À 14 h 32, dans un contexte de grande volatilité, fut envoyé sur le marché un ordre de vente de 75 000 E-Mini (en) à échéance juin 2010 d'une valeur approximative de 4,1 milliards de dollars pour couvrir une position longue équivalente. Cet ordre fut adressé automatiquement via un programme de trading algorithmique. Cet ordre avait été configuré afin d'obtenir un taux d'exécution de 9 % du volume d'échange calculé par rapport à la dernière minute, sans apporter d'attention au prix ou à l'heure d'exécution. Cet ordre de vente automatisé créa la plus forte baisse du cours du contrat E-Mini depuis le début de l'année 2010. Seuls deux échanges d'une telle taille avaient été exécutés sur les 12 derniers mois et par la même société de trading. La dernière vente de cette taille avait été opérée via une combinaison d'ordres manuels et de plusieurs ordres automatisés prenant en compte le prix, l'heure et le volume ; l'exécution de cet ordre avait pris plus de cinq heures. Le 6 mai 2010, dans un marché nerveux, le choix de vendre 75 000 contrats en ne prenant en compte que le volume (sans tenir compte du prix et de l'heure) devait occuper seulement 20 minutes.
Blind optimism over the tax cuts have led Wall Street analysts to produce a 2019 forward earnings estimate that's 46% greater than the most recent 12-month operating earnings for the S&P 500, he said. "The combination of extreme valuations and extreme earnings expectations creates a situation that's ripe for disappointment," wrote Hussman in a recent blog post on his company site.
And did I find any King James Bible Code matrices of interest for my own name and this web site? I tried as an experiment running a Bible Code search on my own name and the name of this web site, since it seems that so many things can be looked up in the Bible code. This search found some interesting matrices: including an Old Testament matrix from my name, that had meaning for me, in 1 Kings that included 1 Kings 8:41:
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Planting Money Seeds blog. It's called My Crush on Kathy and What It Means re Your Section 401(k) Account. Juicy Excerpt: I didn’t hear the words at the time. I have this amazing filter thing in my brain that doesn’t let in words that cut like a knife. I heard the words well enough to recall them to mind today, when they make me laugh. But for so long as those words caused more pain than I could handle — No words! It’s like a magic…
"American business will do fine over time. And stocks will do well just as certainly, since their fate is tied to business performance. Periodic setbacks will occur, yes, but investors and managers are in a game that is heavily stacked in their favor. (The Dow Jones Industrials advanced from 66 to 11,497 in the 20th Century, a staggering 17,320% increase that materialized despite four costly wars, a Great Depression and many recessions. And don't forget that shareholders received substantial dividends throughout the century as well.)"
You have the Nodes in Taurus-Scorpio and Pluto at 0 Scorpio. This is several past lives spent being both rich and poor, and you have incarnated to use all your previous lifetime lessons, in 2018 and 2019. Your spiritual lesson is about the need to let go, where business, money, property or possessions are concerned. Your other lesson is to learn that there is a price to be paid for everything and it may not be in dollars, pounds, or euros – you have to ‘put a price on’ other precious things like integrity, compassion, respect, credibility, trust and so on. I mention this because you have a strong chart signature across the Second House-Eighth House of your chart. In fact, you should really look up both those houses on Search as they have a big impact on you in 2018, 2019. Uranus will move to 0 Taurus and oppose your natal Pluto at 0 Scorpio so it is very important that you are ready to adapt, adjust and make changes very quickly in May and June, particularly where that combination of personal relationships and money is concerned. Pluto seeks to dominate, to control, to take and take over when it comes to business. I am sure you know that about yourself! Uranus opposing Pluto tells you to try and relinquish your grip on the reins and be ready to bend. Don’t hang on tightly or try to cling to the past. You’re not going there.
“One of the lessons that we all learned over and over again is try to cut through the noise and get to the fundamental driver of the stock market,” said Rich Weiss, chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager of multi-asset strategies at American Century Investments. “And the major driver has been, is, and will continue to be the strength of our economy.”
It’s my feeling that we are still in the midst of this crisis, and haven’t seen the worst of it, but it will turn around over the next couple of years. In terms of the bottoming out, if I were looking just at the aspects I’d have to say as an astrologer that the worst still will be the end of December into January when Pluto hits that 1 degree mark. And again when Pluto retrogrades back to that point at different points in 2009. However, as a psychic, I also know that charts are not always 100 accurate, so timing isn’t always exact because of this, and the intense urgency about the market I felt back in September has abated. I’m not sure if this is because we’re already in it, and I’ve gotten used to the energy, or if we really have seen the biggest drop we’re going to feel by comparison of where it was to begin with.
This new depression will be somewhere between the recession we felt of the 70s, and the 30s, but on a global scale. It won’t be barrels full of money to buy bread, but there will be tremendous unemployment and people having to change their lifestyles dramatically in some cases to get through this time. I also feel that the length and severity of this depression/recession has been greatly reduced by the election of Obama. His chart compared to that of the US constitution signing, and the Dow, and NASDAQ are good. Most of his energy regarding the markets will be spent in re-structuring them for the future good of the world’s economy.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs.” Death threats? You mean this link you sent to the police that is obviously not a death threat? https://boards.fool.com/sydsydsyd-theyre-taking-them-down-as-fast-as-we-18207722.aspx?sort=postdate I did indeed show that to the police. And, yes, that is indeed a death threat. Posts like that do not belong in discussions of how stock investing works. And it is ALWAYS the Buy-and-Holders who advance such posts. It is only a small number of Buy-and-Holders who do that sort of thing. But it is a LARGE percentage of the population of Buy-and-Holders who TOLERATE that sort of thing. Motley Fool should have banned the person who advanced that post. The post is clearly in violation of their published rules. They didn’t ban the person who advanced the post because the majority of the population of the board was Buy-and-Holders and Motley Fool wanted the money that came in as a result of having those people at the site. This is why Buy-and-Hold is so dangerous. It is an emotion-based strategy. It cannot survive in a world in which posting based on the last 37 years of peer-reviewed research is permitted. So it is not just that the Buy-and-Holders get it wrong. Getting it wrong is a small thing in relative terms. It is that the Buy-and-Holders cannot tolerate anyone else getting it right. Buy-and-Holders attack those who advocate research-based strategies because, when people come to see the merits of research-based strategies, it makes the Buy-and-Holders look bad for promoting the OPPOSITE of what works. What works is to always practice price discipline when buying stocks. Buy-and-Holders tell investors NOT to exercise price discipline (long-term timing). Huh? What the f? I OPPOSE that sort of post, Anonymous. Please feel free to spread the word all across the internet. I would feel that you were doing me a favor by doing so. That sort of thing is not my particular cup of tea. It’s not a close call. The primary reason why I chose to build the Retire Early at Motley Fool is that they had the strongest rules on the internet protecting people from that sort of posting behavior. […]
I have the overwhelming feeling that California is going to have a mass earthquake that will split the state not just in the San Francisco area but in Los Angeles as well. I’m a native of the state and the last time I went back to visit family, I could hardly wait to leave. If there is an earthquake in China, I predict it will start a ripple effect. Had this feeling for 2 years now. Hope I’m wrong.
June 6, 2006. 6-6-06, 666 being the number of the Antichrist. Note that this was 40 years after 6-6-66 (June 6, 1966), 40 years being associated in the Bible with a period of testing. Note that AIDS was first announced on June 5, 1981, when it was first detected in five men in Los Angeles. So June 5 2006 was the 25th anniversary of AIDS, 1 day before 6-6-06. Could it be that AIDS is one form of the Fourth Horseman of the Apocalypse, Death? And Putin the Antichrist hosted the G-8 summit of world industrial powers in Russia in July 2006.
But how about in the past, were there any particular planetary alignments during times of economic problems? Yes, there is a general pattern we shall discuss here. During the October 1987 and October 1929 stock exchange crashes, the Planet Saturn was in the Astrological sign of Sagittarius. The significance of this is that Sagittarius, the combined horse/man, with Saturn having a connection in Greek / Roman / Etruscan mythology to agriculture as well as weights and measures and coins, means that Saturn in Sagittarius represents the third Horseman of the Apocalypse, economic depression. When Saturn is in Sagittarius you may get the trigger event, such as a stock market crash, that begins an economic depression.
Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries on the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy: 1) Is Buy-and-Hold Just a Marketing Gimmick? (this is actually a thread-starter at the Early Retirement Extreme Forum); 2) Risk Revisited (this is actually a thread-starter at the Early Retirement Extreme Forum); 3) Don't Give Up on Stocks, Give Up on Buy-and-Hold, at The Daily Middle; 4) It's Impossible to Plan a Retirement Without Looking at Valuations, at Financial Uproar; 5)…
I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Money & Such blog entitled Stocks Are a Lot Less Risky Than You Think. Juicy Excerpt: The price volatility of stocks is an illusion. It’s not real. Change how you react to it and it goes away. Stop taking volatility seriously and it goes “Poof!”. There were several good comments posted in response to the blog entry. Juicy Excerpt: I think you provide a unique approach to the topic. It sounds to me very similar to the idea of…
In the middle of the 13th century, Venetian bankers began to trade in government securities. In 1351 the Venetian government outlawed spreading rumors intended to lower the price of government funds. Bankers in Pisa, Verona, Genoa and Florence also began trading in government securities during the 14th century. This was only possible because these were independent city-states not ruled by a duke but a council of influential citizens. Italian companies were also the first to issue shares. Companies in England and the Low Countries followed in the 16th century.
Bonjour Steve, je suis d’accord avec toi. Si on dit que 80% des gestionnaires ne réussissent pas à battre le marché, il reste 20% qui sont capable de le faire. Moi, je cherche ceux qui font partie du 20%, il existe encore. Je pense à quelques gestionnaires de fonds communs exceptionnels, comme ceux de Mawer, Matt Schmehl, gestionnaire chez Fidelity (il s’occupe du fonds Fidelity Special Situations qui a généré un rendement moyen annualisé net de 12,05% depuis 10 ans contre 1,16% de l’indice de référence même si les frais de gestion sont 2,26%) ainsi que l’équipe de gestionnaires d’EdgePoint.
America, Anaconda, and Memes: 1 MILLION JOBS IN 6 MONTHS! Despite historic Democrat obstructionism, President Trump has worked with Congress to pass more legislation in his first 100 days than any President since Truman, appointed a Supreme Court Justice, withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, dismantling Obama-Era Regulations, President Trump Has Reduced The Debt By Over $100 Billion, Illegal crossings from border down 61%, Stock market has gained over 3 trillion dollars since he was electedBest numbers from small businesses since 1984, Saved jobs from going overseas such as intel, wal-mart, exxon mobil, carrier, ford, general motors, fiat chrysler, sprint, one web, and softbank. Trump has also created over 1 million private sector jobs since january more than any other president. liberal maga conservative constitution like follow presidenttrump resist stupidliberals merica america stupiddemocrats donaldtrump trump2016 patriot trump yeeyee presidentdonaldtrump draintheswamp makeamericagreatagain trumptrain triggered Partners --------------------- @too_savage_for_democrats🐍 @raised_right_🐘 @conservativemovement🎯 @millennial_republicans🇺🇸 @conservative.nation1776😎 @floridaconservatives🌴
So, the way to prepare for a market crash is not necessarily to artfully predict in advance, and step aside when the crash comes. That's virtually impossible. Rather, it can be useful to consider your overall investment strategy ahead of time, so that you know you could stomach the next inevitable crash when it comes. Ideally, through proper diversification and forethought you'll have an investment approach that will enable you to ride out a crash, rather than turning you into another panicked seller. If you only act on these issues when the crash comes, it will likely be too late.
Miranda Marquit recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Investor Junkie blog called How to Invest Using Valuation-Informed Indexing: Interview with Rob Bennett. Juicy Excerpt: Rob Bennett has been advocating valuation informed indexing for years, and his insistence on it has even had him kicked off investing forums, including the Bogleheads forum. “Buy and hold is intellectually dead,” he says. “It’s not practically dead, since plenty of investors still use the theory, but…
This event demonstrated that share prices can fall dramatically even though no generally agreed upon definite cause has been found: a thorough search failed to detect any 'reasonable' development that might have accounted for the crash. (Note that such events are predicted to occur strictly by chance, although very rarely.) It seems also to be the case more generally that many price movements (beyond that which are predicted to occur 'randomly') are not occasioned by new information; a study of the fifty largest one-day share price movements in the United States in the post-war period seems to confirm this.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Financial Uproar site entitled It's the End of the Investing World As We Know It (and I feel Fine). Juicy Excerpt: We are up against something very big here. When we discovered that it is not the sun that revolves around the earth but the earth that revolves around the sun we started a revolution in science. We tapped into many powerful insights in the years since as a result of that one, simple, fundamental change in our understanding of how the world…
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Your analogy is flawed, not to mention stupid, not to mention horribly insulting to sexual assault victims. Cosby’s victims really did do all they could. You haven’t. You could create new accounts on every single board you were banned from TODAY. You could start writing your next book TODAY. You could start making a difference TODAY. No one is stopping you. You simply choose not to. As you should have realized by now, society doesn’t have much sympathy for someone who chooses to be a helpless victim. I’m not willing to create new accounts. If I did that, would I use my real name or not? If I used my real name, I would just be banned again. If I didn’t, I would essentially be lying. I would be appearing at a board that banned me under another name, knowing that I would be banned if I appeared under my true name. Huh? What the f? I have done nothing to justify a ban. Not once. I have nothing to be ashamed of. I have helped people. I have pointed out the errors in the Buy-and-Hold retirement studies. People need to know about those errors. A failed retirement is a serious life setback. I am happy to lend my efforts to any board that will have me and where I can help out. But I don’t approve of games-playing re these matters. I am Rob Bennett. I pointed out the error in the Buy-and-Hold retirement studies in a post that I put to the Motley Fool board on early retirement on the morning of May 13, 2002. The post generated a huge reaction, some insanely positive and some insanely negative. I am happy to answer any questions that anyone has, both those advanced by my supporters and those advanced by my critics. But I am not interested in pretending to be someone other than who I am. I am the fellow who put forward that famous post, I am proud of it, and I see no reason to make an effort to appear anywhere under another name. I hope that helps a small bit, my dear Goon friend. The True Rob Bennett (and No One Else) Related PostsBuy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: Just Because You Were Able […]
Craig, first of all, I want to thank you for your interesting book: “Messages from the Universe” I have read the first half of it and I find it interesting. Through that book I found your website and I have linked to this website. You have predicted the discovery of a new energy source in 2018. Maybe it is this: Andrea Rossi November 13, 2017 at 10:55 AM Gian Luca and All Readers: The streaming of the demonstration of the E-Cat QX will start around noon (12 P.M.) of November 24th, Miami time.
The subreddit r/MemeEconomy has been going for a few months now. It basically does what it says on the tin: it’s applying all the financial jargon that’s usually squished between the world and sports segments of a nightly news program to the world of memes. It pretends that every new, current, and old meme is a property that redditors can buy, sell and trade on the stock market (aptly titled the NASDANQ).
Considering again Cassini going to Saturn: as for the planet Saturn, possibly Saturn represents "Satan"-- the Antichrist is said to be a Satanic imitation of Christ, actually the son of Satan. So the Cassini probe journey to Saturn actually may be the journey of mankind to "Satan". Also note that in Greek, where each letter is also a number, "Titan" totals 666, another indication of the Cassini landing on Titan being connected with the Antichrist. Note that Titan (representing the Antichrist?) revolves around Saturn/Satan.
Other scientists disagree with this notion, and note that market crashes are indeed “special.” Professor Didier Sornette, for example, a physicist at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, argued that a market crash is not simply a scaled-up version of a normal down day but a true outlier to market behavior. In fact, he claims that ahead of critical points the market starts giving off some clues. His work focuses on interpreting these clues and identify when a bubble may be forming and, crucially, when it ends.
Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.
Set forth below are eight Guest Blog Entries discussing various aspects of the Valuation-Informed Indexing investing strategy and on the Passion Saving money management strategy. 1) The Future of Investing, at the Get Rich Slowly forum (this is actually a thread-starter at a discussion board rather than a Guest Blog Entry -- I put it forward in this form at the request of J.D. Roth, the owner of both the blog and the forum). 2) Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never Work (this is actually a…
The Times of London reported that the meltdown was being called the Crash of 2008, and older traders were comparing it with Black Monday in 1987. The fall that week of 21% compared to a 28.3% fall 21 years earlier, but some traders were saying it was worse. "At least then it was a short, sharp, shock on one day. This has been relentless all week." Business Week also referred to the crisis as a "stock market crash" or the "Panic of 2008".
These five tech and consumer service giants have accounted for a significant portion of the S&P 500’s and Invesco QQQ Trust’s gains in recent years. Further, data from Bloomberg finds that the original FANG stocks (minus Apple) are slated to grow sales at an average rate of 36% in the second quarter, which is four times faster than the average S&P 500 company. However, the FAANG stocks aren’t impervious to a change of heart.
The Bennett/Pfau Research Showing Middle-Class Investors How to Reduce the Risk of Stock Investing by 70 PercentYou do not have to take on a large amount of risk to obtain good returns. Why should you? When you buy an index fund, you are buying a tin share in the productivity of the U.S. economy. The U.S. economy has been sufficiently productive to support an average annual stock return of 6.5 percent real for 140 years now. So that’s what you can expect if you invest in a sensible way. But you are not being sensible if you follow a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You MUST consider price when buying stocks just as much as you must consider price when buying anything else. This is the most important investing research published in 30 years. It frees all of us from dependence on Wall Street “experts.”
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Everyday Tips and Thoughts blog titled Stock Investing Without All the Drama. Juicy Excerpt: Buy index funds and you avoid the risk of picking bad stocks. But you take on another kind of risk — the risk of investing heavily in stocks at the wrong time. That 6.5 percent return is only an average. There have already been three times in U.S. history when stocks have provided an average 20-year return of 0.7 percent (including dividends). Those who…
The 1929 crash brought the Roaring Twenties to a halt. As tentatively expressed by economic historian Charles P. Kindleberger, in 1929, there was no lender of last resort effectively present, which, if it had existed and been properly exercised, would have been key in shortening the business slowdown that normally follows financial crises. The crash marked the beginning of widespread and long-lasting consequences for the United States. Historians still debate the question: did the 1929 Crash spark The Great Depression, or did it merely coincide with the bursting of a loose credit-inspired economic bubble? Only 16% of American households were invested in the stock market within the United States during the period leading up to the depression, suggesting that the crash carried somewhat less of a weight in causing the depression.
I get a lot of flak about that one. We’re in a down cycle now, and it won’t bottom till around early 2020. Demographics tell you when the economy will slow, but sunspots tell you when a crash or major stock correction is going to happen. We researched sunspot cycles, recessions and major financial crises as far back [as possible], and 11 out of 11 happened in a down sunspot cycle.
Corruption in the Investing Advice Field — The Wade Pfau StoryThis article provides links to all of my reports on my 16 months of correspondence with Academic Researcher Wade Pfau, the collaboration that produced the research we co-authored that shows millions of middle-class investors how to reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent (Ssshh! The Wall Street Con Men don’t want this one getting out!) If you retain doubts re whether Valuation-Informed Indexing is a real thing, looking over the materials available at this page and then reading a few of the reports that strike you as particularly important will dispel them. I believe that Wade will someday win a Nobel prize for the work he did here. The reports show his own skepticism and his transformed into excited BELIEVER in the Valuation-Informed Indexing concept.
Fucking, Meme, and News: WHAT I EXPECTED WHO I FOLLOWED r/MemeEconomy 325,000 subscribers 1,726 online SUBSCRIBED WHAT I GOT r/Memeßconomy made it to Norniebook. SELL SELL SELL THE ENTIRE FUCKING SUBREDDIT Crash TOP TEMT BOTTOM TENT
I know the stock market crash is becoming old news, but I feel this meme describes the situation. via /r/MemeEconomy http://ift.tt/2hXdBuK
In November 2007, Tesco sued a Thai academic and a former minister for civil libel and criminal defamation, insisting that the two pay £1.6 million and £16.4 million plus two years' imprisonment respectively. They have been alleged to have misstated that Tesco's Thai market amounts to 37% of its global revenues, amongst criticism of Tesco's propensity to put small retailers out of business.
(Bloomberg) -- At Dwarika’s Resort, a holistic wellness retreat in Nepal’s Eastern Kathmandu Valley, I sat in a wooden library across from famed astrologer Santosh Vashistha, a distinguished 42-year-old in a plaid sport coat with remnants of festive red tika adorning his forehead. His piercing eyes are almost as captivating as the view of the distant Himalayas through the wide picture window behind him.
For 2017 I also spoke about a ‘toxic cloud over Norway’. This was wrong but I may have been seeing something closer to home here in the UK when we had a mysterious toxic cloud over the White Cliffs of Dover and an emergency evacuation of the beaches. Update: The prediction was correct. I did not see it in the News in the UK. See Independent Article here
Moreover, the leverage in many emerging markets and some advanced economies is clearly excessive. Commercial and residential real estate is far too expensive in many parts of the world. The emerging-market correction in equities, commodities, and fixed-income holdings will continue as global storm clouds gather. And as forward-looking investors start anticipating a growth slowdown in 2020, markets will reprice risky assets by 2019.