These diseases may also relate to three animals used to describe the Antichrist: he is like a leopard, has the mouth of a lion, and the feet of a bear. Maybe Ebola corresponds to the leopard, with its great speed; Ebola kills in two weeks of infection. Influenza could be the lion; it causes coughing like a lion's roar. And AIDS could be the bear; bears hibernate, like AIDS can do in people, until it wakes up and kills them.
Statistically, major market corrections occur about once every decade, so the probability is better than even, less than unity. Personally I’ll be watching 2019 which will be the year following the consequences of the tax cuts. By then, the tax cuts will have been price in and should not longer be a factor. I suspect that 2018 will be a year of watching and seeing how much earnings actually go with the tax cut; markets are always ‘forward-looking.’ They react not to earnings, but the promise of future earnings. Right now 2018 looks like the “Buy on the rumor” side of the equation, and that 2019 might be the “sell on the news” side.
In Professor Sornette’s model, a bubble is a market heading to a critical point. But a crash is not the only possible post-crisis outcome: Prices can also stop rising and reach a higher plateau. It is precisely because of the small but real probability that a bubble will not crash but simply stop growing that it is rational for some investors to stay in the market, even when if they think that it has gone too far, too fast.
In his 12 lectures on the Book of Revelation, the great Austrian philosopher Rudolf Steiner unveils the mysteries of Saint John’s vision and show it to be a profound description of Christian initiation. As Steiner says, “The deepest truths of Christianity may be considered quite naturally in connection with this document, for it contains a great part of the mysteries of Christianity, that is, the profoundest part of what may be described as esoteric Christianity.”
(Bloomberg) -- At Dwarika’s Resort, a holistic wellness retreat in Nepal’s Eastern Kathmandu Valley, I sat in a wooden library across from famed astrologer Santosh Vashistha, a distinguished 42-year-old in a plaid sport coat with remnants of festive red tika adorning his forehead. His piercing eyes are almost as captivating as the view of the distant Himalayas through the wide picture window behind him.
Because stockbrokers tell people, “Don’t try to time the markets.” That works most of the time. But when you get a bubble of this magnitude, “Just hang in there — it will come back; we’ve got to diversify” isn’t going to help. This is a once-in-a-lifetime bubble-burst. Diversification didn’t work in 2008 because when bubbles burst, everything goes down except for cash, high-quality bonds and things like the U.S. dollar.
I recently wrote a guest blog entry for the Four Pillars blog entitled The Curse of Pretend Money. Juicy Excerpt: The reality is that your stock portfolio was never worth $1.5 million. The portfolio statement that led you to believe it was had been sent to you in January 2000, when stocks were priced at three times fair value. The real value of your stock portfolio on that day was $500,000, not $1.5 million. The extra $1 million was pretend money. Lots of comments. Some making solid…
The AFR has got its hands on the thoughts of Nouriel Roubini via a mob called The Project Syndicate, which is headquartered in Prague, Czechoslovakia, of all places. And this is how it describes itself: “A syndicate is a group of individuals or organizations combined to promote a common interest. In the case of Project Syndicate, these individuals are activists, Nobel laureates, economists, political thinkers, business leaders, and the likes from around the world.”
Hi Jessica, another interesting article! Thank you for sharing your wisdom so generously. I have 6 factors in Scorpio and 2 factors in Taurus. I am currently working for a small bank that has been taken over by a foreign investor last year. Do you think the imminent Uranus in Taurus will bring sudden change to my work or financial situation? My wife has been very into cryptocurrency and equity investments since last year. After reading your articles, she thinks that I should be the one to do the investments because of my Stellium in Scorpio. Do you think she is right? Your insights to my horoscope patterns and my future will be much appreciated. Thank you!
J’aimerais avoir si c’est possible d’avoir vôtre opinion sur les gestionnaires de porte-feuille privé Québécois comme Cote 100, Giverny Capital, Fond Barrage (40% de rendement en 2016 je crois), groupe Médici, etc.. Effectivement, depuis 2008, ces gestionnaires vont battre régulièrement les indices (rendement moyen de 12% depuis 2008) et certains ont des frais de gestion de 1% et demande un minimum de $50K comme montant de départ. Merci à l’avance.
On October 29, William C. Durant joined with members of the Rockefeller family and other financial giants to buy large quantities of stocks to demonstrate to the public their confidence in the market, but their efforts failed to stop the large decline in prices. Due to the massive volume of stocks traded that day, the ticker did not stop running until about 7:45 p.m. The market had lost over $30 billion in the space of two days, including $14 billion on October 29 alone.
The crucial point of their paper was that sandpile avalanches could not be predicted, and not because of randomness (there was no random component in their model) or because the authors could not figure out how to come up with equations to describe it. Rather, they found it impossible in a fundamental sense to set up equations that would describe the sandpile model analytically, so there was no way to predict what the sandpile would do. The only way to observe its behavior was to set up the model in a computer and let it run.
You predicted a hard Brexit and at the last minute Germany would press the EU to do a deal. Reading recently and with the vote in parliament along with several capitulations, I am beginning to get really concerned that the vote to leave will not be respected and we never leave. What now for the UK? It looks bad news. Are you still confident in what you have predicted, I truly hope you are right.
En mai 2010, Navinder Singh Sarao était un day trader sur futures d'actions qui opérait à partir du pavillon de ses parents à Hounslow, dans la banlieue de Londres, pour le compte de sa société, la Nav Sarao Futures Limited, enregistrée au domicile familial. Le 21 avril 2015, le Département de la Justice des États-Unis émettait à son encontre 22 chefs d’inculpation, incluant fraude électronique, manipulation des marchés boursiers et spoofing. De 2009 à avril 2014, ces opérations auraient engendré 40 millions de dollars de profits illégaux. La pénalité maximale pour chaque inculpation étant de dix à vingt-cinq ans de prison, Sarao risquait un total de 350 années derrière les barreaux14. Les inculpations faisaient suite à une plainte de la Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) des États-Unis.
The failure set off a worldwide run on US gold deposits (i.e. the dollar), and forced the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates into the slump. Some 4,000 banks and other lenders ultimately failed. Also, the uptick rule, which allowed short selling only when the last tick in a stock's price was positive, was implemented after the 1929 market crash to prevent short sellers from driving the price of a stock down in a bear raid.
Super article de vulgarisation. J’ai commencé à prendre mes finances personnelles en main également et la courbe d’apprentissage est vraiment impressionnante quand on s’y met un peu. Pour moi c’est terminé les fonds communs par le biais d’institution financière (et pourtant je travaille pour l’une d’entre elle…), je ne crois toutefois pas retirer immédiatement les sommes investies mais plutôt gérer de plus en plus activement le reste de mon épargne. Je continuerai de vous suivre ! Au plaisir d’échanger avec vous.
To illustrate this we have included the TED spread which is a good stress indicator for credit and currency markets. That’s where turmoil always starts before it trickles down to other parts of global markets like for instance stock markets. It is “the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt.” TED is an acronym formed from T-Bill and ED, the ticker symbol for the Eurodollar futures contract. It incorporates both interest rates and currency stress. But as seen on below up-to-date chart there is no stress whatsoever.
On September 16, 2008, failures of massive financial institutions in the United States, due primarily to exposure to packaged subprime loans and credit default swaps issued to insure these loans and their issuers, rapidly devolved into a global crisis. This resulted in a number of bank failures in Europe and sharp reductions in the value of stocks and commodities worldwide. The failure of banks in Iceland resulted in a devaluation of the Icelandic króna and threatened the government with bankruptcy. Iceland obtained an emergency loan from the International Monetary Fund in November. In the United States, 15 banks failed in 2008, while several others were rescued through government intervention or acquisitions by other banks. On October 11, 2008, the head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the world financial system was teetering on the "brink of systemic meltdown".
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Set forth below are links to seven Guest Blog Entries I wrote about the Valuation-Informed Indexing investing strategy: 1) The Buy-and-Hold Myth at Married with Debt; 2) What Kind of Investor Are You?, at Don't Quit Your Day Job; 3) The Efficient Market Hypothesis Is Flawed, at Don't Quit Your Day Job; 4) If Buy-and-Hold Doesn't Work, Then What?, at Don't Quit Your Day Job; 5) Are Stock Gains and Losses Real? at Consumerism Commentary; 6) Are Safe Withdrawal Rates Really…
As I was looking at the NYSE chart – I was a little surprised to realize that transiting Neptune was making an opposition to the natal Mars and the transiting Moon was about to light that puppy up. Transiting Jupiter was also opposing the Sun. And as you can see transiting Uranus was hitting the cusp of the 9th house right at the midpoint between the natal Moon and Saturn. All that and the fast moving South Node and Venus and Sun were starting to conjunct the natal Pluto. None of that seemed good. Traditionally, the big falls happen in the fall. So I was a little surprised to see so many activating aspects that looked negative. I was a bit worried because I really figured a big crash would happen in the fall of 2019 so I looked for reiteration in the US Constitution Signing Chart. In fact I spent the rest of the night looking at patterns in both the US CS chart and the NYSE chart. The 1929 chart seemed like it showed up more in the US CS chart then in the NYSE exchange chart. It was in both but the aspects were not very exact in the NYSE exchange chart which worried me a bit. As you can see above I have a different chart for the stock market then the rectified one I put up the other night. I found an alternative time online and it seems to time out a lot better. In this new chart Uranus was right on the cusp of the 8th/9th over the last couple of days and made more sense in the 1929 chart.
The U.S. stock market is in an amazing shape. Every day new all-time highs are set. This MUST be bullish, and investors should go all-in, right? Well, not that fast, at least not in our opinion. We see many signs that this rally is getting overextended, from an historical perspective. While we clearly said a year ago that we were bullish for this year, we did not see any stock market crash coming (a year ago). Right now, we are now on record with a forecast of a stock market crash in 2018, and it could take place as early as the first weeks / months of 2018.
En bourse, personne de peut vous assurer un rendement. Vous êtes à la merci des marchés. Vous pouvez consulter l’historique du portefeuille et espérer que la tendance se maintienne. Mais, gardez en tête que vous pouvez perdre (surtout à court terme). L’important est de garder une vision à long terme. Par exemple, les portefeuilles GPS ont un horizon de placement de cinq ans.
I can’t thank you enough for your insight and accuracy in astrology since over the years you have been an absolute Godsend for me—thank you! I quote and reference you all time! As an American with a DOB is 11/17/65 @ 5:05pm CST involved with a person with DOB 5/13/60, the current astro-climate has seem extremely relentless when it comes to work, boss, co-workers, relationship, and home. I’m really concerned with the upcoming Uranus in Taurus astro, what should I/we do to ride this out? Will Chiron in Aries ease some of this or make it worse?
Bernanke said in March 2007 that the sub-prime mortgage mess could be “contained.” And Greenspan famously inveighed against the stock market’s “irrational exuberance” in 1996. If you listened to him then and exited stocks, you would rue your decision: The market had a fabulous run for the next four years. Rogers is a perma-bear about domestic stocks, who has been downbeat since the 1980s (he is famously enthusiastic about emerging markets, though).