I’ve posted Entry #418 to my weekly Valuation-Informed Indexing column at the Value Walk site. It’s called The Shiller Revolution Is About Shifting the Focus from Economics to Emotions. Juicy Excerpt: The Shiller investor would have been frightened by those gains. He would not have seen them as something to celebrate; he would likely have characterized them as “out of control.” All investors want the market to be as rational as possible; we have our retirement money invested in it. The difference, though, is that Buy-and-Holders see nothing concerning about big price gains — they are caused by economic developments as much as are small gains. Valuation-Informed Indexers, in contrast, see bull-market gains as emotion-generated gains. Times of high valuations are times of irrational exuberance. The times in which the market delivers big gains are the most dangerous times for stock investors. Related PostsValuation-Informed Indexing #267: Take Valuations Seriously and You Will Discover Things That You Were Not Initially Even Seeking to DiscoverValuation-Informed Indexing #260 : Shiller’s Ideas Should Be Treated as Mainstream IdeasValuation-Informed Indexing #268: Chase Utley’s “Dirty” Slide and Robert Shiller’s “Dirty” ResearchValuation-Informed Indexing #265: P/E10 Permits Us to Quantify Investor EmotionValuation-Informed Indexing #261: Unlike Long-Term Returns, Short-Term Return Sequences Are Highly UnpredictableValuation-Informed Indexing #255: How Developments Like the Greek Debt Crisis Affect Stock Prices
The rise of the institutional investor has brought with it some improvements in market operations. There has been a gradual tendency for "fixed" (and exorbitant) fees being reduced for all investors, partly from falling administration costs but also assisted by large institutions challenging brokers' oligopolistic approach to setting standardized fees.[citation needed] A current trend in stock market investments includes the decrease in fees due to computerized asset management termed Robo Advisers within the industry. Automation has decreased portfolio management costs by lowering the cost associated with investing as a whole.
Welcome to the July 2012 Carnival of Passive Investing, a monthly collection of the best and most intelligent Passive Investing strategy articles around the internet. Some people foolishly want to beat the market (want being the key word) but we just want to invest with it. The purpose of the carnival is two-fold: To provide a forum to showcase articles and research in passive investing strategies (i.e. investing in ETFs, index mutual funds, etc. in such a way that one avoids…
America, Anaconda, and Isis: When your GDP growth is higher than anyone expected, ISIS is on the run, the stock market is skyrocketing, and China is cooperating with you against North Korea, but the media still says your presidency is a failure. Despite historic Democrat obstructionism, President Trump has worked with Congress to pass more legislation in his first 100 days than any President since Truman, appointed a Supreme Court Justice, withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, dismantling Obama-Era Regulations, President Trump Has Reduced The Debt By Over $100 Billion, Illegal crossings from border down 61%, Stock market has gained over 3 trillion dollars since he was electedBest numbers from small businesses since 1984, Saved jobs from going overseas such as intel, wal-mart, exxon mobil, carrier, ford, general motors, fiat chrysler, sprint, one web, and softbank. Trump has also created over 1 million private sector jobs since january more than any other president liberal maga conservative constitution like follow presidenttrump resist stupidliberals merica america stupiddemocrats donaldtrump trump2016 patriot trump yeeyee presidentdonaldtrump draintheswamp makeamericagreatagain trumptrain triggered Partners --------------------- @too_savage_for_democrats🐍 @raised_right_🐘 @conservativemovement🎯 @millennial_republicans🇺🇸 @conservative.nation1776😎 @floridaconservatives🌴
His reasoning: Stockman expects "an epic monetary and fiscal (policy) collision," he told CNBC. On the one hand, the recent tax cuts enacted by Congress are likely to help push the federal budget deficit to nearly $1 trillion next year. At the exact same time, the Federal Reserve is starting to unwind its sizable bond portfolio— which it amassed in the aftermath of the financial crisis to keep bond yields low to juice economy activity.
De mon côté, c’est ma première et unique expérience en bourse via mon CELI. Je ne suis passé par aucune autre étape. J’ai pu enfin avoir l’argent pour le combler d’un coup, et puis me voilà depuis le 17 juillet dernier. J’ai donc opté pour la stratégie passive à long terme que Buffett recommande à ses connaissances qui n’ont que de modestes ressources mais qui aspirent comme tout le monde à obtenir leur part de l’enrichissement collectif. Dans ce but, le FNB qui suit le SP 500 reste la base, le classique du genre: à lui seul il suffit à la tâche, c’est un portefeuille en soi, il est déjà parfaitement diversifié, et les transnationales qui composent l’indice nous fait aussi participer indirectement à l’économie mondiale. Il faut cependant croire autant que Buffett depuis toujours en la pérennité de l’économie américaine. Dans mon cas, cela ne représente que 18 % de mes avoirs, soit moins que les 25 % en actions pour le profit prudent comme le mien, à mon âge, presque 65 ans. Je vais m’en tenir à cela pour me mettre à l’abri de l’inflation, rien de plus. Là-dessus, je vais continuer de lire votre blogue vraiment très pertinent et intéressant. Bonne continuation!
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I think it is such a pity that we are still, even now, locking horns with Russia. I believed that that this cloud of distrust and ill will had been dissipated, now it looms darker than ever. In the West we are as guilty on all levels as Russia on letting this happen, with Ukraine broken as the piggy in the middle. We have, stupidly, fallen hook, line and sinker into this pit and I don’t think Obama has any solutions to this. Him and Putin despise each other. We certainly should not be building the structures to keep Russia out for another generation.
The internet is a wonderful place, and best of all, this knowledge can be found for FREE! The more you know about crisis situations, the more ready you will be to face them. Some sites are friendlier to beginners than others, so if you stumble upon a forum where people seem less than enthusiastic about helping people who are just starting out, don’t let it get you down. Move on and find a site that makes you feel comfortable. Following are some of my favorites, and the link will take you to a good starting point on these sites. In no particular order:
After a very brief rally earlier in the week, stocks have been getting hammered again.  The S&P 500 has now fallen for 9 out of the last 11 trading sessions, and homebuilder stocks have now fallen for 19 of the last 22 trading sessions.  It was a “sea of red” on Thursday, and some of the stocks that are widely considered to be “economic bellwethers” were among those that got hit the hardest…
Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Can we count on you for discussing the death threats and job threats over on this new board as well? I never lead with the death threats and the job threats. The substantive stuff is what matters most and people hate to hear about the death threats and the job threats. But as a society we have to deal with the death threats and job threats before the substantive stuff can get widely known. Shiller published his “revolutionary” (his word) research 37 years ago. The obvious question that anyone asks when someone tells them about the realities of stock investing is: “Why haven’t I heard about this before?” It’s not possible to explain the 37-year cover-up without making reference to the death threats and job threats. It’s not possible to pull something like this off without death threats and job threats. There are other things that help to explain the 37-year cover-up. Cognitive dissonance is a big one. The counter-intuitive nature of some of the realities. Just the fact that we don’t know it all. Ignorance. That’s a factor that should not be overlooked. I talk about that stuff. I don’t talk only about death threats and job threats. I never have and I never will. My job is to tell the story. Death threats and job threats are part of the story. So I will tell about them when necessary and to the extent necessary. I try not to put too much emphasis on them. Because they are not the entire story. I try to give them the right amount of attention, not too much and not too little. I wish that there had never been any death threats or job threats. But that’s not the world we live in. That’s not the reality. We don’t get fewer death threats and fewer job threats by ignoring them, by never talking about them. Ignoring them causes us to see more death threats and more job threats. I am 100 percent sure. Our problem has not been that we have talked too little about death threats and job threats. By not talking about those that have taken place, we have caused more of them to take place. Which is of course not the way that any of […]
You predicted a hard Brexit and at the last minute Germany would press the EU to do a deal. Reading recently and with the vote in parliament along with several capitulations, I am beginning to get really concerned that the vote to leave will not be respected and we never leave. What now for the UK? It looks bad news. Are you still confident in what you have predicted, I truly hope you are right.
The NASDAQ has surged by a similar percentage. In other words, the winds that brought Trump to the White House fueled some $5.0 trillion into Wall Street’s market capitalization. How much more energy can this already remarkable—and improbable—rally have? Chances are the rally will taper off. It could do this gradually or with a bang—that is, a crash.
Chelsea, Memes, and Pretentious: Chelsea Handler* @chelse...-9h Still nothing to do with you. Those are Obama's coat tails. Also, the people who elected you don't own stocks, you moron. Donald J. TrumparealDonald.. The U.S. has gained more than 5.2 trillion dollars in Stock Market Value since Election Day! Also, record business enthusiasm. わ752 1,830 8,382 T.J. Eckert @EckertT @chelseahandler So you think no Trump supporters have a 401k? No wonder they say Hollywood is pretentious and out of touch with Americans.
Fast forward thirty years. I’ve discovered an analog chart model that correlates the markets of the 1980s to the markets of the 2010s. Specifically, it correlates the S&P 500 from 1978 to 1987 to the S&P 500 from 2010 to 2018. The correlation rate? 94%. In other words, this model shows that the stock market of the past eight years is trading similar to the stock market of the 1980s.
It is important to secure a portion of your portfolio even if it lowers your return. Review and readjust your investments. Prepare to deal with when the bull market ends. One way to do it is by shifting your investments away from the risky investments to companies with high financial quality ratings proven by their financial statements. It is likely that these companies will lose less than the market in times of a market crash.
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