The AFR has got its hands on the thoughts of Nouriel Roubini via a mob called The Project Syndicate, which is headquartered in Prague, Czechoslovakia, of all places. And this is how it describes itself: “A syndicate is a group of individuals or organizations combined to promote a common interest. In the case of Project Syndicate, these individuals are activists, Nobel laureates, economists, political thinkers, business leaders, and the likes from around the world.”

(5) War. War could be a worsening problem in 2018 - 2019. Russia could invade Ukraine and other former Soviet Union countries to incorporate into Russia. Russia has threatened a missile strike on NATO ABM sites in Eastern Europe, and North Korea has threatened to launch a missile strike on the U.S.. On May 4 2012, a Russian miltary leader made a threat that Russia may launch a nuclear missile attack on U.S. Antiballistic Missile ABM Systems being deployed as a missile defense in Europe. Notice that this was said as Putin is coming into office again as Russian President. This shows what a scary psycho Putin is, threatening nuclear war. So Putin could start a nuclear war around 2018-2019. Also watch out for a major war (that could be an India - Pakistan war, or a war in the Middle East, or Iran, Syria, Iraq and ISIS terrorists, or North Korea launching missiles). There is also concern over the Second Horseman War riding in 2018-2019 with Putin. Or a war in the Middle East resulting from revolutions in countries in North Africa and the Middle East, there seems to be a spreading wave of revolution there, who knows where it will lead. 

Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries that I wrote on the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy: 1) The Good Side of Stocks' Lost Decade, at the Consumerism Commentary blog; 2) Six Dangerous Investing Myths, at the Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance blog; 3) How To Use Valuation-Informed Indexing: Part One, at the Balance Junkie blog; 4) How To Use Valuation-Informed Indexing:Part Two, at the Balance Junkie blog; 5) Retirement Planning As If Valuations Mattered, at…
As I was looking at the NYSE chart – I was a little surprised to realize that transiting Neptune was making an opposition to the natal Mars and the transiting Moon was about to light that puppy up. Transiting Jupiter was also opposing the Sun. And as you can see transiting Uranus was hitting the cusp of the 9th house right at the midpoint between the natal Moon and Saturn. All that and the fast moving South Node and Venus and Sun were starting to conjunct the natal Pluto. None of that seemed good. Traditionally, the big falls happen in the fall. So I was a little surprised to see so many activating aspects that looked negative. I was a bit worried because I really figured a big crash would happen in the fall of 2019 so I looked for reiteration in the US Constitution Signing Chart. In fact I spent the rest of the night looking at patterns in both the US CS chart and the NYSE chart. The 1929 chart seemed like it showed up more in the US CS chart then in the NYSE exchange chart. It was in both but the aspects were not very exact in the NYSE exchange chart which worried me a bit. As you can see above I have a different chart for the stock market then the rectified one I put up the other night. I found an alternative time online and it seems to time out a lot better. In this new chart Uranus was right on the cusp of the 8th/9th over the last couple of days and made more sense in the 1929 chart.
What you can do is prepare for the next crash. In fact, regardless of how the stock market is doing today, you should be prepared for a crash – because unexpected events (black swans) can trigger one at any time. You don’t need to wait for the next stock market crash prediction to come along to learn about bear markets, how they occur, why they occur, and what you can do to avoid being wiped out. We prepared this guide for that very reason.
“The shift from active to passive asset management, and specifically the decline of active value investors, reduces the ability of the market to prevent and recover from large drawdowns,” Joyce Chang and Jan Loeys wrote in the Monday note. Actively managed accounts make up only about one-third of equity assets under management, with active single-name trading responsible for just 10 per cent or so of trading volume, JPMorgan estimates.
I agree with Craigs. It’s likely Trump coming to power, one way or other. One way is elections-win. Other way is stern ‘power grab’ or cause some civil unrest. Something bad is going to happen starting mid-Nov regarding Trump, throughout 2017. May be civil unrest throughout 2017-2018….. A huge possibility of War between India-Pakistan, and Muslims being destroyed in 2017 all over the world…. Then it would be West vs Russia and China… 2020 is the finish line, that could wipe off up to 95% world population of living beings, not just humans. HOWEVER, if spiritual people plan differently, then God-power will intervene and save major collapse… these being future events, the post-US election is going to be ‘war’. Likely a totally new ‘spiritual entity/power’ will rise up in US and possibly prevent major events. May be? (Just guessing after reading things online, and what I feel is ‘right’, intuitively).
In the middle of the 13th century, Venetian bankers began to trade in government securities. In 1351 the Venetian government outlawed spreading rumors intended to lower the price of government funds. Bankers in Pisa, Verona, Genoa and Florence also began trading in government securities during the 14th century. This was only possible because these were independent city-states not ruled by a duke but a council of influential citizens. Italian companies were also the first to issue shares. Companies in England and the Low Countries followed in the 16th century.
Tesco was founded in 1919 by Jack Cohen as a group of market stalls.[9] The Tesco name first appeared in 1924, after Cohen purchased a shipment of tea from T. E. Stockwell and combined those initials with the first two letters of his surname,[10] and the first Tesco shop opened in 1931 in Burnt Oak, Barnet.[11][12][13] His business expanded rapidly, and by 1939 he had over 100 Tesco shops across the country.[14]
In this web site I have tried to show how astrology, new age methods, religion, bible prophecy, the King James Bible Code, and mythology can be used in a combined way, to explain the world today and to predict the future. I try to find a middle way, between Christianity and New Age, because I think that is where the truth is. A middle way, as in Buddhism where a middle way between extremes is emphasized. And as in Hinduism, I have looked to Astrology and the stars for guidance. And the idea of a unifying religion is advocated here, as the Baha'i faith has a goal of unifying mankind; Baha'i is one of the most enlightened of world religions; begun in Iran, its world headquarters is in Haifa, Israel. And as in the Kabbalah, the spiritual and New Age branch of Judaism, I have searched for the hidden meanings in the symbolism of the Bible, and its numerical patterns.
Early in February, I wrote on my personal Facebook page that on February 11, 2018, there would be a Sun -Jupiter square transit that is connected to the market astrophysics, and, more specifically, the stock market crash 2018. This transit usually brings market depression or reversal of direction in the period starting anywhere between 10 days BEFORE this aspect and a day or so AFTER the aspect. In fact, the October 2008 and 1962 crashes occurred exactly when Sun squared Jupiter.
Some others have commented that his predictions have not all worked out. This is all discussed at length in the book; in such a field predictions are not infallible. About 40% of market crashes are caused by external events and so are not predictable. However he seems to have the S&P500 worked out. Last years he predicted a choppy rally in 1Q2003, then from 2Q2003 a major fall ending in 1h2004. So far so good.

Perhaps the likeliest reason for the next stock market crash could be an escalating trade spat between the United States and China. After the U.S. initially placed tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese goods, China retaliated with tariffs of its own on an equal value of imported U.S. goods. Now the two sides are threatening to one-up the other with tariffs.
The planet of abundance, Jupiter, will aspect the conjunction of Sun & Venus on 14th. Over-supply will cheer the Bears, as decrease in demand in the stocks of textiles, cotton, fruits, FMCG, bullions will be noticed. Mercury will move Direct from 15th and will give the Bulls a reasons to feel happy. Banking stocks, Insurance companies, FMCG, Capital goods will rise, after showing small dips in the prices. Rising influence and increased market share of the MNCs will result in reduction of the local business. Overall, annual sales of Rubber, Silver, luxury goods, Zinc and Cotton sector companies may see decline. Third week of the month will see buying interest by the optimistic traders. Saturn is getting retrograde in Sagittarius on 18th. Due to International political games, artificial shortage in crude will be observed. The rates of Oil (BPCL, IOL), Coal (Coal India), Gas (IGL, Mahanagar gas) and Steel (Tata Steel, JSW) sector companies will get bullish impact.
The JPMorgan model calculates outcomes based on the length of the economic expansion, the potential duration of the next recession, the degree of leverage, asset-price valuations and the level of deregulation and financial innovation before the crisis. Assuming an average-length recession, the model came up with the following peak-to-trough performance estimates for different asset classes in the next crisis, according to the note.

Mais, Warren est plus brillant que la norme, il a aussi compris très jeune le pouvoir de l’épargne, il a bénéficié d’anomalies historiques (crise de 29, croissance de l’après guerre, invention du crédit à la consommation, arrivée de la femme sur le marché du travail, invention de la surconsommation etc…) en plus d’utiliser des outils que nous simples particuliers n’avons pas : la float de compagnies d’assurance (argent des primes qu’il peut investir afin d’en tirer un profit pour lui).
GOLD broke above it's downtrend channel line for the first time on February 3 and moved sharply higher immediately. It has very recently formed a FLAG pattern which is usually a Continuation signification. A pattern "count" would take the GOLD Price target to $1440! Apparently, the vote for Britain to potentially leave the EU is coming up and polls say it is a close call. That is roiling world markets yesterday and today and is one of several uncertainties presuring GOLD higher.

Stock market crashes are usually caused by more than one factor. In fact, there are often two sets of reasons for a crash. One set of conditions creates the environment for the sell-off, and another set of factors triggers the beginning of the sell-off. Just because there is a market bubble, it doesn’t mean the market will crash. Usually something needs to occur to cause investors to begin selling and buyers to step away from the stock market.

On September 16, 2008, failures of massive financial institutions in the United States, due primarily to exposure to packaged subprime loans and credit default swaps issued to insure these loans and their issuers, rapidly devolved into a global crisis. This resulted in a number of bank failures in Europe and sharp reductions in the value of stocks and commodities worldwide. The failure of banks in Iceland resulted in a devaluation of the Icelandic króna and threatened the government with bankruptcy. Iceland obtained an emergency loan from the International Monetary Fund in November.[31] In the United States, 15 banks failed in 2008, while several others were rescued through government intervention or acquisitions by other banks.[32] On October 11, 2008, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the world financial system was teetering on the "brink of systemic meltdown".[33]
I think its the Bhrigu Samhita that has predicted this (Similar to the Naadis) I was able to consult it about my own life and like the Naadis it had my name written in – it was written there centuries ago. I was very accurate about my life and confirmed the Naadis. I have not personally been given this prediction via an oracle or holy man or through my own intuition so I cannot comment.
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Perhaps the most important of these is the horoscope of the New York Stock Exchange which was founded May 17, 1792. There are several times out there for this chart, with different astrologers making a case for each. After much testing, I find the 10.30 am chart to be the most accurate. I have rectified to 10.34 am in order to make better use of the smaller chart varga divisions in Jyotish. This is quite a powerful chart, although one needs to stand outside of the Vedic tradition to fully appreciate it. Uranus, the planet of unbounded energy and sudden change, rises within one degree of the ascendant while Venus, the planet of money and luxury, culminates very near the Midheaven. Venus and Uranus together spell "fast or accelerated money" better than just about any other planetary combinations I can think of and therein perfectly describe the rapid movement of money on the trading floor. However appropriate that symbolism, it is more important that the chart adequately reflect major price movements over its long history. It does this well indeed regardless if one uses Western or Vedic techniques, as I do. This ability to see the dynamic of both bull and bear markets regardless of one's operating paradigm is a sign of the robustness of this chart.
Good harvests had built up a mass of 250 million bushels of wheat to be "carried over" when 1929 opened. By May there was also a winter-wheat crop of 560 million bushels ready for harvest in the Mississippi Valley. This oversupply caused a drop in wheat prices so heavy that the net incomes of the farming population from wheat were threatened with extinction. Stock markets are always sensitive to the future state of commodity markets, and the slump in Wall Street predicted for May by Sir George Paish arrived on time. In June 1929, the position was saved by a severe drought in the Dakotas and the Canadian West, plus unfavorable seed times in Argentina and eastern Australia. The oversupply would now be wanted to fill the big gaps in the 1929 world wheat production. From 97¢ per bushel in May, the price of wheat rose to $1.49 in July. When it was seen that at this figure American farmers would get rather more for their smaller crop than for that of 1928, stocks went up again.

It is believed that Khashoggi was dismembered after being abducted by the Saudis, and all of the major western powers have expressed major concern about his fate.  But the Saudis insist that they didn’t have anything to do with his disappearance, and they are threatening “greater action” if any sanctions are imposed upon them.  The following comes from USA Today…
The FTSE was ‘born’ with Psyche at 0 Capricorn, the sign which rules big business and government. She also has Pluto at 1 Scorpio. As soon as Uranus moves to  Taurus for the first time in most people’s lives, he will trine Psyche and oppose Pluto. That is a massive moment for the FTSE. In fact it’s historic. It’s confronting and it will change the balance of power for some time to come, as Uranus will return to this position after the initial May 2018 hit.

The first known market collapse was the result of Mississippi bubble. The war of Spanish Succession was fought from 1701 - 1714 and led to a hike in European government’s debt. In order to get rid of this debt, government tried to convert the debt to equity but it created bubble for Mississippi Company Stock (Paris) and for South Sea Company (London).