Hope to Prosper site called How Has Buy-and-Hold Survived So Long? Juicy Excerpt: There are now thousands of books promoting Buy-and-Hold. There are hundreds of calculators promoting Buy-and-Hold. There are thousands of experts who made their reputations promoting Buy-and-Hold. In short, there are lots of powerful people and institutions with a strong financial interest in promoting the failed strategy rather than its…
The new moon 24 Taurus will oppose my neptune 24 scorpio. I have Jupiter passing over my Neptune in scorpio in Oct this year, then the NN in cancer passing over my Jupiter 27° Cancer in dec. I’m trying to sell off all my real estate – has been truly stuck for many years and would love to clear the debts once and for all. My scorpio factors are 11, 17, 18 and 24 so hoping I have time before Uranus passes over to oppose them. Please can you give me some pointers as to how I should read the next 3 years? Many thanks as always.
Pour nous non-plus, les frais de transaction ne sont vraiment pas une source d’inquiétude. Notre stratégie de décaissement n’est pas encore complètement définie, mais théoriquement, si nous vendions des FNB à chaque trois mois, ça nous couterait moins de 10$. Le nerf de la guerre est plutôt au niveau fiscal. Commment décaisser des placements (gains en capital) en minimisant les impôts sur le revenu à payer? Faut-il commencer par retirer les CELI, les REER ou les actions du compte régulier? Jécrirai un article sur le sujet quand j’aurai une stratégie plus précise.
En janvier 2016, une analyse détaillée de l’ensemble des données du Flash Crash, milliseconde par milliseconde, concluait qu’il « est très peu probable que les opérations de spoofing de Sarao ait pu provoquer le Flash Crash, ou même que le Flash Crash ait été une conséquence prévisible de ses activités de spoofing ». Il se peut que Sarao n’ait fait que profiter d’un phénomène dont il n’était pas responsable18. Ce qui ne modifierait pas son statut juridique : responsable ou non, il restait accusé de procédés illégaux14,19.
The Tesco supermarket chain is involved in litigation such as the Ward v Tesco Stores Ltd and Tesco Supermarkets Ltd v Nattrass cases. Tesco have been criticized for aggressively pursuing critics of the company in Thailand. Writer and former MP Jit Siratranont faced up to two years in jail and a £16.4 million libel damages claim for saying that Tesco was expanding aggressively at the expense of small local retailers. Tesco served him with writs for criminal defamation and civil libel. The Thai court dismissed the case, ruling that the criticism made by the defendant was 'in good faith by way of fair comment on any person or thing subjected to public criticism'.
After the experience of the 1929 crash, stock markets around the world instituted measures to suspend trading in the event of rapid declines, claiming that the measures would prevent such panic sales. However, the one-day crash of Black Monday, October 19, 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 22.6%, was worse in percentage terms than any single day of the 1929 crash (although the combined 25% decline of October 28–29, 1929 was larger than October 19, 1987, and remains the worst two-day decline ever).
Behaviorists argue that investors often behave irrationally when making investment decisions thereby incorrectly pricing securities, which causes market inefficiencies, which, in turn, are opportunities to make money. However, the whole notion of EMH is that these non-rational reactions to information cancel out, leaving the prices of stocks rationally determined.
Be prepared for the potential of civil unrest. If the banks put a limit on withdrawals (or close like they did in Greece) you can look for some panic to occur. If the stores dramatically increase prices or close..more panic. Be armed and be prepared to stay safely at home. (Although this article was written during the Ferguson race riots, civil unrest follows a similar pattern regardless of the cause.)
Bonjour, j’ai d’abord commencé a économiser une grande partie de mon revenu et des revenus de ma femme il y a 15 ans en ouvrant des comptes avec questrade et en investissant 100 % a la bourse surtout sur les conseils des gens de Motley Fool que tu connais peut-etre ? J’ai obtenus des résultats corrects qui m’ont permis d’accumuler un montant intréssant qui a cependant souffert lors de la crise de 2008-2009. Je me souviens que juste avant je détenais des actions de Apple et Google qui avaient substantiellement progressés et je me demandais quand il faudrait vendre ? Les réponses que je recevais des »experts » étaient du genre : Jamais vendre un winner et surtout pas un looser apres une grosse drop il faut attendre que ca remonte… ?!? On vend jamais donc ?? Et on espere pas avoir besoin d’argent pendant une crise ?
À 14 h 32, dans un contexte de grande volatilité, fut envoyé sur le marché un ordre de vente de 75 000 E-Mini (en) à échéance juin 2010 d'une valeur approximative de 4,1 milliards de dollars pour couvrir une position longue équivalente. Cet ordre fut adressé automatiquement via un programme de trading algorithmique. Cet ordre avait été configuré afin d'obtenir un taux d'exécution de 9 % du volume d'échange calculé par rapport à la dernière minute, sans apporter d'attention au prix ou à l'heure d'exécution. Cet ordre de vente automatisé créa la plus forte baisse du cours du contrat E-Mini depuis le début de l'année 2010. Seuls deux échanges d'une telle taille avaient été exécutés sur les 12 derniers mois et par la même société de trading. La dernière vente de cette taille avait été opérée via une combinaison d'ordres manuels et de plusieurs ordres automatisés prenant en compte le prix, l'heure et le volume ; l'exécution de cet ordre avait pris plus de cinq heures. Le 6 mai 2010, dans un marché nerveux, le choix de vendre 75 000 contrats en ne prenant en compte que le volume (sans tenir compte du prix et de l'heure) devait occuper seulement 20 minutes.
A terrorist attack occurred in Australia in 1915 at Broken Hill, when two Afghan Muslims responded to the Ottoman empire being at war with the British Empire during WWI, so they planned an attack on a group of Australians travelling to a picnic killing four including a teenage girl and wounding seven more. They left a note clearly describing it as an attack based on their religious beliefs.
Right now, Republicans have control of the legislative branch of the U.S. government, albeit by a slim margin in the Senate. Having a majority of seats in both houses of Congress, and a Republican President in Donald Trump, increases the probability of legislation being passed. Not to mention, the GOP is often viewed as a party that’s friendlier to businesses. This Republican majority is responsible for passing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in December 2017, which slashed the peak marginal corporate income tax rate to 21% from 35%.
In August, the wheat price fell when France and Italy were bragging of a magnificent harvest, and the situation in Australia improved. This sent a shiver through Wall Street and stock prices quickly dropped, but word of cheap stocks brought a fresh rush of "stags", amateur speculators and investors. Congress voted for a 100 million dollar relief package for the farmers, hoping to stabilize wheat prices. By October though, the price had fallen to $1.31 per bushel.
(7) Diseases. Disease epidemics could be a worsening problem in 2018 - 2019, including Bird Flu or H3N2 Flu Influenza, and SARS could return -- I think these are diseases that could cause great problems over the next 5 years. And antibiotic resistant bacteria infections. Watch out for worsening worldwide disease epidemics in 2018-2019, including Ebola and Flu and Zika Virus. And this disease epidemic could be Ebola, or swine flu, or Flu strain H3N2 Fujian, which is a severe strain that began as an outbreak in 2003, or it could more likely be bird flu type H5N1 causing a severe epidemic in birds - chickens, ducks, etc.- but that can spread to humans. H3N2 Fujian began in Fujian Province in China, (associating it with the Red Dragon, Red China, in Revelation 12), and bird flu began in Korea in Dec. 2003, but previously there was a 1997 outbreak in Hong Kong, associating it with the dragon. The concern is that bird flu is very deadly to people, and if it mutates to spread from person to person then it could cause a deadly worldwide pandemic in 2018 - 2019. And swine flu began speading worldwide from Mexico in April 2009, see the calendar page and Flu page on it. See the King James Bible Code matrices on diseases, including the possibility of an airborne Ebola outbreak, and a deadly Swine Flu mutation.
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The P/E ratio of the S&P-500 is over 25, something that has only happened three times in history, once during the 1890s, once somewhat before 2000, and once somewhat after 2000. Can’t recall what the big crises was in the 1890s, but in 2001 or so the NASDAQ collapsed, losing about 75% of its value. It has only recently, in unadjusted dollars, surpassed its pre-crash highs.