Hi Craig – I have recently purchased your book and it is lovely to read about your experiences in India. A quick question – does it not impede your spiritual pursuits if you make such predictions and people use your insights for material gain? Do you ever feel that it would be better to internalize your energies? Or is it the case that it is your destiny to spread what you see?
Sometimes, the market seems to react irrationally to economic or financial news, even if that news is likely to have no real effect on the fundamental value of securities itself. However, this market behaviour may be more apparent than real, since often such news was anticipated, and a counterreaction may occur if the news is better (or worse) than expected. Therefore, the stock market may be swayed in either direction by press releases, rumors, euphoria and mass panic.
Another not so great thing going on is a Saturn return happening in the Dow’s chart. This happens to all of us between the ages of 27 to 30 years old and if you’ve been a good girl or boy, good things manifest, your career takes off but so does your responsability. This is a manifesting aspect, a maturing aspect, making people or entities reap the karma of their past, so if you’ve been bad, it’s not a good time. It’s not uncommon for people who have lived a reckless life to die during this aspect or become very ill or near death.
The bottom line: As a sandpile grows, all sort of sand “avalanches” take place, but it is impossible to predict how big or how often they occur. Sometimes a few grains roll down the slope, while occasionally a large avalanche carves a big section of the sandpile. The size and frequency of those avalanches, mathematically speaking, bear a notable resemblance to the size and frequency of earthquakes, solar flares, river floods, forest fires, and stock market returns. Intriguingly, all of them have defied attempts at prediction. The question is why.
J’aimerais avoir si c’est possible d’avoir vôtre opinion sur les gestionnaires de porte-feuille privé Québécois comme Cote 100, Giverny Capital, Fond Barrage (40% de rendement en 2016 je crois), groupe Médici, etc.. Effectivement, depuis 2008, ces gestionnaires vont battre régulièrement les indices (rendement moyen de 12% depuis 2008) et certains ont des frais de gestion de 1% et demande un minimum de $50K comme montant de départ. Merci à l’avance.
He’d say that Trump had a brilliant strategy for getting elected because he used to tell me that it’s not the middle class that decides elections — it’s the All Star Wrestling fans, the 15% to 20% clueless, bigoted, narrow-minded, dumbest people in the country, who are easily influenced. Those are the people who have been most pissed off in recent decades because their wages and earning power have been falling as a result of foreign and immigrant workers. Trump [targeted] them squarely and won them by [a margin of] about 80%.
There was a chart floating around in early 2014 that had a 97.5% correlation between the stock market of 1928-29 and the stock market of 2013-14. That chart boldly predicted a massive stock market crash in 2014. Instead, from when the market was supposed to crash into the end of the year, stocks rose nearly 10%, and were in the middle of the longest bull market in history.
Les théoriciens de l’efficience ont bien tenté d’en faire une « anomalie » quelconque, l’exception unique qui confirmerait la règle. J’ai bien peur qu’ils se soient mis les deux doigts dans l’oeil… Il n’est pas tout à fait tout seul dans son genre non plus, ils ont été au moins une bonne quinzaine dans la seconde moitié du 20e siècle et au début du 21e pour ceux d’entre eux qui sont encore vivants. lls ont même formé un club à un moment donné, ils se réunissaient chaque année.
I've posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free From Broke site called How to Change Your Stock Allocation in Response to Valuation Shifts. Juicy Excerpt: Stock valuations do not jump randomly from super-low levels to super-high levels. They change gradually over a 30-year or 35-year time period. They start at super-low levels, move to fair-value levels, continue moving up until they reach insanely high levels, and then crash hard. We are today at a P/E10 of 21, working our way down from…
Pour ma part, j’ai un peu tout voulu faire tout seul car j’avais pris la décision de m’inscrire (j’avais lu toutes les infos sur leur site – peut-être un peu vite), je démarrais avec une petite somme (donc je me sentais un peu ridicule d’appeler un conseiller pour placer ~$2,000) et je voulais commencer à épargner au plus vite. J’ai juste échangé plusieurs e-mails au départ car il y a eu un peu de délai pour établir mon prélèvement automatique avec ma banque (je suppose que les institutions bancaires ne doivent pas leur faciliter la tâche) et pour le transfert de mon CELI. Leur service à la clientèle est très réactif. Plus tard, j’ai eu au téléphone le gestionnaire de portefeuille Québec de Wealthsimple basé à Montréal (Joseph Kindarji) pour faire annuler mon transfert de CELI. Tout s’est très bien passé, il a été efficace, a répondu à mes questions et il n’a pas essayé de me « vendre » autre chose.
Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries I've written on the Valuation-Informed Indexing investing strategy: 1) What's the Best Age at Which to Experience a Stock Crash?, at Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance; 2) A Better and Safer Way to Invest in Stocks, at the Foolish Blogging Network; 3) Playing Dominion vs. Playing the Market, at Free From Broke; 4) Stocks Are Not Risky for Those Willing to Tune Out the Wall Street Mumbo Jumbo; at Everyday Tips and Thoughts; 5)…
There isn’t really a definition of a stock market crash. A correction occurs when stocks fall more than 10% from recent highs. A bear market is usually a sustained drop in prices, with prices falling at least 20% below recent highs. While there is no precise definition of a stock market crash, if the market falls more than 15% in a matter of days, many people would probably refer to it as a crash.
The critical point where bubbles end happens as investors begin to think that the rally is over. It is when this opinion travels deep into the system and becomes generalized that the system ends up in a crash. The paradox here is that a crash is often (and mistakenly) characterized as “market chaos.” In fact, it is the opposite: a crash reflects a highly ordered market, when everyone does the same thing (i.e. sell). A truly “chaotic” market is one where everyone is doing something different, interactions offset each other and price volatility remains low.
Il y a tellement de fausses croyances par rapport au courtage en ligne. Un peu à l’image du marché immobilier, on dit que c’est extrêmement risqué d’acheter une maison sans courtier immobilier. À mon avis, une fois bien informé, on peut tout faire soi-même et épargner des milliers de dollars. Il suffit d’y aller progressivement en respectant sa zone de confort.
I have no illusions about the Islamic world. 9/11 was only the start. Anybody who has read the Koran knows that it is a book of violence teaching violence against infidels. The Koran appeals to believers to conquer foreign lands and subjugate the natives. The last time the West has successfully forced out Islam was in 1683 at the Gates of Vienna. As a result, European civilisation could flourish and develop freedom and democracy. This time Europe will take a much more sinister turn, and a dark and bloody age will follow. As Europeans we have stopped believing in our own values. We are certainly not willing to defend them in this postmodern age of cultural relativism. We have become complacent and take our freedoms for granted to the extent that we cannot imagine any other circumstances. In future, Europeans, including the UK, will be truly tested. They will have to decide which values they believe in and what they are prepared to defend.
“Across assets, these projections look tame relative to what the GFC delivered and probably unalarming relative to the recession/crisis averages” of the past, JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi wrote, noting that during the recession and ensuing global financial crisis the S&P 500 fell 54 percent from its peak. “We would nudge them all at least to their historical norms due to the wildcard from structurally less-liquid markets.”
Comet ISON seen in November 2013 was discovered in Russia (so connect it to the rise of the Antichrist Putin) in September 2012 by a telescope at Kislovodsk Russia, coordinates 43.9 N 42.9 S. It is green in color so could it be the 4th horseman of the apocalypse Death Zika, Bird Flu epidemic or SARS virus epidemic? So a shift of 151 degrees from the Lordsburg midpoint, refer to this page on geographic coordinates for an explanation. Corresponding to 151 degrees, Revelation 15:1 "And I saw another sign in heaven, great and marvelous, seven angels having the seven last plagues...". So could these plagues described in Revelation 16 (death in the sea, solar flares, rivers became blood, war, etc.) hit soon starting in 2018 - 2019? This web site has my vision, my visions and prophecies of the future. I relate the geographic coordinates of the point of discovery of Comet Ison to the discovery locations of Comet Hale-Bopp, with a shift of 151 degrees, relate that to Revelation 15:1, which talks about 7 angels with 7 plagues which could be a comet. This website has much on conspiracy theory, conspiracies, conspiracy theories.
After a very brief rally earlier in the week, stocks have been getting hammered again. The S&P 500 has now fallen for 9 out of the last 11 trading sessions, and homebuilder stocks have now fallen for 19 of the last 22 trading sessions. It was a “sea of red” on Thursday, and some of the stocks that are widely considered to be “economic bellwethers” were among those that got hit the hardest…
But let's assume that you're not in the stock market and don't plan to be. The last chapter broadens the discussion to consider a wide range of problems confronting the world in the period from the year of publication (2002) to the potential "end of the growth era" around 2050. Many of the trends described have only become more pressing since 2002. This book is both important and fascinating--not just for investors but also for citizens of an uncertain world.
So, I should go ahead and take that last $15 I have in the bank out?? (better yet ill use it to fill up a gas can) Looks like this isn’t going to end well. The problem is the talking bimbos on the idiot box keep telling the lotus eaters of this world that everything is fine. (And they believe them!!) Have you tried to wake some of these people up to the fact that this will not end well?? My friends all thought I was crazy when I decided to move to the country to an off grid cabin in the woods two years ago, still not 100% ready but at least I don’t have to walk among them. God bless and prep on!
GOLD broke above it's downtrend channel line for the first time on February 3 and moved sharply higher immediately. It has very recently formed a FLAG pattern which is usually a Continuation signification. A pattern "count" would take the GOLD Price target to $1440! Apparently, the vote for Britain to potentially leave the EU is coming up and polls say it is a close call. That is roiling world markets yesterday and today and is one of several uncertainties presuring GOLD higher.
“Across assets, these projections look tame relative to what the GFC delivered and probably unalarming relative to the recession/crisis averages” of the past, JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi wrote, noting that during the recession and ensuing global financial crisis the S&P 500 fell 54 per cent from its peak. “We would nudge them all at least to their historical norms due to the wildcard from structurally less-liquid markets.”
Jeremy, as a businessman you have identified what also concerns many astrologers – bubbles. As you say, housing prices have ballooned and younger people cannot match their salaries with the price of (even) a studio apartment. This is not living in the real world, and people in their fifties, born with Neptune in Scorpio, the banking sign, have been inflating the bubbles. What we are going to see, in stages, from May 2018, is Uranus (shock, revolution, radical change) moving through Taurus (currency, money) and thus directly clashing with the Neptune in Scorpio position of everybody born in the 1960’s. It starts with people born with Neptune at 0, 1 Scorpio – in 2018 and 2019 – and then will systematically burst the borrowing/credit/property bubbles of billions, year by year. Apart from the adults born in the 1960s with Neptune in Scorpio, there are other, younger generations born with Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Pluto in Scorpio as well. They are also going to be affected quite systematically, year by year. The other huge bubble now is cryptocurrency. All this non-reality is going to be seriously challenged, and it begins with a bang. Bitcoin will be a big part of that bang, as I have charts for the first trade and other key points in its history, which show patterns at – we guessed it – 0, 1 degrees. I was chatting to my friend Shelley von Strunckel, the astrologer for The Sunday Times, Vogue and other magazines about May 2018. Neither of us can ignore the fact that Prince Charles and Her Majesty the Queen both have placements triggered by this 0, 1 pattern. Uranus always turns the world upside-down. Her head is on Commonwealth currency, so you really have to wonder what’s going to happen here…
As any scientific work, he starts with an hypothesis, applies examples for validity, and then makes predictions. Are his predictions 100% correct -- no (only 60% correct). But that does not invalidate his ideas. Perhaps it means that the theory is partially correct and needs tweeking; or perhaps it means going back to the drawing board. That is the beauty of science and the scientific approach -- there are no Hollywood endings.
“In future 2014 to 2025 I can clearly see that sacred region of North India where a saint with terrific efforts immersing himself in ceaseless spiritual practices is radiating such a divinely spiritual flow which shall be capable of ushering in Era Transformation in future in the entire world. His spiritual thinking shall be so revolutionary that people in a mind boggled manner shall witness its spark getting converted into a blazing inferno which in turn shall spread in every nook and corner of the globe. People shall realize that only in imbibing this great saint’s powerful, progressive thinking that troubleshoots all world problems, dwells the well being of the entire world. In this way slowly but surely people will get directed towards spirituality and shall totally be rendered spiritual. This shall in turn help people the world over experience heavenly happiness on earth”. This proclamation was made by Florence, a highly intellectual seer of New Jersey, USA about a few decades back in her book ‘Golden light of a new era’.
Eighth, once a correction occurs, the risk of illiquidity and fire sales/undershooting will become more severe. There are reduced market-making and warehousing activities by broker-dealers. Excessive high-frequency/algorithmic trading will raise the likelihood of “flash crashes.” And fixed-income instruments have become more concentrated in open-ended exchange-traded and dedicated credit funds.