Though we don't know what will motivate a future market crash, it's likely to be something that will ultimately be recovered from if history is any guide. The economy and society are very flexible. Industries, and even countries, can rise and fall over time, but if you have a global, well-diversified and lower cost portfolio, then you should be well-positioned. This is an area where diversification helps. If you spread your bets it will likely help. You'll probably find that the next crisis centers on a specific country, part of the globe or investment theme. If you've spread your bets through diversification, then you'll undoubtedly have some assets that fall in value, perhaps alarmingly, but often certain assets can do well during certain crises such as high-quality bonds, more defensive or inexpensive parts of the stock market, or commodities including gold.
I wrote a Guest Blog Entry re the new Returns-Sequence Reality Checker calculator that appears today at the Consumerism Commentary blog. It's called The Good Side of Stocks' Lost Decade. Juicy Excerpt: The reason why I call the calculator “The Reality Checker” is that it throws doubt on one of our most fundamental beliefs about stock investing — that positive returns are good and that negative returns are bad. It’s not hard to understand why most of us think that. If your stock…
If you could only listen to one person's advice during a stock market crash, let that person be famed investor, Warren Buffett. Not only will the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) (NYSE: BRK-A) chairman and CEO's advice serve you well, but his knack for keeping a clear head -- and even getting a bit greedy (more on that later) -- when everyone else is selling, may make his the only advice you need to navigate uncertain times.

Even better than not selling stocks during a recession is to actually go on the offense. In bull markets, investors can occasionally find reasonably priced, wonderful businesses. But they can rarely find wonderful businesses trading at a significant discount to their fair value. Stock market crashes are the rare times when high-quality businesses can be found in the clearance aisle. Go shopping!


One of the interesting features of the NYSE horoscope is the afflicted nature of Mercury. This is ironic in a way since Mercury is the planet of trading. Nonetheless, one compelling way to judge the effects of this troubled Mercury is to assess its effect on market performance over the years. Since the antardasha (aka subperiod, or bhukti) period is shorter, we can find several instances over the past 100 years or so and thereby correlate stock prices during the time it was subperiod lord.
“Across assets, these projections look tame relative to what the GFC delivered and probably unalarming relative to the recession/crisis averages” of the past, JPMorgan strategists John Normand and Federico Manicardi wrote, noting that during the recession and ensuing global financial crisis the S&P 500 fell 54 per cent from its peak. “We would nudge them all at least to their historical norms due to the wildcard from structurally less-liquid markets.”
A core part of the Tesco expansion strategy[103] has been its innovative use of technology.[104] It was one of the first to build self-service tills and use cameras to reduce queues, and an early adopter of NFC contactless payment card technology.[105] In 2016, Tesco developed a mobile payment wallet, PayQwiq using both NFC contactless and barcode technology to allow payment using mobile phones in-shop (along with supporting other contactless mobile wallets such as ApplePay).[106]
Any backlash won’t come until after NASDANQ is live. The team has been working on the project since August, but Vaisman admits “it’s taking some time.” He says once the NASDANQ website launches (at a to-be-determined date, with a mobile app coming later), the algorithm will probably have to be tweaked several times before it feels accurate. Wink says the ultimate goal is to find “the equation for one meme across every website and every platform.”
Stacey, your son needs to educate and update, on a constant basis, from this point forward and step it up, from the middle of May. This is not going to be the same world. Over the course of many years we will move away from banks and towards communities of friends who strike property or cryptocurrency deals with each other. All the old rules you and he knew will vanish in the revolution as Uranus (radical change, freedom, independence) goes through Taurus (money, houses, apartments, shopping, salary) and the age of Capricorn (the bankers, the multimillionaire politicians) ends in 2020, to be replaced by the Aquarius era, gathering speed from 2023. If ever there was a time to be open to all that is new and different, it’s now. Forget borrowing money from banks and paying them back interest, or borrowing money on credit cards. Forget banks ‘knowing best’ about where to invest your money. Those days are going, going, gone. I suspect the legal offshore tax avoidance by the super-rich (and of course the money laundering) may also, soon, be a thing of the past too. Different planet.
The Federal Reserve calls itself “independent,” but it is independent only of government. It marches to the drums of the banks that are its private owners. To prevent another Great Recession or Great Depression, Congress needs to amend the Federal Reserve Act, nationalize the Fed, and turn it into a public utility, one that is responsive to the needs of the public and the economy.
Genuis and DK: Ten dollar bills and twenties’s mainly and some hundred dollar bills in a house safe. good idea: pvc pipe with currency stashed under other pipe, like in the shed. make sure there are end caps to keep bugs out. Lots of canned sardines, spam, salmon, beans, chicken, canned veggies, etc. None of this long term crap that is loaded with sodium and fillers. After I’ve taken money out of my account, more is deposited from retirement/brokerage accounts soon after, and I have to repeat the cycle again. Many can relate to this endless cycle.
Une plateforme de courtage en ligne vous permettra plus de flexibilité. Toutes les grandes banques offrent une telle plateforme. Personellement, j’utilise BMO Ligne d’action. Vous pouvez faire vos recherches, mais peut-être utiliser votre banque comme point de départ. Dans tout les cas, l’institution choisie vous assistera dans le processus d’ouverture de compte.
“The shift from active to passive asset management, and specifically the decline of active value investors, reduces the ability of the market to prevent and recover from large drawdowns,” Joyce Chang and Jan Loeys wrote in the Monday note. Actively managed accounts make up only about one-third of equity assets under management, with active single-name trading responsible for just 10 per cent or so of trading volume, JPMorgan estimates.
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Though he hails from a little-known town in southeastern Nepal called Jhapa, Vashistha has gained international recognition for his ability to read the stars. In 2017, he was named the best astrologer in Asia by the Asian Astrologer Congress and the World Astrology Federation. His readings focus more on substantive geopolitical predictions and personal fortunes than hokey horoscope drivel, and his regular clients include Nepal’s Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba, Bollywood actress Manisha Koirala, and American celebrities whose names he wouldn’t reveal. All of them treat his readings as gospel, so seldom is he wrong.
According to the NYSE TICK, or uptick minus downtick, index, at precisely 2:43pm, the selling order flood was so big it not only surpassed the acute liquidation that was observed around 3PM on Wednesday, but the -1,793 print was one that had not been seen for 8 years: as Bay Crest Partners technical analyst Jonathan Krinsky wrote, the sudden and violent surge in selling as measured by the TICK index, when downtick volume overpowered upticks, was the lowest reading since the May 6, 2010 “flash crash” when liquidity dried up in markets, sending the market plummeting for a few minutes, as HFT briefly went haywire (or when a spoofer outsmarted the algos, depending on what version of events one believes).
However, if China’s economy falters it might. Geopolitical turmoil concerning North Korea, Iran, Syria or Russia could also become a catalyst if things escalate enough. It’s most likely that the next market crash, whenever it occurs, will be the result of a perfect storm caused by several factors. But, since it’s not something anyone can predict, it’s best to concentrate on being prepared for a crash whenever it may occur.
The Investor’s Scenario SurferI have run this calculator hundreds of time. it is in my assessment the most powerful tool for learning how stock investing works available today. You have the option of choosing a new stock allocation in each year of a realistic 30-year sequence of returns. You can compare your results with what you would have achieved with a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You will find that Valuation-Informed Indexing strategies yield larger portfolios in 90 percent of your tests of the concept. What matters is what happens in the long term! This tool tells you what strategies give the best results in the long term.
Special Course Features:- 1.Special Day Trading Techniques2.Course from 2006.3.Reasonable Fees.4.Very useful for traders, investors, beginners, employees, businessman, housewives, VRS person, students.5.Small batch size 6.Course material provided.7.Personal attention to every student.8.Daily (Monday to Friday) as well as Saturday & Sunday batch is also available.9.After course support provided.10.Flexible batch timing available11.No age or education bar.12.English, Marathi & Hindi batches available.13.Online batch through Skype available.14.Practical training provided.15.Virtual trading software provided.16.Previous knowledge of Share Market not required.
Évidemment, les conseillers financiers jouent sur la peur pour éviter de nous perdre comme client. Aussi, dans la culture populaire on dit « jouer à la bourse », comme s’il s’agissait de « gambling ». En fait, ce n’est pas de la science nucléaire! Comme vous dites, la procédure est plus simple que plusieurs applications/jeux que les gens utilisent déjà. Il suffit de se renseigner et expérimenter graduellement.
After a very brief rally earlier in the week, stocks have been getting hammered again.  The S&P 500 has now fallen for 9 out of the last 11 trading sessions, and homebuilder stocks have now fallen for 19 of the last 22 trading sessions.  It was a “sea of red” on Thursday, and some of the stocks that are widely considered to be “economic bellwethers” were among those that got hit the hardest…
Le rapport présente le « portrait d'un marché si fragmenté et fragile qu'une seule grande transaction pouvait faire partir les actions en spirale »trad 1,12. Il explique en détail comment une grande firme de fonds mutuel, vendant une quantité inhabituellement importante de contrats E-Mini (en) S&P 500, a dans un premier temps épuisé les acheteurs disponibles, et comment ensuite les machines à algorithmes effectuant les transactions à haute fréquence (HFT) ont commencé à vendre de manière agressive, accélérant l'effet de vente du fonds mutuel et contribuant à la forte baisse de la valeur12,13.

(en) http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1686004 [archive] The Flash Crash: The Impact of High Frequency Trading on an Electronic Market (Le crack éclair ; Les impacts du marché haute fréquence sur un marché électronique ), par Andrei A. Kirilenko (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) Albert S. Kyle (University of Maryland; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)) Mehrdad Samadi (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) Tugkan Tuzun (University of Maryland – Robert H. Smith School of Business), 2010-10-01
I will consider here three diseases that are a threat to mankind: AIDS, Ebola , and Influenza. The virus that causes AIDS, HIV, was discovered in 1983, so we will associate AIDS with the number 83. The galaxy M83 is in the constellation Hydra, which was a multi-headed serpent in mythology that kept growing a new head, each time a head was cut off. This sounds like AIDS, which keeps mutating to allow it to get around any treatment or vaccine. The Hydra was defeated by Hercules, by his nephew Iolaus burning each of the mortal heads as Hercules cut them off, and burying the immortal head under a stone. I wonder if this mythology story could somehow be a clue on how to treat AIDS? Note that the AIDS virus has 9213=111x83 bits of genetic information, so again we see the number 83 again.
Memes, Recess, and Depression: A Short History Lesson 1928 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by the Great Depression, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2000 Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Followed shortly by two recessions including the Great Recession, massive unemployment and a Stock Market crash. 2016-Republicans take control of the Presidency, the House and the Senate. Anyone want to guess what happens next? Real Truth Ayup. Image from Real Truth Now.

Set forth below are links to eight Guest Blog Entries that I have written on the Valuation-Informed Indexing investing strategy or that others have written commenting on it (actually one is about the Passion Saving strategy of money management -- how did that one get mixed in?!). 1) Stock Volatility Kills, at the Moolanomy blog. 2) Why Long-Term Timing Works Even Though Short-Term Timing Doesn't, at the Money and Such blog. 3) We're All Better Off as a Result of the Stock Crash, at the…
Of course your sister works in a bank – Mars in Taurus is suited to that. Uranus will not cross her Mars completely until 2019 so she has time, but essentially everything from climate change, to new banks, to new government rules, to devaluation of currency (and of course cryptocurrency) is going to sweep her world, very quickly. She can make this work for her but she’s going to have to be in the first wave.
Pour les profils d’investisseurs, si je pouvais me replonger dans mes chaussures de mes 20 ans, j’oublierais cette notion. À moins d’avoir besoin de l’argent pour un projet comme acheter une maison, il n’y a pas vraiment de raison d’être conservateur à 25 ou 30 ans (sauf si ça vous empêche de dormir la nuit disons). Les conseillers financiers devraient, plutôt que de dresser un profil d’investisseurs, éduquer leurs jeunes clients et les convaincre que les fluctuations de la valeur de leurs actions à 25 ans n’a absolument aucune incidence sur le montant qu’ils auront à 65 ans. Une fois que tu en es convaincu, tu dors la nuit et on a plus besoin de profils d’investisseurs 🙂 et 35 ans après, 100% en actions offre toujours un meilleur rendement que n’importe quelle combinaison d’actions et d’obligations.

In short selling, the trader borrows stock (usually from his brokerage which holds its clients' shares or its own shares on account to lend to short sellers) then sells it on the market, betting that the price will fall. The trader eventually buys back the stock, making money if the price fell in the meantime and losing money if it rose. Exiting a short position by buying back the stock is called "covering." This strategy may also be used by unscrupulous traders in illiquid or thinly traded markets to artificially lower the price of a stock. Hence most markets either prevent short selling or place restrictions on when and how a short sale can occur. The practice of naked shorting is illegal in most (but not all) stock markets.

The level of panic that we witnessed on Wall Street on Wednesday was breathtaking.  After a promising start to the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average started plunging, and at the close it was down another 608 points.  Since peaking at 26,951.81 on October 3rd, the Dow has now fallen 2,368 points, and all of the gains for 2018 have been completely wiped out.  But things are even worse when we look at the Nasdaq.  The percentage decline for the Nasdaq almost doubled the Dow’s stunning plunge on Wednesday, and it has now officially entered correction territory.  To say that it was a “bloodbath” for tech stocks on Wednesday would be a major understatement.  Several big name tech stocks were in free fall mode as panic swept through the marketplace like wildfire.  As I noted the other day, October 2018 looks a whole lot like October 2008, and many believe that the worst is yet to come.
This does not mean that successful investing is impossible; only that the more we learn about market behavior, the more it seems that trying to deal with uncertainty is more important than pretending that we can have any certainty. More precisely, managing risk seems to be a better approach to investing than concocting forecasts on asset returns. This could mean, for example, finding ways of identifying when market participants start to align on one side of a trade by measuring correlations, or measuring returns to flash a warning when they start growing at “super-exponential” rates.
Being a renowned astrologer is a bit like being a chess grandmaster: Lesser practitioners know how the pieces move, but virtuosos see the interconnectedness of each piece in solving the larger puzzle. That's to say that most astrologers can read natal charts and tick off a laundry list of future possibilities based on a set of rote rules related to planetary positioning, but Vashistha incorporates peerless astrology knowledge gained in formal academic training and experience with thousands of clients: He got his master’s in astrology at Banaras Hindu University in Varanasi, India, and a Ph.D. in raja yoga, a part of Hindu astrology focused on planetary situations that indicate wealth and power. He sees the whole board, as it were. 

I’m ready, but nervous. IF, this is the big one, and you are wanting this or think you will pop some corn and enjoy the show, then you are unaware of the big picture. Yes it may be enjoyable for a while (I get no joy from this BTW), it WILL effect you in ways you haven’t yet thought of. Yes those of us that are prepared will weather it better than those not prepared, but this isn’t going to be fun in the long run.


Thank you. Before you do anything else, realise that you have Pluto at 1 Scorpio in the Eighth House of banks, currency and business. Starting slowly on May 15th and intensifying in June, Uranus (shock, revolution) will pass 1 Taurus and oppose that. So you will experience transiting Uranus opposite Pluto and that is going to change your world. When you say you work for a small bank taken over by a foreign investor, it is really clear that global shifts will personally affect you. In general you will benefit from the changes this year as you have a Scorpio stellium, apart from Pluto, later in the sign and Jupiter with all his solutions, breakthroughs and big answers will be in the later degrees of Scorpio from this point onwards, until November. Jupiter conjunct your Mars at 26 Scorpio in October brings gains, benefits and advantages to your personal ‘push’ over the money, house, business, charity, possessions or house, across the European Autumn. Before you get there, though, you do need to take a deep breath and find out exactly who and what you will be dealing with, in this unpredictable new world, and so you really do need to walk your way through May, June and the following months to get the measure of it all. This is not the world any of us ever knew.
I have no illusions about the Islamic world. 9/11 was only the start. Anybody who has read the Koran knows that it is a book of violence teaching violence against infidels. The Koran appeals to believers to conquer foreign lands and subjugate the natives. The last time the West has successfully forced out Islam was in 1683 at the Gates of Vienna. As a result, European civilisation could flourish and develop freedom and democracy. This time Europe will take a much more sinister turn, and a dark and bloody age will follow. As Europeans we have stopped believing in our own values. We are certainly not willing to defend them in this postmodern age of cultural relativism. We have become complacent and take our freedoms for granted to the extent that we cannot imagine any other circumstances. In future, Europeans, including the UK, will be truly tested. They will have to decide which values they believe in and what they are prepared to defend.
Suddenly you have to judge what happens – as it happens. You have to forget what you thought you knew. Whom you relied upon, minutes before. Everything is illuminated. Sheets and forks of lightning brilliantly expose the town below, as if it was daylight. You’re going to have to make this up as you go along, from this point on. This is exactly what the astrology advises from May 2018 onwards, right through 2019. See the light. Move according to the storm.
I have also seen L.A. In rubble from an earthquake. I was shown a part of the polar shelf breaking free and causing flooding on the east coast. I foresee that subway systems should be watched closely this year around the world. There is an extreme increase in spiritual awareness and unconditional love is openly embraced. I predict that the upper management of corporate banks are investigated and there will be arrests and thus starts the fall of the powerful.

I recently posted a Guest Blog Entry at the Free  Money Wisdom blog. It's titled What If Everything You Thought You Knew About Stock Investing Turned Out to be Wrong? Juicy Excerpt: Pfau’s most recent paper examines the one study that really did conclude that long-term timing does not work. The new paper states that: “Valuation-based market timing demonstrates greater potential to improve risk-adjusted returns for conservative long-term investors than given credit by Fisher and Statman…


Since the early 1990s, many of the largest exchanges have adopted electronic 'matching engines' to bring together buyers and sellers, replacing the open outcry system. Electronic trading now accounts for the majority of trading in many developed countries. Computer systems were upgraded in the stock exchanges to handle larger trading volumes in a more accurate and controlled manner. The SEC modified the margin requirements in an attempt to lower the volatility of common stocks, stock options and the futures market. The New York Stock Exchange and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange introduced the concept of a circuit breaker. The circuit breaker halts trading if the Dow declines a prescribed number of points for a prescribed amount of time. In February 2012, the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) introduced single-stock circuit breakers.[66]

Experienced investors who are “sophisticated enough to focus on these numbers and act on them themselves” can benefit by making their own adjustments, Mr. Davis said. Tried-and true investments like balanced funds and target date funds (which become more conservative as a given date nears) can make basic adjustments for you. Advisers can do this as well.
And because memes can have different lifespans on different platforms, they never really die, which is important to consider if you’re in the market to sell. “Memes have a tendency to resurge,” Wink says. “You’ll have a meme gain popularity, die out in a month, and then a year later suddenly it’s very popular again. Kermit has had three iterations that have died and then come back.”
Danger at Balmoral – (added on 13 January 2018) My dreams sometimes prove true so have added this: I dreamed of being at the Queen’s Balmoral Estate and talking to a Scotsman gamekeeper. The man had the face of a dog covered in ginger hair.  He says the estate is safe but I show him three silver darts and say that these could be used for an assassination.  It is then repeated that it is a secure estate.  I point to a wall with hate graffiti and threats to the queen. “So how did that get there?” I say. This dream may, of course, be my fervent imagination. Nonetheless, I post it here today as was such a vivid dream and maybe an insight into a future event.
Record, Stock Market, and Time: THE STOCK MARKET JUST REACHED AN ALL-TIME HIGH DURING MY ADMINISTRATION FOR THE 102ND TIME, A PRESIDENTIAL RECORD, BY FAR, FOR LESS THAN TWO YEARS. SO MUCH POTENTIAL AS TRADE AND MILITARY DEALS ARE COMPLETED ATAGAN @realDonaldTrump The stock market just reached an ALL-TIME HIGH during my administration for the 102nd time!
Stock market crashes are social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behavior and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions:[1] a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where P/E ratios (Price-Earning ratio) exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants. Other aspects such as wars, large-corporation hacks, changes in federal laws and regulations, and natural disasters of highly economically productive areas may also influence a significant decline in the NYSE value of a wide range of stocks. All such stock drops may result in the rise of stock prices for corporations competing against the affected corporations.
It now looks like the secular bull market in stocks is turning into a secular bear market that could last for several years if not decades. The stock market acts as a sentiment indicator for what happens in the real economy. No indicator is perfect and stock market moves will be exaggerated in both directions. It is now likely that the world is starting an economic downturn of epic proportions.
Courtyard of the Amsterdam Stock Exchange (Beurs van Hendrick de Keyser) by Emanuel de Witte, 1653. The Amsterdam Stock Exchange is said to have been the first stock exchange to introduce continuous trade in the early 17th century. The process of buying and selling the VOC's shares, on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange, became the basis of the world's first official (formal) stock market.[30][31]
I just wonder if the revolutions in countries in the Middle East could bring them closer to Russia and Putin the Antichrist. Perhaps this will lead to the Middle East War described in Ezekiel and also Revelation 16 as Armageddon, that it could be an alliance of Middle East and North Africa countries that will form a military alliance with Russia led by the Antichrist Putin. What Middle Eastern countries will next see revolution? Where will these revolutions lead? It could work out well, with peaceful democracies in these countries. On the other hand, the French Revolution resulted in a bloodbath in France, and a monstrous dictator Napoleon who resulted in war across Europe. And the Russian Revolution resulted in the Soviet Union, and millions murdered by Stalin. So revolutions can work out well like the American Revolution did, but sometimes they don't. War in the Middle East could result from these changes, the Second Horseman of the Apocalypse War riding in 2018-2019. And if political unrest comes to Pakistan, with all its nuclear weapons, that could be a major concern. Also watch out for: North Korea attacking South Korea, or war in the Middle East.
A 'soft' EMH has emerged which does not require that prices remain at or near equilibrium, but only that market participants not be able to systematically profit from any momentary market 'inefficiencies'. Moreover, while EMH predicts that all price movement (in the absence of change in fundamental information) is random (i.e., non-trending), many studies have shown a marked tendency for the stock market to trend over time periods of weeks or longer. Various explanations for such large and apparently non-random price movements have been promulgated. For instance, some research has shown that changes in estimated risk, and the use of certain strategies, such as stop-loss limits and value at risk limits, theoretically could cause financial markets to overreact. But the best explanation seems to be that the distribution of stock market prices is non-Gaussian[57] (in which case EMH, in any of its current forms, would not be strictly applicable).[58][59]
I have good reasons why i prep. I just dont have any confidence in govenment and am no convinved that covernment and city officials, etites etc are busy sitting around worry thier entitles asses off worry about me not eating or having a hard time. Or i am being too paranoid. Agency ass clowns think that you all are so dumb to relax and so that they can steer thinking by convine shtf-effers that i have bad grammar and can’t spell.

Welcome to the July 2012 Carnival of Passive Investing, a monthly collection of the best and most intelligent Passive Investing strategy articles around the internet. Some people foolishly want to beat the market (want being the key word) but we just want to invest with it. The purpose of the carnival is two-fold: To provide a forum to showcase articles and research in passive investing strategies (i.e. investing in ETFs, index mutual funds, etc. in such a way that one avoids…


In March 2007, residents in Bournville, Birmingham fought to maintain the historic alcohol-free status of the area, in winning a court battle with Tesco, to prevent it selling alcohol at their local outlet. No shops are permitted to sell alcohol in the area and there are no pubs, bars or fast-food outlets in Bournville due to its Quaker roots.[148]
Also, note that the woman is holding a cup full of abominations and filthiness - the cup could be the CERN LHC particle accelerator, which is circular in shape, and the abominations could be the strange and dangerous particles the LHC creates, including Black Holes and Strangelets that could destroy earth. Note that the CERN LHC had a large increase in power in 2015, making creation of a black hole more likely.
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Johnson's advice rings true regardless of whether or not you DIY or hire somebody to manage your wealth for you. In this article, we’re going to lay out some of the ways people can give themselves a crash course in investing. But first, it should be noted that to avoid feeling overwhelmed you should pick an area that interests you and start there. For example, do you want to learn more about real estate investing? Then stick to that and avoid everything else for now.
Another phenomenon—also from psychology—that works against an objective assessment is group thinking. As social animals, it is not easy to stick to an opinion that differs markedly from that of a majority of the group. An example with which one may be familiar is the reluctance to enter a restaurant that is empty; people generally prefer to have their opinion validated by those of others in the group.

Shilling is particularly worried about the $8 trillion in dollar-denominated emerging-market corporate and sovereign debt, especially as the U.S. dollar rises along with interest rates. “The problem is as the dollar increases,” he said, “it gets tougher and tougher for them to service [that debt] because it takes more and more of their local currency to do so.” Of that, $249 billion must be repaid or refinanced through next year, Bloomberg reported.


Behaviorists argue that investors often behave irrationally when making investment decisions thereby incorrectly pricing securities, which causes market inefficiencies, which, in turn, are opportunities to make money.[63] However, the whole notion of EMH is that these non-rational reactions to information cancel out, leaving the prices of stocks rationally determined.
Je suis d’accord avec toi que ce type de société semble devenir de plus en plus populaire. Il y a peu de temps, j’ai vu sur leur compte Twitter que Justin Trudeau était même venu visiter leurs bureaux. Par contre, quand j’ai parlé de Wealthsimple à ma banque (je suis chez Desjardins), il m’ont dit qu’il n’avait jamais entendu parler de cette compagnie… (si c’est vrai, je m’inquiète un peu pour eux car il me semble qu’une banque se doit de connaître un minimum la concurrence).
Likewise, stock prices have defeated all forecasting efforts, and may well belong to the same set of basic unpredictability. While occasionally somebody may seem to be on the right side of an investment ahead of a big move, this is a far cry from actually forecasting such move with any kind of precision in terms of timing and size. For each “hunch” that is successful, a myriad others fail. Despite anecdotes, there seems to be no clear evidence that investors who get a big move “right” are anything but lucky.

After the experience of the 1929 crash, stock markets around the world instituted measures to suspend trading in the event of rapid declines, claiming that the measures would prevent such panic sales. However, the one-day crash of Black Monday, October 19, 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 22.6%, was worse in percentage terms than any single day of the 1929 crash (although the combined 25% decline of October 28–29, 1929 was larger than October 19, 1987, and remains the worst two-day decline ever).[citation needed]
Thank you for all! I got intrigued by my first encounter with your work a few months ago when I was googling something Uranus and came upon your prognostication from a year ago about this Uranus-Taurus passage. I was hooked! My husband and I have been in flux for nearly six years now and have had all manner of our home situation bandied about, along with complete career changes. It’s been unreal yet has forced us to deep spiritual roots. Anyway, any insights about the future of our homes/homelife is appreciated…. much gratitude for your forthright, bold writing and insights.
It’s beyond Black Monday. The next stock market crash will combine the effects of Black Monday with the tech bubble of 1999-2000 and the recession that resulted from the crash of 2007-2008. The Shiller CAPE ratio, which measures a stock’s performance by comparing its price against earnings over a 10-year period, has reached the very point when Alan Greenspan pronounced his famous “irrational exuberance” speech. (Source: “The stock market’s valuation is back to the point where Greenspan warned of ‘irrational exuberance’,” CNBC, October 31, 2017.)
Prolonging the good times into September will require navigating a calendar full of pitfalls. Of primary concern are emerging markets, where currency and other assets are weakening and some say contagion will worsen. The big risk is on the trade front with President Donald Trump said to want to move ahead with a plan to impose tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports as soon as next week.

The “next” Buddha will be born September 3rd of 2016. Born not in the sense of coming out of a womb but of spiritual birth. It will take years for this person to reach their potential and for all to recognize this person as the fifth Buddha. The end of the world starts at the end of 2016 sometime around September, October, November and/or December. This does not mean the world will end physically but that a new way of life, the Age of Aquarius, is just beginning. It’ll take centuries for us to reach that enlightenment. The last Pope, Pope Francis, will not be literally the last Pope but the last Pope before the end of time starts. Just as President Obama was predicted to be the last president before the end of the world. It does not mean there will not be other presidents. The seven years of tribulations starts somewhere by 2016 -2018. (First cleansing or warning). The Second Great Tribulation will occur, according to what I received, probably around 2050-2060. As evil will run rampant in the world still this great cleansing (great devastation )must come for those that are ready to bring about the thousand years of peace (for humankind’s sake and for the planets healing). For those will be the ones that survive and bring…


I love reading these and often look again for any updates. The world seems to be lurching in to ever more chaos. I hope that things do improve with the war situation overall. We really do not want more war, what we need is peace, harmony and for all the third world countries to be stable and for those people to have the same opportunities as those in the western world. Then there will be peace.
J’ai vécu un peu le même cheminement. Au début de mon parcours, j’investissais dans des fonds communs de placement jusqu’à ce que je réalise que les frais de gestion (3%) sont scandaleux. Puis, je me suis tourné vers le « stock picking ». J’achetais 15-20 titres d’entreprises à travers un compte de courtage en ligne. Certes, ceci nécessitait pas mal de temps et d’énergie pour suivre les titres en question. Plus, je pense qu’il est quasi impossible de battre le rendement du marché de façon constante à long terme. Alors, je me tourne désormais vers les FNB. Le rendement est approximativement le même (sur le long terme), les frais sont très bas et les transactions beaucoup moins nombreuses (3-4 titres à acheter).
Taki has +15 years of experience in global markets. His methodology is unique and effective, yet easy to understand; it is based on chart analysis combined with intermarket / fundamental / sentiment analysis. His work appeared on major financial outlets like FinancialSense, MarketWatch, ... Email: taki.tsaklanos@gmail.com. Twitter: twitter.com/investinghaven
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D’où l’intérêt pour les FNB! Étant donné que chacun de ces fonds comporte des centaines d’entreprises, il est moins coûteux de se monter un portefeuille diversifié. Par exemple, dans mon cas, j’investis dans un FNB constitué de titres canadiens, un autre constitué de titres américains et un autre comprenant le reste du monde. Donc, avec seulement trois fonds, j’obtiens une diversification géographique.
Le fonds New Canada de Mawer génère un rendement moyen annualisé net de 11.25% depuis 10 ans contre 1,16% pour l’indice de référence. Ce fonds affiche un rendement moyen net de 13,6% depuis sa création en 1988 (frais de gestion: 1,35%). Si vous patientez pendant 30 ans, vous seriez plus riche aujourd’hui (malheureusement ce fonds est fermé aux investisseurs).

Watch out for economic chaos in 2019 - 2020, and watch what Putin the Antichrist, the 1st horseman, is doing in Russia, such as invading Ukraine and intervening in Syria. Relate to Revelation 15 plagues. The 4th horseman Death could be riding as a Flu epidemic, possibly Bird Flu, Zika virus SARS. Disasters for the world in 2019 - 2020: flu epidemic, earthquakes, volcanos, solar flares, asteroids hit earth, the Antichrist Putin. The 2nd horseman War and 3rd horseman economic chaos riding in 2019 - 2020.
The equity market actually peaked in late 2007, and appeared to be undergoing a correction in early 2008. However, after a brief recovery in April 2008 failed to reach the all-time highs, the market fell for the following 11 months. By March 2009 the S&P 500 index had fallen more than 55%. Unprecedented action by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy and market led to the beginning of the bull market that has continued until today.
Tesco's financial crisis of 2014[163] led to their reducing their capital expenditure on new shops, which led to the boarding up of new unopened shops in Chatteris, Cambridgeshire[164] and Immingham, Lincolnshire.[165] The controversial Chatteris mothballing caused local criticism after the £22 million project had re-routed a river and built a controversial roundabout and underpass, whereas the much anticipated Immingham development demolished a local shopping centre and closed several local shops to enable its construction. The impending arrival of Tesco also contributed to the Co-operative's decision to close their shop in the town.[166] Tesco's announcing the indefinite delay in their shop opening left the town of around 15,000 inhabitants without a supermarket. Tesco went ahead with the opening of shops in Little Lever,[167] Dunfermline[168] and Rotherham.[169]
Évidemment, les conseillers financiers jouent sur la peur pour éviter de nous perdre comme client. Aussi, dans la culture populaire on dit « jouer à la bourse », comme s’il s’agissait de « gambling ». En fait, ce n’est pas de la science nucléaire! Comme vous dites, la procédure est plus simple que plusieurs applications/jeux que les gens utilisent déjà. Il suffit de se renseigner et expérimenter graduellement.
Genuis and DK: Ten dollar bills and twenties’s mainly and some hundred dollar bills in a house safe. good idea: pvc pipe with currency stashed under other pipe, like in the shed. make sure there are end caps to keep bugs out. Lots of canned sardines, spam, salmon, beans, chicken, canned veggies, etc. None of this long term crap that is loaded with sodium and fillers. After I’ve taken money out of my account, more is deposited from retirement/brokerage accounts soon after, and I have to repeat the cycle again. Many can relate to this endless cycle.
Please note this is a very technical book for the general public. You don't need a PhD to understand it, but you do need to be comfortable with data plots and discussions of equations. You also need more than a general understanding of statistics; concepts such as correlation, regression, and model fit should not be intimidating to you. Some background in Physics will also be helpful, especially if you already understand the equation of oscillatory motion.
Unfortunately, you can’t use iTunes to find the best finance podcasts – especially when it comes to investing. Their ranking isn’t great, and some of their top-rated investing podcasts haven’t published an episode in decades. In this case, you’re far better off searching on Google and starting your search from there. Some investing podcasts of note are Radical Personal Finance, BiggerPockets and Good Financial Cents. Podcasts are especially great for audio learners or individuals who learn best by hearing the experiences of others. Their portability also makes them very accessible – listen to them on your commute, while you cook or while you clean.
Venus will enter Leo sign on 4th and will be under the aspect of Mars. There will be rise in the rates of Gold & Silver. The demand in the grains & commodities like peanuts & sesame will be noticed. Sun will enter Cancer sign on 16th, Monday and thereby conjoin Mercury & Rahu. These three planets will be under the aspect of Mars. The rates of dairy & beverages stocks (Hatsun, Kwality, Parag & Manpasand etc) will go down. Petro stocks may also see decline in the demand (BPCL, Chennai Petro & IOC etc). Rains will be normal. Bullions will see selling trend. Stocks indices will also see depressing sentiments.
On Black Monday, the markets were a bit different than today. That’s the explanation that many market optimists like to offer when they explain why another Black Monday can’t happen. That is, the market cannot lose some 23% of its value in a single trading session. They might be right, but in the opposite direction. The markets now have human as well as computer input through so-called robot trading. They have more variables and are more complicated. But information and risks travel much faster. If anything, the risks of a major market crash are higher today.
You predicted a hard Brexit and at the last minute Germany would press the EU to do a deal. Reading recently and with the vote in parliament along with several capitulations, I am beginning to get really concerned that the vote to leave will not be respected and we never leave. What now for the UK? It looks bad news. Are you still confident in what you have predicted, I truly hope you are right.
Usually, HFT programs and computer trading works without a hitch. But once in a while problems do crop up. Back on Aug. 24, 2015, the United States’ three major stock indexes plunged on the open, but would recover much of their losses by midday. Among the reasons blamed for the dip were market makers and HFT traders. With so many stocks within the S&P 500 failing to open on time, and a number of exchange-traded funds under trading halts, HFTs and other high-speed traders shut down their systems, removing much-needed liquidity from the marketplace and exacerbating the early-day decline.
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