Wall Street Journal Calls Buy-and-Hold a “Myth,” Endorses Valuation-Informed IndexingLot of smart people know that Buy-and-Hold is a big pile of smelly garbage. They are afraid to speak out today because they know what will happen to them if they do. But they try to position themselves for the post-next-crash period, when “Buy-and-Hold” will be an obscene phrase. Bret Arends tells us that the Wall Street Con Men “are leaving out half the story.” Precisely so. The purpose of this web site is to let you in on the half of the story that the Wall Street Con Men have been keeping from you for 32 years now.
Finally, as you think about your allocation there are a few things to consider. Generally, lower risk bonds hold up better during stressed markets. U.S. Treasury bonds have historically risen in value during extreme market stress. It's not guaranteed but may be helpful to portfolios if history is any guide. Also, depending on the nature of the crisis diversifying assets such as commodities, including gold, or real estate can be helpful. Again, these won't work every time, for example in 2008-9 real estate was the epicenter of the crisis but spreading your bets can help. Finally, within stocks diversification is useful. We've seen high valuations in U.S. blue chips in the 1970s, U.S. tech in the 1990s and Japanese investments in the 1980s, each was met with nasty price declines on the other side. Rather than trying to predict these events, it can be best to spread your bets across sectors, geographies and other categories, so that if the next crash does focus on one specific area, then you won't be wiped out.
Of course, that's an average and the market's return is seldom steady and predictable. Yet, it's important to remember that these attractive returns include many periods when the markets have lost a quarter or half their value, or worse. As a result, even if you know a crash is coming at some point, which it very likely is at some point in the coming years, then it's not a reason to avoid stocks. Provided you can stick with it you'll likely see decent returns from diversified global stocks even including the catastrophic crashes that scare you.
The financial system in most western countries has undergone a remarkable transformation. One feature of this development is disintermediation. A portion of the funds involved in saving and financing, flows directly to the financial markets instead of being routed via the traditional bank lending and deposit operations. The general public interest in investing in the stock market, either directly or through mutual funds, has been an important component of this process.
Of course, that's an average and the market's return is seldom steady and predictable. Yet, it's important to remember that these attractive returns include many periods when the markets have lost a quarter or half their value, or worse. As a result, even if you know a crash is coming at some point, which it very likely is at some point in the coming years, then it's not a reason to avoid stocks. Provided you can stick with it you'll likely see decent returns from diversified global stocks even including the catastrophic crashes that scare you.

* The Fed raised the interest rate by a paltry 0.25% in Dec 2015, but they are already having second thoughts. People are even talking about cutting the interest rate back to 0% or even lower into Negative Interest Rates (“NIRP”). Whatever it takes to keep the illusion alive. So don’t underestimate the madness of the banksters. But more financial engineering will only: A) postpone the time of the inevitable crash, and B) make the crash harder and more devastating for the economy.
Jai un peu peur par rapport au courtage en ligne rendu au moment de la retraite, si on a toutes nos économies dans des FNB par exemple… est ce que on peut tout simplement vendre le tout en une transaction et transférer ailleurs ou si vous faites simplement des retraits occasionnels en vendant peu a peu les parts. Car dans mon cas, avec questrade,( jutilise la stratégie de canadian couch potato entre autres) l achat de fnb est gratuit mais la vente est de 4.95 min(1 cents par action) et 9.95 max par transaction . Ce qui pourrait couter cher si on fait des retraits plusieurs fois dans l’année.
The stock market is one of the most important ways for companies to raise money, along with debt markets which are generally more imposing but do not trade publicly.[45] This allows businesses to be publicly traded, and raise additional financial capital for expansion by selling shares of ownership of the company in a public market. The liquidity that an exchange affords the investors enables their holders to quickly and easily sell securities. This is an attractive feature of investing in stocks, compared to other less liquid investments such as property and other immoveable assets. Some companies actively increase liquidity by trading in their own shares.[46][47]
Pour ce qui est des frais de transaction, si vous faites le courtage en ligne vous-même, vous devrez débourser 5-20$ chaque fois que vous faites l’achat d’un fonds. Ainsi, c’est préférable de le faire quand les sommes sont plus considérables. Néanmoins, je crois que plusieurs robot-conseillers (ex: WealthSimple) proposent le retrait automatique mensuel sans frais additionnels. Vous payez donc environ 0.5% pour les services du robot, mais vous n’avez pas à payer à chaque transaction.
Stock markets play an essential role in growing industries that ultimately affect the economy through transferring available funds from units that have excess funds (savings) to those who are suffering from funds deficit (borrowings) (Padhi and Naik, 2012). In other words, capital markets facilitate funds movement between the above-mentioned units. This process leads to the enhancement of available financial resources which in turn affects the economic growth positively. Moreover, both economic and financial theories argue that stock prices are affected by macroeconomic trends.[citation needed]
In his 12 lectures on the Book of Revelation, the great Austrian philosopher Rudolf Steiner unveils the mysteries of Saint John’s vision and show it to be a profound description of Christian initiation. As Steiner says, “The deepest truths of Christianity may be considered quite naturally in connection with this document, for it contains a great part of the mysteries of Christianity, that is, the profoundest part of what may be described as esoteric Christianity.”
There are many different approaches to investing. Many strategies can be classified as either fundamental analysis or technical analysis. Fundamental analysis refers to analyzing companies by their financial statements found in SEC filings, business trends, general economic conditions, etc. Technical analysis studies price actions in markets through the use of charts and quantitative techniques to attempt to forecast price trends regardless of the company's financial prospects. One example of a technical strategy is the Trend following method, used by John W. Henry and Ed Seykota, which uses price patterns and is also rooted in risk control and diversification.

J’ai ouvert un compte géré avec Questrade, mais je suis en processus de transférer les fonds dans un compte auto-géré et d’appliquer un modèle de ETF/FNB indexés proposé sur Couchpoatato. J’avais cédulé des dépôts automatiques que je comptais garder pour le compte autogéré. Par contre je lis à plusieurs endroits que si on a moins de 50 000$ de fonds et qu’on dépose de petits montants régulièrement, les ETF ne sont pas une bonne stratégie à cause des commissions, que le TD E-series ou compte d’investissement Tangerine seraient de meilleures options. Sauf que, tel que tu le mentionnais dans cet article, à Questrade, les transactions pour des FNB canadiens (en fait, Nord Américain selon leur FAQ) ne prennent pas de commissions.
On Black Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 38.33 points to 260, a drop of 12.8%. The deluge of selling overwhelmed the ticker tape system that normally gave investors the current prices of their shares. Telephone lines and telegraphs were clogged and were unable to cope. This information vacuum only led to more fear and panic. The technology of the New Era, previously much celebrated by investors, now served to deepen their suffering.
I recently wrote a post on my blog, Investor Tuition - Education - Information -Opinion about this very subject. I am a great believer in the concept that if you start referring to a boom, then you are 100% guaranteed to have a bust follow it. The one and only immutable law of investment (for me anyway) is “every boom will be followed by a bust and every bust will be followed by a boom”. (the circle of life!)

But as investors, haunted by the trauma of the Great Recession, they have been mostly cautious. Many young people struggling to find work retreated back to school or into part-time work. For millennials living paycheck to paycheck and sometimes bunking with their parents, saving for retirement seemed a remote priority as they watched debts pile up.
I am involved with cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology, and believe that they will soon be transformational and liberating. I also hope that my efforts in this space will bring abundance to my own family. With several factors you mention (Sun 6, Uranus 3, desc 5, NN 21 Scorpio; asc 5 and south node 21 Taurus; Mars and IC in Cancer) should I be aggressive in pursuing gains this year? I was timid and defensive in the aftermath of the last financial crisis and paid a big price in terms of missed opportunities. I feel like I’m wiser and more informed now, and want this time to be different.
Some others have commented that his predictions have not all worked out. This is all discussed at length in the book; in such a field predictions are not infallible. About 40% of market crashes are caused by external events and so are not predictable. However he seems to have the S&P500 worked out. Last years he predicted a choppy rally in 1Q2003, then from 2Q2003 a major fall ending in 1h2004. So far so good.
Les frais de gestion sont la majeure source de revenu du conseiller financier. Personnellement, il a tout intérêt à vous conseiller des fonds avec des frais de gestion élevés, et tout intérêt à vous déconseiller les fonds indiciels qui ne permettent pas au planificateur de prendre une partie de vos profits sous forme de frais de gestion. Si vous voulez vraiment travailler avec un planificateur financier, assurez-vous qu’il soit fiduciaire. Les planificateur financier fiduciaire travaille différemment et mettent les intérêts de leur client avant leur propres intérêts personnels.
Mother Earth is now in greatest distress because of the exploding population explosion which is greatly ignored by the governments. As you are aware we all have our free wills. Some countries like Bangladesh, Pakistan, Palestine have all run out of space and many countries are encroaching on valuable farm lands. Added to this is enchroaching and expanding deserts and valuable coastal lands overtaken by encroaching sea waters because of global warming. Added to this is massive droughts and floods. You, Dear Sir, spend a lot of time in India and are very familiar with Karma, nemisis, faith, yogamaya, samskara – Every action has an equal reaction. Now is Payback time. As Ex- President Senior Bush said – ” you ( earth people) trash the earth, the earth will trash you back”. You all are going to be trashed severally. This is a grim warning.
   This One day crash course on Stock Market will cover the basics to to make you understand what is stock market and how does it operate. This will give the attendees a complete layout on how to analyse the market, the market structure and how has it been framed and developed. The understanding will start from the scratch to End up at a point where you could individually involve with stocks and make better investment decisions.

Financial innovation has brought many new financial instruments whose pay-offs or values depend on the prices of stocks. Some examples are exchange-traded funds (ETFs), stock index and stock options, equity swaps, single-stock futures, and stock index futures. These last two may be traded on futures exchanges (which are distinct from stock exchanges—their history traces back to commodity futures exchanges), or traded over-the-counter. As all of these products are only derived from stocks, they are sometimes considered to be traded in a (hypothetical) derivatives market, rather than the (hypothetical) stock market.


1) Il y a des périodes où un trader est dans la « Grâce de Dieu » et durant lesquelles il ne semble jamais perdre car il est dans le sens du marché… Cependant il y a également des périodes durant lesquelles le marché semble se retourner « continuellement » contre lui et il perd plus qu’il n’a gagné précédemment. D’où l’importance d’une discipline financière stricte (« stop losses »). Ce n’est pas pour tout le monde… Si votre « Guru » vend des abonnements à $ 100 par mois, il faut se poser la question à savoir ce qui est le plus payant pour lui : son « trading inspiré » ou la vente de ses abonnements individuels ?
{} Short-term:  Sun conjunction Mercury in Capricorn, especially if correlating with a conjunction or opposition involving the Sun, Mars, or Jupiter, indicates a sharp turn up in the market beginning 25 days before the Sun/Mercury conjunction.   There was a Sun/Mercury Capricorn conjunction 12/29/13 and a Sun opposition Jupiter 1/5/14.  This prediction was realized with the 2013 market close.
I couldn’t disagree with you more on the Mueller work. For one thing, the Russian social media shenanigans were far from tame. Tens of thousands of Americans in Democratic districts were tricked into “voting online” by Facebook posts. Many more turned against Clinton based on horrible lies expertly planted by the offenders. Consider that Trump won by a mere 70,000 votes over four states. While the U.S. surely got a taste of its own medicine, interfering in a nation’s election is serious business.
You would need to be aware of the strain on your nervous system as Uranus opposes your patterns at 0, 1, 2, 3 in the finance signs. I am sure you could dance in the storm that is coming, and do well – but at a certain point you have to realise that Uranus (the electrifying atmosphere) opposite your natal placements is associated with tremendous stress. Things will be nuts out there, well into early 2019, so you need to make absolutely sure that the price you are paying for that particular line of work, is worth what it will cost you in tension. Uranus oppositions place big demands on us.
I've posted Entry #2 to my weekly column at the Balance Junkie site. It's titled Why We Are Afraid to Acknowledge the True Cause of the Economic Crisis. Juicy Except: My boys (Timothy, age 12, and Robert, age 9) and I were watching a DVD of the old television series I’ll Fly Away a few days ago. The series tells the story of the civil rights struggle of the early 1960s and how it affected the people of a small town in South Carolina. There’s one scene that we watched that I believe…
It’s beyond Black Monday. The next stock market crash will combine the effects of Black Monday with the tech bubble of 1999-2000 and the recession that resulted from the crash of 2007-2008. The Shiller CAPE ratio, which measures a stock’s performance by comparing its price against earnings over a 10-year period, has reached the very point when Alan Greenspan pronounced his famous “irrational exuberance” speech. (Source: “The stock market’s valuation is back to the point where Greenspan warned of ‘irrational exuberance’,” CNBC, October 31, 2017.)
Saturn at 2 Taurus opposite Jupiter at 2 Scorpio in your chart will certainly be under transit from Uranus, so it can help to take them apart. Essentially you have justified fear (Saturn) about money, business, property or possessions (Taurus) based on one or two very tough past episodes (Saturn) which have led you to build up ‘walls’ and defences. At the same time, whenever you attempt to build these walls to make yourself feel more secure, you realise you are blessed (Jupiter) by natural protection and good fortune, when it comes to more complex agreements about money, or arrangements about houses, apartments, possessions and the rest. This is a lifelong pattern of push/pull around your budget, security and values. What happens when Uranus crosses to 2 Taurus will change and challenge that pattern. Just knowing that Uranus is about independence, freedom, space, liberty and room to move will help you make informed decisions.
But it's during those times when you need to guard against overriding the rational process you went through to build your portfolio. If you want to re-evaluate the portfolio mix you arrived at earlier just to confirm that it's right for you and even possibly make a small tweak or two, fine. But you don't want to let fear and emotions dictate your investing strategy and lead you to make impulsive decisions you may rue later.
Experienced investors who are “sophisticated enough to focus on these numbers and act on them themselves” can benefit by making their own adjustments, Mr. Davis said. Tried-and true investments like balanced funds and target date funds (which become more conservative as a given date nears) can make basic adjustments for you. Advisers can do this as well.
If Trump comes to power, indeed its unfortunate for the whole White race globally (Abrahmic sects – Jews, Christians, Catholics, and Moslems — remember that Moslems are half White – half Black, from Abraham and his wife’s Black maid whom he used to raped secretly, but the blame (as usual) was put on this Black maid and her son Ismail, who later became leader of Revenge and started raping White women (throughout Middle East), here and there, wherever… their children came to be known as Ismaili or Muslims. It’s old story, but faults point to…

Bonjour Jean-Sebastien! Je viens de terminer la lecture de vos articles et je dois dire que vous me motivez encore plus à acquérir mon indépendance financière. Étant encore relativement jeune et aux études (21 ans et en voie de commencer son MBA l’année prochaine), l’objectif semble encore loin, mais facilement atteignable avec de la motivation! J’aimerais cependant avoir votre avis sur les stratégies de placement. Comme j’ai pu constater suite à la lecture de vos articles sur l’investissement, vous privilégiez beaucoup les FNB aux autres produits de placement à cause de leurs faibles frais de gestion et vous semblez être plus réticent face aux fonds communs investis à l’aide d’un conseiller financier. Cependant, que pensez vous des fonds communs investis à l’aide de plateforme de courtage en ligne qui diminuent considérablement les frais de gestion? En investissant dans des fonds commun de série D (directement en ligne) plutôt que A (avec conseiller) les frais peuvent souvent se réduire de moitié pour tourner autour de 1%. J’aimerais avoir votre avis sur cette situation. Merci beaucoup et continuez votre bon travail! J’espère pouvoir vous rencontrer un jour et échanger sur votre expérience.
Les CELI affichant des rendements « hors-norme » ($ 52,000 de dépôts menant à $ 600,000) ne sont plus considérés par le Fisc comme des comptes d’épargne libres d’impôt mais comme des comptes d’investissement actifs procurant un avantage au détenteur. Ces « excès » de rendement peuvent être taxés à 50% ou même 100% à la discrétion du Fisc… Des cas du genre ont été documentés et il faut bien faire attention à ce que l’on fait dans son CELI.
Together, the 1929 stock market crash and the Great Depression formed the largest financial crisis of the 20th century.[30] The panic of October 1929 has come to serve as a symbol of the economic contraction that gripped the world during the next decade.[31] The falls in share prices on October 24 and 29, 1929 were practically instantaneous in all financial markets, except Japan.[32]

I think its the Bhrigu Samhita that has predicted this (Similar to the Naadis) I was able to consult it about my own life and like the Naadis it had my name written in – it was written there centuries ago. I was very accurate about my life and confirmed the Naadis. I have not personally been given this prediction via an oracle or holy man or through my own intuition so I cannot comment.
Pour ce qui est des frais de transaction, si vous faites le courtage en ligne vous-même, vous devrez débourser 5-20$ chaque fois que vous faites l’achat d’un fonds. Ainsi, c’est préférable de le faire quand les sommes sont plus considérables. Néanmoins, je crois que plusieurs robot-conseillers (ex: WealthSimple) proposent le retrait automatique mensuel sans frais additionnels. Vous payez donc environ 0.5% pour les services du robot, mais vous n’avez pas à payer à chaque transaction.
The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash.
Bonjour Steve, je suis d’accord avec toi. Si on dit que 80% des gestionnaires ne réussissent pas à battre le marché, il reste 20% qui sont capable de le faire. Moi, je cherche ceux qui font partie du 20%, il existe encore. Je pense à quelques gestionnaires de fonds communs exceptionnels, comme ceux de Mawer, Matt Schmehl, gestionnaire chez Fidelity (il s’occupe du fonds Fidelity Special Situations qui a généré un rendement moyen annualisé net de 12,05% depuis 10 ans contre 1,16% de l’indice de référence même si les frais de gestion sont 2,26%) ainsi que l’équipe de gestionnaires d’EdgePoint.
One of the worst stock market crashes in U.S. history was the Panic of 1907. The stock market fell by about 50% during a three-week period in October and November of 1907, and started with a stock manipulation scheme gone wrong, which led to the collapse of the Knickerbocker Trust. This subsequently led to a panic that resulted in a string of bank failures.
Hi, thanks for your work. I know you said that a couple of US ships sank already in a training exercise, but when you wrote about a big sinking event of a US boat I recalled that some time back Iran claimed to have “carrier-killer” torpedo. Not long ago after the US/Iran “Deal” was nixed Iran said it had total control of the Straights of Hormuz, and since then there seems to be radio silence concerning Iran, no news at all in the major outlets. Maybe it’s a carrier that’ll sink? Only time will tell I guess.
The time to invest is 2018 while Jupiter (solutions, breakthroughs, growth) is still in Scorpio in your Eighth House. You’ll see a classic Uranus in Taurus/Jupiter in Scorpio/Saturn in Capricorn pattern kicking off within weeks. Essentially, computers and smart phones will revolutionise currency. Big chances to make or save more, will appear. The dinosaurs of business and banking will get a kicking. Put all that together and you can see why the smart money is on spotting opportunities and using them. You will need to be online and across the news to spot what is on offer.
On October 31, Halloween, children and adults alike enjoy playing with the frightful themes of death surrounding the feast’s mixture of Christian All Saints’ Day and Celtic pagan origins. But, in 2017, if you are one of millions of people who have investments, here’s something all too real and scary to rob you of your sleep. This Warren Buffett Indicator predicts a stock market crash in 2018.
Writing with Brunello Rosa, Nouriel sets the scene this way: “The current global expansion will likely continue into next year, given that the US is running large fiscal deficits, China is pursuing loose fiscal and credit policies, and Europe remains on a recovery path. But by 2020, the conditions will be ripe for a financial crisis, followed by a global recession.”
The planet of abundance, Jupiter, will aspect the conjunction of Sun & Venus on 14th. Over-supply will cheer the Bears, as decrease in demand in the stocks of textiles, cotton, fruits, FMCG, bullions will be noticed. Mercury will move Direct from 15th and will give the Bulls a reasons to feel happy. Banking stocks, Insurance companies, FMCG, Capital goods will rise, after showing small dips in the prices. Rising influence and increased market share of the MNCs will result in reduction of the local business. Overall, annual sales of Rubber, Silver, luxury goods, Zinc and Cotton sector companies may see decline. Third week of the month will see buying interest by the optimistic traders. Saturn is getting retrograde in Sagittarius on 18th. Due to International political games, artificial shortage in crude will be observed. The rates of Oil (BPCL, IOL), Coal (Coal India), Gas (IGL, Mahanagar gas) and Steel (Tata Steel, JSW) sector companies will get bullish impact.
The trend towards forms of saving with a higher risk has been accentuated by new rules for most funds and insurance, permitting a higher proportion of shares to bonds. Similar tendencies are to be found in other developed countries. In all developed economic systems, such as the European Union, the United States, Japan and other developed nations, the trend has been the same: saving has moved away from traditional (government insured) "bank deposits to more risky securities of one sort or another".
r/MemeEconomy is a quirky solution, a subreddit in which people discuss memes as if they’re real-world commodities. If a meme is just beginning to bubble up online, you say you’re going to BUY. If a meme has peaked, you SELL, SELL, SELL. No real money is involved. The game is just an artifice with which to vocalize your commentary as a knowledgeable insider. It’s intentionally tongue in cheek, talking “investments” without seeming too invested.
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