The CAPE ratio (also known as Shiller P/E ratio) is a long term cyclically adjusted measure of equity valuations devised by the respected economist Robert Shiller. The CAPE ratio has been at historically high level for several years, although high valuations alone do not mean a crash is imminent. Whether US stock prices today are in a stock bubble or not is debatable. In general, bubbles do not necessarily imply a crash, unless there is a catalyst.
Although we’ve seen more recognition of cryptocurrencies as investment vehicle, they’re still considered high-risk investments. Some see Bitcoin as safe-haven in case of a global crash due to its decentralized nature, the low correlation with the stock markets and the limited supply. Though, there is no reliable data available on how cryptocurrencies behave during a stock market crash. However, if you’re willing to take the risk, adding a small percentage of Bitcoin or cryptocurrency stocks to a diversified portfolio could be a worthwhile investment decision.
Juicy Moderator Comment: I’d be interested to see why you don’t agree with the views stated here…. I’d like to hear the arguments. I assume that you’re tired of hearing the same view points over and over again, but there are some of us who aren’t part of this history and won’t mind reading different ideas (given that they are made appropriately) on investing. If I get tired of the alleged ‘trolling’ done by anyone to anyone else, I’ll make sure to mediate the debate accordingly.
Congratulations on your correct prediction that the Republicans would win. It is like a Brexit for the USA, as Clinton, Bush and Obama are all backed and controlled by big finance. Clinton would just have been more of the same and the Americans were fed up. I’m very relieved that the goading of the Russians with fabricated nonsense will hopefully now stop.
The AFR has got its hands on the thoughts of Nouriel Roubini via a mob called The Project Syndicate, which is headquartered in Prague, Czechoslovakia, of all places. And this is how it describes itself: “A syndicate is a group of individuals or organizations combined to promote a common interest. In the case of Project Syndicate, these individuals are activists, Nobel laureates, economists, political thinkers, business leaders, and the likes from around the world.”
The reason I am predicting Global Financial Crisis 2 as an astrologer (plenty of financial experts agree with astrology of course) is that Jupiter – abundance – is in Scorpio at exactly the same time that Uranus – revolution – is in Taurus. It’s Sunday 15th April here in London and all is quiet, but that is typical of this cycle. Uranus comes from nowhere.
The critical point where bubbles end happens as investors begin to think that the rally is over. It is when this opinion travels deep into the system and becomes generalized that the system ends up in a crash. The paradox here is that a crash is often (and mistakenly) characterized as “market chaos.” In fact, it is the opposite: a crash reflects a highly ordered market, when everyone does the same thing (i.e. sell). A truly “chaotic” market is one where everyone is doing something different, interactions offset each other and price volatility remains low.
I recently wrote a Guest Blog Entry for the "Money and Such" blog entitled Passive Investing Is a Strategy for Extremists. Juicy Excerpt: The word “passive” sounds neutral. It sounds moderate. I don’t think the investing philosophy is that at all. The investing philosophy argues for taking no action whatsoever when the risk of holding stocks increases dramatically. This is the blog entry that was viewed by the owner of the "Lazy Man and Money" blog as "too hot to…
Do you buy cheap fashion? Uranus in Taurus from May 2018, for years to come, says ‘Don’t be a dummy. People in poor countries make the cheap fashion.’ Heads are going to roll in any system which keeps our fellow human beings down. Manufacturing – if it is exploitative – could take a king hit. Why do we say ‘heads roll’ on a Uranus transit? Because Uranus was found in the same year that The French Revolution was seeded, and that’s 1781. Marie Antoinette (and her wardrobe) did not last long.
A crash seems likely, probably with internet stocks and shares, as we are approaching the anniversary of the end of the AT&T telephone monopoly. The monopoly of big players like Google, Facebook, Twitter is uncannily similar to that situation all those years ago. One gets the impression of bargain basement shares, though, with a quick return for a few people, as we are also going through Jupiter in Scorpio, the wealth sign. It’s a classic line-up for basically a car boot sale of reduced stock with some people mopping up their tears with beer, and others clinking the champagne glasses. Win some, lose some, is really what you get with Uranus in Taurus and Jupiter in Scorpio. I’ll read this with interest, thank you!
Behaviorists argue that investors often behave irrationally when making investment decisions thereby incorrectly pricing securities, which causes market inefficiencies, which, in turn, are opportunities to make money. However, the whole notion of EMH is that these non-rational reactions to information cancel out, leaving the prices of stocks rationally determined.
I don’t think you are wrong about Trump winning the Presidency. He is very close in the polls and the Clinton’s who totally control the media have faked the polls to show she is winning (came out in Wikileaks), but she isn’t. All their corruption is coming to light through WikiLeaks, disgruntled FBI agents, and alternative media investigative journalism. Moreover, the astronomical increase in the cost of health premiums under ObamaCare is turning tons of people away from Clinton. The only way she could win is by rigging big time the elections, but Trump supporters have organized an army of people to address the rigging.
Like my maverick 88 nice smooth action just a good basic shotty. Takes 3 inch loads I think that’s overkill though but hey if I come across some during a shortage it will work. Would like to get a 590 though but the 88 is sufficient as it will mostly pull guard duty in the house so it won’t see rough conditions. Grew sweet potatoes this year gonna have 30lbs or more come harvest time. My garden and fruit trees produce so much I don’t buy produce anymore just meats grains juices really. I don’t hunt but might this year got me a decent crossbow and the shotgun of course there is no rifle hunting around here. Have a buddy who used to be a butcher and hunts and processes all his own meat. I’m fond of back strap and sausage.
Thank you. Before you do anything else, realise that you have Pluto at 1 Scorpio in the Eighth House of banks, currency and business. Starting slowly on May 15th and intensifying in June, Uranus (shock, revolution) will pass 1 Taurus and oppose that. So you will experience transiting Uranus opposite Pluto and that is going to change your world. When you say you work for a small bank taken over by a foreign investor, it is really clear that global shifts will personally affect you. In general you will benefit from the changes this year as you have a Scorpio stellium, apart from Pluto, later in the sign and Jupiter with all his solutions, breakthroughs and big answers will be in the later degrees of Scorpio from this point onwards, until November. Jupiter conjunct your Mars at 26 Scorpio in October brings gains, benefits and advantages to your personal ‘push’ over the money, house, business, charity, possessions or house, across the European Autumn. Before you get there, though, you do need to take a deep breath and find out exactly who and what you will be dealing with, in this unpredictable new world, and so you really do need to walk your way through May, June and the following months to get the measure of it all. This is not the world any of us ever knew.
Tesco launched its customer loyalty scheme, the Tesco Clubcard, in 1995. It has been cited as a pivotal development in Tesco's progress towards becoming the UK's largest supermarket chain and one that fundamentally changed the country's supermarket business. Tesco itself was cited in a Wall Street Journal article as using the intelligence from the Clubcard to thwart Wal-Mart's initiatives in the UK.
Over six terrifying, desperate days in October 1929, the fabulous fortune that Americans had built in stocks plunged with a fervor never seen before. At first, the drop seemed like a mistake, a mere glitch in the system. But as the decline gathered steam, so did the destruction. Over twenty-five billion dollars in individual wealth was lost, vanished gone. People watched their dreams fade before their very eyes. Investing in the stock market would never be the same.
The level of panic that we witnessed on Wall Street on Wednesday was breathtaking. After a promising start to the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average started plunging, and at the close it was down another 608 points. Since peaking at 26,951.81 on October 3rd, the Dow has now fallen 2,368 points, and all of the gains for 2018 have been completely wiped out. But things are even worse when we look at the Nasdaq. The percentage decline for the Nasdaq almost doubled the Dow’s stunning plunge on Wednesday, and it has now officially entered correction territory. To say that it was a “bloodbath” for tech stocks on Wednesday would be a major understatement. Several big name tech stocks were in free fall mode as panic swept through the marketplace like wildfire. As I noted the other day, October 2018 looks a whole lot like October 2008, and many believe that the worst is yet to come.
As you can see, there is more to preparing for a market crash than making a stock market crash prediction. “Experts” predict crashes all the time, and most of the time they get it wrong. If you listen to all these crash predictions, you will end up losing out on the upside. And yet, you should never be in a position where a crash will wipe out your portfolio or brokerage account. To prepare for a crash, you should make sure your portfolio is diversified, and that you don’t have too much of it allocated to high beta and growth stocks.
Thanks Jessica!! My stepdad’s birthdate is September 3, 1931. And yes, I hear you regarding the seriousness of the epoch we are moving into and my chart’s potentially unpredictable relationship to that. I am wondering if it would be wisest to wait the next two years out and focus on my creativity and on earning rather than investing – but I’m also aware there will be amazing financial opportunities for those who are astute, rural property not far from the sea being chief among them. I dream of having a beautiful but affordable place for my son (September 7, 1999) and my extended family and friends to visit whenever they wish and for me to teach and create in. Love and blessings :)
Originally a UK grocer, Tesco has expanded globally since the early 1990s, with operations in 11 other countries in the world. The company pulled out of the USA in 2013, but as of 2018 continues to see growth elsewhere. Since the 1960s, Tesco has diversified into areas such as the retailing of books, clothing, electronics, furniture, toys, petrol, software, financial services, telecoms, and internet services. In the 1990s Tesco repositioned itself from being a down-market high-volume low-cost retailer, to one designed to attract a range of social groups by offering products ranging from low-cost "Tesco Value" items (launched 1993) to its "Tesco Finest" range. This broadening of its appeal was successful and saw the chain grow from 500 shops in the mid-1990s to 2,500 shops fifteen years later.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Everyday Tips and Thoughts blog. It's called Stocks Are Not Risky for Those Willing to Tune Out the Wall Street Mumbo Jumbo. Juicy Excerpt: The people who are cited in the media as investment “experts” are almost all employed by Wall Street. Wall Street makes lots of money when you invest in stocks and hardly anything when you invest in other asset classes. So 90 percent of the “experts” are compromised. They are not experts in how to invest…
The movements of the prices in a market or section of a market are captured in price indices called stock market indices, of which there are many, e.g., the S&P, the FTSE and the Euronext indices. Such indices are usually market capitalization weighted, with the weights reflecting the contribution of the stock to the index. The constituents of the index are reviewed frequently to include/exclude stocks in order to reflect the changing business environment.
Tesco purchased the restaurant and cafe chain Giraffe in 2013 for £48.6 million. In 2014, it began to open restaurants within some of its shops. The company set up Tesco Family Dining Ltd in 2014 as part of a new department called 'new food experience', including Core Cafes, Giraffe, Decks and Euphorium bakeries. That year, Tesco reached an agreement to take the in-shop cafes run by Compass Group and Elior back under its own control, so as to improve its dining offering.
That is when a ‘swaroopa’ appeared before him and said what can be briefly summarized as follows: He was the Aksharateeta Purushottama, Shri Krishna! Shri Krishna then gave him certain directions and revealed certain truths that are contained in TV. Thus the 5000 year old text composed by the revered Vedavyas, especially for enlightening the Parama-hamsas [most spiritually evolved souls] expected to appear in world later in Kaliyuga, truly turned out to be the forerunner of manifestation of TV via Shri Devachandraji and his chosen disciple Mahamati Prananath. It was through the latter that TV containing 18758 divine verses in several languages of 17th century India manifested during the period 1657-94 AD.
I have also had a similar dream. I dreamed about 2 yrs ago that Chengde in China was hit with a massive quake. I was in Chengde and they had just finished building a new shopping complex, as well as apartments. All of the buildings were white and it was really beautiful. I was standing at the back of a building when this massive quake struck. This massive wave came thundering in and the tsunami was so big that it literally flattened the entire complex like a rolling pin. I remember lifting of the ground and was floating up above watching this when it happened. I heard the people that survived it say that was a 9.5 quake is anyone else alive?
Considering again Cassini going to Saturn: as for the planet Saturn, possibly Saturn represents "Satan"-- the Antichrist is said to be a Satanic imitation of Christ, actually the son of Satan. So the Cassini probe journey to Saturn actually may be the journey of mankind to "Satan". Also note that in Greek, where each letter is also a number, "Titan" totals 666, another indication of the Cassini landing on Titan being connected with the Antichrist. Note that Titan (representing the Antichrist?) revolves around Saturn/Satan.
My predictions hit the news sites and featured in the national newspapers when in 2015 I predicted the presidency of Donald Trump. Last year I said that Hillary Clinton will drop out of politics. She’s still hanging in there but has recently expressed a desire to become a religious preacher. It looks like her time in politics is coming to a close. I also stated in my predictions for 2017 that America becomes a nation divided between East and West and that there would be riots on the streets. America is certainly a divided nation but I was wrong in my prediction that troops from neighboring neutral Canada would be asked to help quell unrest.
Most of the professional investors are signaling signs of a market collapse in next two three years before 2020 starts. Market crash in 2000 was sparked by technology sector failure and 2008 crash was sparked by real estate and property. But today almost all sectors have been overvalued. Many sectors listed at S&P 500 are trading at the highest level seen in last ten years.