No one can predict that the market is going to crash or not but the current situation of the market with higher interest rates; higher government debt and clear indication from Fed to further raise the interest rate in next 2, 3 years is indicative of a sizable drop in between 15% to 20%. It is important to understand how to keep your investments safe if market corrects itself or a bigger crash happens. Investors who are looking for higher returns on their investments without considering security and insurance will be in a dangerous situation.

A crash seems likely, probably with internet stocks and shares, as we are approaching the anniversary of the end of the AT&T telephone monopoly. The monopoly of big players like Google, Facebook, Twitter is uncannily similar to that situation all those years ago. One gets the impression of bargain basement shares, though, with a quick return for a few people, as we are also going through Jupiter in Scorpio, the wealth sign. It’s a classic line-up for basically a car boot sale of reduced stock with some people mopping up their tears with beer, and others clinking the champagne glasses. Win some, lose some, is really what you get with Uranus in Taurus and Jupiter in Scorpio. I’ll read this with interest, thank you!
Set forth below is the text of a post that I recently put to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Please tell me the downside, Anonymous.” We can’t all live in Rob’s fantasyland. We have to live in reality. My fantasyland comes with a Nobel prize. Yours comes with death threats and demands for unjustified board bannings and thousands of acts of defamation and threats to get academic researchers fired from their jobs. Reason vs. Emotion. My best. Fantasyland Rob Related PostsGoon Poster to Rob: “You Have Stated What You Think Are Problems. People Have Responded As to How They Disagree. People Eventually Got Angry Because of Repetitive Comments Going in Circles.”“Set Up a Debate at the Bogleheads Forum. We’ll Make History.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “I Have Not Seen One Single Scared Person, Except for You. You Are So Scared, You Have to Make Up Stories About Pretend Death Threats, Job Threats, Fraud and Prison.”“Part of the Job is to Describe the Pressures that Caused so Many Generally Good and Smart People Either to Participate in the Cover-Up or at the Minimum Tolerate It. I Post These Goon Conversation Blog Entries to Help People Come to a Full Understanding of What Happened.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “I and Many Others Are Confident in Buy–Hold-and-Rebalance. You Seem to Be the Only One Confident in Valuation-Informed Indexing.”“Me Being Wrong Doesn’t Explain What We Have Seen. The Buy-and-Holders Lack Confidence in Their Own Strategy. That’s Why We See All This Strange Behavior. We Have an Emotional Time Bomb Out There.”
I predict that the United Kingdom – Britain, will become a federalist state by the 2020’s. With a federal government and monarchy. Likewise, I believe that the British government will be instrumental in establishing a new EU – European Federation of Nations, with a potential return to an EU appointed Assembly similar to that of the United Nations General Assembly, instead of the current European Parliament, with the Commission becoming the civil service for the EU, and the Council of Ministers and national governments being more involved and effective. The so called Islamic State caliphate will largely fail – but will eventually became a region of Earth, the Islamic Union of nations caliphate, I therefore predict that you will see negotiations between all Islamic countries, leading up to the creation of an Islamic Union – caliphate.
Charles Manson has been in the news in recent years, he is an alleged mass murderer in prison for life in California. This may be significant in our discussion of the Antichrist Putin. Note that the Antichrist in Revelation 13 has the number of man, and 666. Man-son. And note that the Manson murders of Sharon Tate and others in LA California was on August 9, 1969. That was exactly 30 years before the Antichrist Putin became Prime Minister of Russia on August 9 1999, at the time of an August 11 1999 solar eclipse over Europe, and the August 18 1999 Grand Cross Astrology pattern of planets in a cross shape. And actress Sharon Tate who was murdered was the wife of Roman Polanski, who in 1968 had made a movie called "Rosemary's Baby" about the child of Satan. Also note that Charles Manson's cult lived in Death Valley in California, and Charles Manson included Book of Revelation prophecies in twisted form in his twisted philosophy.
Par contre, je veux acheter des FNB avec mes montants automatiquement déposés tous les mois, seulement ceux qui sont des FNB nord-américains seraient ‘commission free’? Comment savoir ceux qui sont Nord-Américains? Certain portent la mention Canada ou US, mais d’autres non. Dans le modèle couch potato sur lequel je compte me baser ici > https://cdn.canadianportfoliomanagerblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/CPM-Model-ETF-Portfolios-TFSA-RESP-2017-06-30.pdf , y a -t-il des FNB qui ne sont pas Nord-Américain.
This chart was done for today 2-5-2018 on the big drop but the planets are close enough and it should clarify what the heck is going on. Transiting Mercury is right on the ascendant with the South Node/Sun/Venus all together going through the first house and conjuncting the natal Saturn/Pluto that are there. Venus indeed hit that natal Saturn today. OK that’s a clear market correction. Uranus is in the 3rd inconjuncting the Sun in the 7th – 3rd-newspapers/media/communication and the 7th legal issues, partnerships and in Virgo work/service. It seems this is very much about the political stuff going on. The Moon triggered the natal Neptune and opposes the transiting Uranus in the 3rd. People are nervous – freaked out, afraid. Now we have this applying Uranus making a square to the natal Uranus and this aspect is creating the division we see in our country and the inside revolution taking place inside our government. Those we thought would serve us are serving their own agenda – at war with the press – leaking, push back. The ruler of the 8th house is Mercury in this chart and indeed there is seems to be a consistent Mercury trigger when the Stock Market falls. Here we see Mercury triggering the whole thing as it hits the first house. But Mercury is a fast moving planet but the funky underlying aspects are still there. Transiting Pluto in Capricorn in the 12th – house of hidden enemies is making that applying T-Square from the other side (as it did in 1929) and Uranus is making an applying square to natal Uranus. This was what I was looking at when I identified 2019 as the time frame. I think this is a precursor to the much bigger market meltdown we’ll see as these aspects get closer. These bad aspects will be triggered throughout the next couple of years. So I will have to dig in more to find the next time frame for the next freak out.
Taki has +15 years of experience in global markets. His methodology is unique and effective, yet easy to understand; it is based on chart analysis combined with intermarket / fundamental / sentiment analysis. His work appeared on major financial outlets like FinancialSense, MarketWatch, ... Email: taki.tsaklanos@gmail.com. Twitter: twitter.com/investinghaven
We hear very little about Australia, yet the economy is in trouble, Immigration is a huge issue, but of most concern is the head in the sand attitude to climate change. Opening up more coal mines, that kill the reef, and farm land , massive bush fires and cyclones. Where do you see Australia heading and is there any hope of a turn a round ? Thank you for your insight.
The internet is a wonderful place, and best of all, this knowledge can be found for FREE! The more you know about crisis situations, the more ready you will be to face them. Some sites are friendlier to beginners than others, so if you stumble upon a forum where people seem less than enthusiastic about helping people who are just starting out, don’t let it get you down. Move on and find a site that makes you feel comfortable. Following are some of my favorites, and the link will take you to a good starting point on these sites. In no particular order:
America, Memes, and Black: Occupy Democrats Sep 20 at 7:51pm- Who else can't wait for this? TIME TRUMP RESIGNS ORANGE IMPLACH THE NIGHTMARE IS OVER Bryce Verret The only reason Democrats call record low unemployment, record low black unemployment, the stock market breaking 26k, fewest layoffs since 1990, potential 3% GDP growth (first time it will rise 3 consecutive quarters since 2005), rising wages, companies expanding, the untied states becoming the number 1 oil producer in the world, and millions off foodstamps a nightmare, is because, they hate seeing Trump and America succeed, eventhough the main stream media constantly tells us how horrible of a president he is. 5m Like Reply
Stock-market crashes generally take everyone by surprise--they feel like bolts from the blue. They're usually not. Sornette shows how the interplay of greed, fear, and imitation among investors and traders creates an accelerating rhythm of sudden rises alternating with increasingly brief pauses. This "mathematical signature" can begin months or years in advance, but its predictive value rises in the last year before the death of the bubble (which may be relatively calm, but usually is followed by a crash).
Indeed, Tesla’s performance has all the makings of a stock market crash chart to reflect the irrational exuberance of 2018. Investors have pushed Tesla’s stock market valuation to such a degree that it has infected the healthiest hedge fund. It’s a one-stock Black Monday warning! Note the Tesla stock market chart. It’s moving on hope and expectations alone; every time the quarter results are released, the stock tends to drop.
Memes, Recess, and Depression: A Short History Lesson 1928 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by the Great Depression, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2000 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by two recessions including the Great Recession, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2016-Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Anyone want to guess what happens next? Real Truth Ayup. Image from Real Truth Now.
I don’t even know how many records I own, but it’s in the thousands. I have records, tapes, CDs, and computer files going all the way back to the 1880s. I even have one recording from 1869. A scientist was studying sound waves and recorded a woman singing “Clare De Lune.” He recorded it as wavy lines on a soot-covered paper. Someone recently scanned it and converted it back into sound. It doesn’t sound very good, but it’s amazing that you could retrieve sound from marks on a sooty piece of paper.
“In future 2014 to 2025 I can clearly see that sacred region of North India where a saint with terrific efforts immersing himself in ceaseless spiritual practices is radiating such a divinely spiritual flow which shall be capable of ushering in Era Transformation in future in the entire world. His spiritual thinking shall be so revolutionary that people in a mind boggled manner shall witness its spark getting converted into a blazing inferno which in turn shall spread in every nook and corner of the globe. People shall realize that only in imbibing this great saint’s powerful, progressive thinking that troubleshoots all world problems, dwells the well being of the entire world. In this way slowly but surely people will get directed towards spirituality and shall totally be rendered spiritual. This shall in turn help people the world over experience heavenly happiness on earth”. This proclamation was made by Florence, a highly intellectual seer of New Jersey, USA about a few decades back in her book ‘Golden light of a new era’.
To help maintain a clear head during stock market crashes, investors should remember that they are business owners -- not ticker symbol owners. While stock prices may plummet, the majority of companies with good business models and strong competitive advantages will likely see a far smaller negative impact to their underlying businesses during these periods. So, be sure to detach stock price performance from business performance.
Though the Trump administration has looked to tariffs to help balance out a huge trade deficit with China, these added costs on aluminum, steel, and potentially other Chinese goods, could come back to haunt businesses and U.S. consumers. As material costs rise as a result of tariffs, businesses have little choice but to pass along these higher costs to consumers. That will likely result in less consumption, and an eventual pullback in spending from businesses, which may lead to a borderline recession.
The bottom line: As a sandpile grows, all sort of sand “avalanches” take place, but it is impossible to predict how big or how often they occur. Sometimes a few grains roll down the slope, while occasionally a large avalanche carves a big section of the sandpile. The size and frequency of those avalanches, mathematically speaking, bear a notable resemblance to the size and frequency of earthquakes, solar flares, river floods, forest fires, and stock market returns. Intriguingly, all of them have defied attempts at prediction. The question is why.
Thanks Jessica!! My stepdad’s birthdate is September 3, 1931. And yes, I hear you regarding the seriousness of the epoch we are moving into and my chart’s potentially unpredictable relationship to that. I am wondering if it would be wisest to wait the next two years out and focus on my creativity and on earning rather than investing – but I’m also aware there will be amazing financial opportunities for those who are astute, rural property not far from the sea being chief among them. I dream of having a beautiful but affordable place for my son (September 7, 1999) and my extended family and friends to visit whenever they wish and for me to teach and create in. Love and blessings :)
En mai 2010, Navinder Singh Sarao était un day trader sur futures d'actions qui opérait à partir du pavillon de ses parents à Hounslow, dans la banlieue de Londres, pour le compte de sa société, la Nav Sarao Futures Limited, enregistrée au domicile familial. Le 21 avril 2015, le Département de la Justice des États-Unis émettait à son encontre 22 chefs d’inculpation, incluant fraude électronique, manipulation des marchés boursiers et spoofing. De 2009 à avril 2014, ces opérations auraient engendré 40 millions de dollars de profits illégaux. La pénalité maximale pour chaque inculpation étant de dix à vingt-cinq ans de prison, Sarao risquait un total de 350 années derrière les barreaux14. Les inculpations faisaient suite à une plainte de la Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) des États-Unis.
This fast-paced, gripping (and all-too-timely) account of the market crash of October 1929 puts a human face on the crisis. Blumenthal, the Dallas bureau chief of the Wall Street Journal, sets the scene in the affluent post-Great War society: she reproduces the famous January 1929 cartoon from Forbes magazine (a frenetic crowd grasping at a ticker tape) and her statement "Executives who had spent their lives building solid reputations cut secret deals in pursuit of their own stock-market riches" may send a shiver down the spines of older readers aware of recent corporate scandals. The author deciphers market terms such as bull and bear, stock and bond in lucidly worded sidebars and describes the convergence of speculation, optimism and greed that primed the market for failure. Throughout, Blumenthal relates the impact of historical developments on everyday citizens. Supported by archival photographs, cartoons and documents, the text is rife with atmospheric detail about the customs of the stock exchange (from buttonhole flowers to the opening and closing gongs). Other asides, such as the first appearance of women on the exchange floor, or the rise (and fall) of immigrant Michael J. Meehan, who championed the stock of Radio Corporation, continue to keep the focus on the human element. Blumenthal ably chronicles the six-day descent and exposes the personalities, backroom machinations and scandals while debunking several popular myths about the crash (e.g., that it caused mass suicide and the Great Depression). A compelling portrait of a defining moment in American history. Ages 12-up.
I just wonder if the revolutions in countries in the Middle East could bring them closer to Russia and Putin the Antichrist. Perhaps this will lead to the Middle East War described in Ezekiel and also Revelation 16 as Armageddon, that it could be an alliance of Middle East and North Africa countries that will form a military alliance with Russia led by the Antichrist Putin. What Middle Eastern countries will next see revolution? Where will these revolutions lead? It could work out well, with peaceful democracies in these countries. On the other hand, the French Revolution resulted in a bloodbath in France, and a monstrous dictator Napoleon who resulted in war across Europe. And the Russian Revolution resulted in the Soviet Union, and millions murdered by Stalin. So revolutions can work out well like the American Revolution did, but sometimes they don't. War in the Middle East could result from these changes, the Second Horseman of the Apocalypse War riding in 2018-2019. And if political unrest comes to Pakistan, with all its nuclear weapons, that could be a major concern. Also watch out for: North Korea attacking South Korea, or war in the Middle East.

Possibly these two elements named Ununpentium (115) and Ununtrium (113), that were created by Russian and American scientists, by colliding an isotope of Calcium with Americium, may represent the Two Witnesses of Revelation, and may indicate that they will appear soon on the world scene. So watch out for two mysterious prophets who may appear by 2018-2020. See this page for Bible Code matrices on the Two Witnesses which may indicate at least one of them is from the U.S..
The resultant rise of mass unemployment is seen as a result of the crash, although the crash is by no means the sole event that contributed to the depression. The Wall Street Crash is usually seen as having the greatest impact on the events that followed and therefore is widely regarded as signaling the downward economic slide that initiated the Great Depression. True or not, the consequences were dire for almost everybody. Most academic experts agree on one aspect of the crash: It wiped out billions of dollars of wealth in one day, and this immediately depressed consumer buying.[36]
Par contre, je veux acheter des FNB avec mes montants automatiquement déposés tous les mois, seulement ceux qui sont des FNB nord-américains seraient ‘commission free’? Comment savoir ceux qui sont Nord-Américains? Certain portent la mention Canada ou US, mais d’autres non. Dans le modèle couch potato sur lequel je compte me baser ici > https://cdn.canadianportfoliomanagerblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/CPM-Model-ETF-Portfolios-TFSA-RESP-2017-06-30.pdf , y a -t-il des FNB qui ne sont pas Nord-Américain.

HELL ONFRICKING EARTH AND THE END OF ALL LIFE ON EARTH AS WE KNOW IT IS NOW LITERALLY UP IN OUR FACES, JESUS HELP OUR SORRY ASSES THAT WE are in the 3-5,000,000 shtf survivors. Then comes Planet X, Nibiru showing up in April 2016, tips the poles on the plante 24′, erases the planets magnetic field, meltdown the ice caps and causes 1000 mph fu.///i…g winds trashing up the entire city centers of the all countries of the globe. Flooding, windstorm, hail, Hurricane, sunamis, etc, Crop destruction, anmimals running and migrating to the center of the Country to safe areas, futher depleting animal stocks in coastline cites, leaving the only avaible meat source to eat, fat, larger over women and men who did not prep, now the new food source to sustain the Dred Lock and lantino, ganstar drug dealing survivors.
Remarquez, cela n’invalide en rien du tout la recommandation de Buffet de s’en tenir à un fonds indiciel, un FNB à très peu de frais sur le long terme. Rien n’indique, pourtant, qu’il réussirait à nouveau son fameux défi du S&P 500 de 2007 à 2017 contre les fonds mutuels. Or, c’est justement la stratégie que je suis en train de reproduire sous son influence pour mon CELI… ouille! Me voilà complètement hors de ma zone de confort… J’ignore si je vais pouvoir tenir le coup aussi longtemps!
In July 2013 Tesco security staff violated the UK Equality Act 2010 by refusing to allow a blind lady's guide dog to enter the Feltham shop. Tesco staff refused to apologise for the violation of the law for 5 days.[156] It was also revealed that security staff had thrice previously ordered a different blind person and his guide dog to leave the shop.[157] Following further incident in 2013 when the manager of Tesco in Sutton ordered a blind person and her guide dog to leave the shop, Tesco stated that their staff had received training to ensure that such an incident would not happen again.[158] However, a year later in 2014 three Tesco cashiers banned a blind person and her dog from their shop.[159]

I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance blog titled Predicting Stock Returns for Fun and Profit. Juicy Excerpt: My guess is that most people don’t bother trying to make long-term predictions because they assume it would take a lot of work to pull them off. Nothing could be farther from the truth. Every factor that affects the price of a broad stock index is reflected in the price of that index. So you don’t need to worry about inflation or productivity…
"In turbulent times for financial markets, more books than usual are published on such subjects as financial crashes. This book is different. First, it is written by an internationally recognized expert in non-linear, complex systems. Second, it promotes some new ideas in both finance and science. In addition, it offers the general reader an insight into finance, both practical and academic, as well as some of the issues at the cutting edge of science. What more could one ask for?"--Neil F. Johnson, Department of Physics and Oxford Center for Computational Finance, Oxford University

It was later determined that the flash crash was caused by the sale of a large amount of S&P 500 e-mini futures contracts, which in turn caused a ripple effect of automated trading that triggered the big drop. The market quickly recovered the majority of the flash-crash losses, and reforms were subsequently passed that intended to prevent a repeat, but with ever-evolving trading technologies, a flash crash remains a possibility going forward.
If you are concerned about how much you could lose on some of your largest positions, you can also think about using stop loss orders to mitigate potential losses. For each stock, you can set a few price levels below technical support where you will begin to reduce the size of the position. It’s best to do this long before stock prices begin to fall so that your decisions are rational and not driven by emotions. Stop losses are not generally a strategy used by long term investors. However, they can help you manage the emotional pain of a bear market.
The crucial point of their paper was that sandpile avalanches could not be predicted, and not because of randomness (there was no random component in their model) or because the authors could not figure out how to come up with equations to describe it. Rather, they found it impossible in a fundamental sense to set up equations that would describe the sandpile model analytically, so there was no way to predict what the sandpile would do. The only way to observe its behavior was to set up the model in a computer and let it run.
One disconcerting aspect is that large avalanches, epic earthquakes or giant forest fires do not seem to be very special: They appear to be just less frequent, scaled-up versions of small ones. If this is true, then a stock market crash may not be special at all, but merely a larger-than-usual down day, and just as unpredictable. This would present a big challenge to traditional investment methods.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: The comment was present tense. You immediately shifted to past tense. The question was why are you doing nothing NOW? Your answer: “I have never done one smidgen less than all that I can do.” So right now, nothing is absolutely all you can do. You’re as helpless as a newborn babe in the snow. You may not have noticed, but newborn babes in the snow generally aren’t rich and famous. And they have the excuse of being newborn. What’s your excuse for your helplessness? We live in communities. The community in which I live has not offered the amount of help that I need to bring down Buy-and-Hold and replace it with Valuation-Informed Indexing. That’s my explanation for why I am not rich and famous today, for why I am instead a newborn babe in the snow. Say that you were one of the women who was attacked by Bill Cosby. And say that you tried to do something about it when it happened. And that no one cared. He just kept committing his crimes because no one cared enough to take effective action. The world would be telling you that you were helpless, right? That’s the message that the world has been sending me for 16 years. Now — If the world sends you a message that you are helpless, should you give up on your efforts to do good? In some circumstances, you should. If a woman who was attacked by Bill Cosby in 1965 made efforts to seek justice and received no help, I certainly wouldn’t have blamed her if she stopped making those efforts. And I wouldn’t blame someone who has made efforts to tell the world how stock investing really works if they ran into the sort of resistance that I have run into. We are all given only so many years of life and we have to make judgments as to how to employ those years of life energy. There’s a case for me saying after 16 years:”Oh, I gave this a good shot and it hasn’t yet paid off, I think I will direct my energies elsewhere.” But there is also a good case — I think a much better case — for me soldiering on. Bill Cosby […]

Pour ce qui est des frais de transaction, si vous faites le courtage en ligne vous-même, vous devrez débourser 5-20$ chaque fois que vous faites l’achat d’un fonds. Ainsi, c’est préférable de le faire quand les sommes sont plus considérables. Néanmoins, je crois que plusieurs robot-conseillers (ex: WealthSimple) proposent le retrait automatique mensuel sans frais additionnels. Vous payez donc environ 0.5% pour les services du robot, mais vous n’avez pas à payer à chaque transaction.

A light-hearted look back on the six key lessons that investors can learn from studying stock market history. There are better times to invest in equities than others, but - crucially - we only know whether now is a good time or not with the benefit of hindsight. The good news is that, even if you invest just as markets are about to tumble - as they did in 1929, for example - you will be rewarded if you hold tight and resist the temptation to keep tinkering with your portfolio.


Sometimes, the market seems to react irrationally to economic or financial news, even if that news is likely to have no real effect on the fundamental value of securities itself.[62] However, this market behaviour may be more apparent than real, since often such news was anticipated, and a counterreaction may occur if the news is better (or worse) than expected. Therefore, the stock market may be swayed in either direction by press releases, rumors, euphoria and mass panic.

Venus will enter Virgo sign on 1st and will remain under the aspect of Saturn. Silver, Cine, Media, IT and Jewellery sector stocks will be in demand. Retrograde Mercury will set in the West and thereby will give Bullish impact on the stocks of FMCG, Silver, Cotton, Banking and Insurance sector stocks. ITC, Marico, Britannia, MMTC, State Bank of India and Yes bank are likely to be the beneficiaries. Sun will enter Leo sign on 17th and will be under the aspect of Mars. The demand of Gold and Silver will start increasing and thereby will bring smile on the lips of the Bulls. The stocks of Red chillies, Tobacco and Herbal plants will also see upsurge in demand. The stocks of ITC, Kaveri seeds, Vinati organics and Zuari agri will rise. The rates of vegetable oils will rise, whereas Butter will decline. The Bulls will hesitate to participate wholeheartedly in the stock market

The common stock of a company represents your share of the ownership in that company. Common stock holders are legally the owner of a small portion of the earnings and assets of the company. You also get to cast your votes at annual meetings and are eligible for dividends paid by the company. So if you own a share of Starbucks, you are part-owner of the local shop down the street. Because stock ownership in a corporation is a legal construct, it works best in countries where the rule of law is strong. This is why the U.S. is such a popular place to invest.
The Last Days Warrior Summit is the premier online event of 2018 for Christians, Conservatives and Patriots.  It is a premium-members only international event that will empower and equip you with the knowledge and tools that you need as global events begin to escalate dramatically.  The speaker list includes Michael Snyder, Mike Adams, Dave Daubenmire, Ray Gano, Dr. Daniel Daves, Gary Kah, Justus Knight, Doug Krieger, Lyn Leahz, Laura Maxwell and many more. Full summit access will begin on October 25th, and if you would like to register for this unprecedented event you can do so right here.
According to one interpretation of the efficient-market hypothesis (EMH), only changes in fundamental factors, such as the outlook for margins, profits or dividends, ought to affect share prices beyond the short term, where random 'noise' in the system may prevail. The 'hard' efficient-market hypothesis does not explain the cause of events such as the crash in 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 22.6 percent—the largest-ever one-day fall in the United States.[56]
The blogger who owns the Bad Money Advice site has put forward a post offering reasoned skepticism re the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy. The title of the post is The Truth About the Shiller PE. Good stuff, Frank! Juicy Excerpt #1: "I do not know that Prof. Shiller has ever gone so far as to advocate that people use cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE) to make investment decisions." Juicy Excerpt #2: "Shiller does his best to warn people off relying on CAPE, saying that it 'has to be…
We hear very little about Australia, yet the economy is in trouble, Immigration is a huge issue, but of most concern is the head in the sand attitude to climate change. Opening up more coal mines, that kill the reef, and farm land , massive bush fires and cyclones. Where do you see Australia heading and is there any hope of a turn a round ? Thank you for your insight.
The stock market crash of 1929 had transiting Pluto conjuncting Uranus in the 7th and making an opposition to the first house; it’s similar to the upcoming transits we’ve only begun to taste. I could go on and on about the similarities between now and then, there are many, but really the main point is to protect yourself. We, the tax payers, are already going to bail out wall street, but you can bet, you the individual share holder won’t be as fortunate. Take care of yourself and get out when you feel the timing is right — just do it before mid-December of this year to be safe.
However, if China’s economy falters it might. Geopolitical turmoil concerning North Korea, Iran, Syria or Russia could also become a catalyst if things escalate enough. It’s most likely that the next market crash, whenever it occurs, will be the result of a perfect storm caused by several factors. But, since it’s not something anyone can predict, it’s best to concentrate on being prepared for a crash whenever it may occur.
The content on this site is provided as general information only. The ideas expressed on this site are solely the opinions of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the opinions of sponsors or firms affiliated with the author(s). The author may or may not have a financial interest in any company or advertiser referenced. Any action taken as a result of information, analysis, or advertisement on this site is ultimately the responsibility of the reader.
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for an article on Valuation-Informed Indexing appearing at the Invest It Wisely site: Look at the orange line at the bottom of Fig. 6: it follows the stock line (in black) most of the time, this is just plain buy-and-hold as long as valuations are sane. This strategy is closer to buy-and-hold than to, say, day-trading or stock picking. I certainly agree that the strategy you suggest (I call it…
I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Digerati Life blog. It's called The No-Stock Portfolio: Zero Stocks for 15 Years and Doing Fine! Juicy Excerpt: What if you were to take stock price into consideration when setting your stock allocation with the understanding that it might take as long as 10 years to see a payoff for doing so? In that case, you would be almost certain to see the payoff. Long-term timing always works. At least it always has (in the past). It’s not hard to…
We have seen so much fluctuation in the market now because we have Pluto sitting on the Dow’s moon and is about to cross the threshold of the first house. This aspect is worse than the 29 crash chart. The 29 chart shows harsh times, difficulty and a major adjustment, hard times but this period is indicative of DEATH. And of course in its wake rebirth, but this will take a long time to accomplish, Pluto is a very slow moving planet. We also have another horrifying aspect going on which is similar to the 29 crash and that is the involvement of Uranus bringer of revolution, chaos, rebellion and lightening striking out of the blue. In 1929 Uranus was part of the GRAND CROSS in the current chart it is also part of the equation just as Pluto in 29 was conjuncting Uranus, again another similarity in terms of the planets involved. 
The bigger risk is the $150 billion in tariffs Trump has threatened on Chinese imports and the potential retaliation from China. Trump also has hinted at tariffs on auto imports and threatened not to renew the NAFTA trade pact with Canada and Mexico. Those steps could raise consumer prices and crimp U.S. exports, curbing growth by more than a percentage point next year, Bostjancic says. .Of course, it’s highly unlikely all of these threats would be carried through, she says. Administration officials have suggested they’re merely negotiating ploys. Yet even an escalation in the standoffs that raises investor fears could help set off a downturn, Edgerton says.
I posted as Guest Blog Entry at the Married (with Debt) blog yesterday. It's called The Buy-and-Hold Myth. Juicy Excerpt: In the used-car market, the price of the car being sold is the result of a battle waged between the car seller and the car buyer. The seller wants a high price. The buyer wants a low one. Each side has to give something or risk seeing the negotiation fall through. The end result of the battle is usually a price that is more or less right. The car-selling market…
Watch out for economic chaos in 2019 - 2020, and watch what Putin the Antichrist, the 1st horseman, is doing in Russia, such as invading Ukraine and intervening in Syria. Relate to Revelation 15 plagues. The 4th horseman Death could be riding as a Flu epidemic, possibly Bird Flu, Zika virus SARS. Disasters for the world in 2019 - 2020: flu epidemic, earthquakes, volcanos, solar flares, asteroids hit earth, the Antichrist Putin. The 2nd horseman War and 3rd horseman economic chaos riding in 2019 - 2020.
Though the Trump administration has looked to tariffs to help balance out a huge trade deficit with China, these added costs on aluminum, steel, and potentially other Chinese goods, could come back to haunt businesses and U.S. consumers. As material costs rise as a result of tariffs, businesses have little choice but to pass along these higher costs to consumers. That will likely result in less consumption, and an eventual pullback in spending from businesses, which may lead to a borderline recession.
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